PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lamar vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-58
39-30 33-28
Position#123
Record8-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game67.8
Lamar 🏆
USA
vs
Position#190
Record9-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lamar v Incarnate Word
10 Jan 2026
LAMA63
INCA51
06 Jan 2025
LAMA72
INCA58
08 Jan 2024
LAMA75
INCA59
21 Jan 2023
LAMA64
INCA70
03 Feb 2021
LAMA58
INCA67
20 Jan 2021
LAMA v INCA
upcoming
26 Feb 2020
LAMA86
INCA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lamar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#156
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H24/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H01/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A06/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
84-52
84
52
+32
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
74-45
74
45
+29
A14/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A18/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
57-101
57
101
-44
A21/12
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#437
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H31/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-29
41-48
26-33
33-32
38-29
50-25
33-42
32-19
46-23
38-29
33-22
41-23
36-31
33-34
22-49
35-52
44-29
38-36
29-36
34-25
136.2Avg total
71.6Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.667.8142.4+6.857%
Season at home (7)78.964.1143.0+14.757%
Season away (7)70.371.4141.7-1.157%
Last 10 (10)71.664.6136.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)69.067.4136.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.775.6138.3-12.914%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.272.8145.0-0.525%
vs Weaker (18)77.165.9142.9+11.283%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H06/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
42-33
30-39
33-45
35-32
51-43
29-42
41-30
39-25
26-28
21-28
25-44
48-30
45-39
50-23
51-34
52-21
47-27
26-18
29-31
140.6Avg total
75.2Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.866.8145.6+12.064%
Season at home (8)87.662.1149.8+25.588%
Season away (6)67.073.0140.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)75.265.4140.6+9.860%
Last 5 (5)78.859.0137.8+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.078.0143.0-13.010%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.780.2152.9-7.611%
vs Weaker (10)83.765.7149.4+18.090%
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
LamarIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#156
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H24/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A14/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A18/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A21/12
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#437
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H31/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H05/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.467.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.131.366.4+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.568.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.366.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.466.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.438.765.1-12.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.833.867.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (18)35.931.867.7+4.261%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H06/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A04/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
36.2Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.469.2+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)31.036.167.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.230.066.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.424.063.4+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.136.664.7-8.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.937.271.1-3.322%-
vs Weaker (10)41.429.871.2+11.690%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lamar wins
3
Incarnate Word wins
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HHouston Christian63-61
31/12/24HTexas A&M SA Jaguars82-65
21/12/24ATexas Tech57-101
18/12/24ASouthern Miss69-65
14/12/24ALouisiana Lafayette74-45
07/12/24AUTRGV84-52
06/12/24ATexas A&M-CC65-61
01/12/24HOur Lady Of The Lake88-54
24/11/24HNebraska O.59-65
23/11/24HAlabama State75-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AStephen F. Austin55-49
29/12/24HTexas Lutheran99-48
19/12/24HSchreiner Mountaineers101-57
15/12/24HOur Lady Of The Lake93-69
11/12/24ADuke46-72
07/12/24HTX A&M Commerce65-53
06/12/24HNorthwestern St.70-72
27/11/24AWestern Illinois86-75
26/11/24ASouth Alabama63-84
23/11/24ANorthern Arizona74-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lamar
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game74.678.970.3
Allowed / game67.864.171.4
Point differential+6.8+14.7-1.1
Avg total142.4143.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%88%33%
Points / game78.887.667.0
Allowed / game66.862.173.0
Point differential+12.0+25.5-6.0
Avg total145.6149.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1510567%77.564.7+12.8
2 UTRGV1510567%81.971.3+10.6
3 Incarnate Word149564%78.866.8+12.0
4 Texas A&M-CC1610662%82.968.6+14.3
5 Nicholls State159660%74.168.7+5.5
6 Lamar148657%74.667.8+6.8
7 SE Louisiana157847%71.169.5+1.6
8 Stephen F. Austin157847%64.763.4+1.3
9 Northwestern St.157847%72.171.0+1.1
10 Houston Christian1551033%66.370.9-4.7
11 TX A&M Commerce1521313%63.379.1-15.7
12 New Orleans1521313%66.786.1-19.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lamar393372
Incarnate Word302858
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.