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Independiente de Oliva vs Atenas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2026-27
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Atenas
27 Dec 2026
INDE v ATEN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
INDE108
ATEN104
14 Feb 2025
INDE76
ATEN83
11 Dec 2022
INDE90
ATEN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atenas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#14
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
H20/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
23-17
13-25
12-17
24-12
14-27
17-20
28-19
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
162.7Avg total
80.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.095.0195.0+5.050%
Season at home (2)100.095.0195.0+5.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.382.4162.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.682.6167.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.385.1167.4-2.845%
vs Weaker (9)93.987.7181.6+6.267%
This opponent (Atenas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtenasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A10/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A13/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A06/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A08/10
Liga A
Ferro
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/10
Liga A
Malvin
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Lanus
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H24/10
Liga A
Union Atletica
#10
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#4
L
57-84
57
84
-27
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
23-18
8-12
9-16
25-17
20-26
14-21
18-24
21-16
23-27
13-23
20-17
21-17
17-24
29-25
24-21
16-20
24-28
24-18
27-20
8-20
19-24
19-15
20-18
23-24
18-25
11-24
25-17
25-20
8-19
27-16
20-14
28-17
25-20
19-12
10-24
12-27
19-21
9-11
17-25
154.9Avg total
75.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.881.2166.0+3.575%
Season at home (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)75.179.8154.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)72.478.6151.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.686.3165.9-6.727%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.078.9157.9+0.162%
vs Weaker (7)83.478.9162.3+4.657%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
Independiente de OlivaAtenas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
84.7Avg total
43.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.287.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.543.389.8+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.343.285.5-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.684.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.889.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)43.243.887.0-0.540%-
vs Weaker (9)46.642.789.2+3.956%-
This opponent (Atenas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/10
Liga A
Ferro
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H13/10
Liga A
Malvin
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Lanus
#12
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H24/10
Liga A
Union Atletica
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
81.3Avg total
38.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.081.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.640.380.9+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.782.9-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.581.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.743.184.8-1.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.137.676.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (7)41.340.481.7+0.957%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atenastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atenas: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.6%
54.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
72.7%10.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Independiente de Oliva
WLLWWLLWWL
Atenas
LWWLLWWLLL
#8
League position
#3
-3.2
Net rating
-5.8
107.5
Offensive rating
94.9
110.8
Defensive rating
100.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
6.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.3%
3-point %
29.8%
43.9%
Assist %
43.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 94.9Defence110.8 · 100.8Shooting49.1% · 49.5%3-point %29.3% · 29.8%Ball care0.0% · 6.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Independiente de Oliva   ■ Atenas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Independiente de Oliva wins
2
Atenas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
01/05/26HLa Union83-78
27/04/26ALa Union62-86
Atenaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HAguada57-84
26/10/26AUnion Atletica82-73
24/10/26HLanus80-69
22/10/26HNacional77-90
20/10/26AMalvin66-77
13/10/26HFerro91-86
08/10/26AOlimpico91-87
06/10/26AQuimsa77-83
13/05/26AArgentino77-88
10/05/26AArgentino53-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total195.0195.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Atenas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.885.584.0
Allowed / game81.277.585.0
Point differential+3.5+8.0-1.0
Avg total166.0163.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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