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Independiente de Oliva vs Atenas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-104 (OT)
19-15 25-35 27-15 19-25 18-14
Position#8
Record18-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#18
Record11-21
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2025-26
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Atenas
27 Dec 2026
INDE v ATEN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
INDE108
ATEN104
14 Feb 2025
INDE76
ATEN83
11 Dec 2022
INDE90
ATEN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atenas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Independiente de Oliva
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.7
90.6▲ 3.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.0
100.2▲ 15.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
55%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.3
14.4▲ 0.1
🔥 Form · Atenas
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.8
76.6▼ 0.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.1
79.0▼ 3.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
53%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.9
15.0▲ 0.1
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A11/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H16/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A07/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A08/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H13/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A19/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
96-104 OT
96
104
-8
A21/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A24/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H28/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H08/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
19-20
25-23
18-21
23-16
29-23
32-19
19-17
21-22
20-22
19-25
24-20
16-19
33-15
27-28
19-21
21-20
17-21
27-14
24-28
27-32
23-25
25-20
16-26
27-34
20-13
20-23
20-17
17-31
16-17
25-22
20-19
22-31
31-26
20-27
29-23
20-23
22-24
19-20
25-31
182.5Avg total
90.6Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.983.4170.3+3.556%
Season at home (16)90.184.1174.1+6.069%
Season away (16)83.882.8166.6+0.944%
Last 10 (10)90.691.9182.5-1.330%
Last 5 (5)90.6100.2190.8-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.086.0169.0-3.00%
vs Similar (18)85.984.7170.6+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.880.5169.4+8.364%
This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtenasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A05/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A07/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H18/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H14/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A19/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A20/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A22/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H28/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H01/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H05/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
26-19
19-22
5-19
9-26
21-25
26-25
23-17
16-17
22-24
17-17
21-11
21-29
18-21
22-20
29-28
21-24
16-18
19-22
27-26
22-24
16-26
20-15
13-15
23-14
26-15
9-23
9-21
18-18
15-22
21-18
19-27
31-22
23-14
17-27
24-22
18-17
18-13
22-14
19-28
159.9Avg total
77.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.880.5156.3-4.634%
Season at home (17)78.978.2157.1+0.647%
Season away (15)72.483.0155.4-10.620%
Last 10 (10)77.882.1159.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)76.679.0155.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.482.2154.6-9.912%
vs Similar (11)80.579.9160.5+0.664%
vs Weaker (2)96.568.5165.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
Independiente de OlivaAtenas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H16/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A07/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A19/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A24/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H28/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H08/04
Liga A
90.2Avg total
44.4Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.686.8+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.941.987.9+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)44.641.385.9+3.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.890.2-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)45.051.296.2-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.045.095.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (18)44.642.987.5+1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.939.185.0+6.864%-
This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A05/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A07/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H14/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A20/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H28/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H05/04
Liga A
80.1Avg total
39.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.578.4-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.638.878.5+0.847%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.478.2-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.480.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.440.576.8-4.124%-
vs Similar (11)41.238.679.8+2.555%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.083.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.5
54.1%
53.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.0
35.4%
32.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
71.5%16.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atenastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atenas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.6
51.0%
53.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.212.3
67.6%
71.5%12.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Independiente de Oliva
LLLLLWWLWL
Atenas
WWLLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#18
+0.5
Net rating
+7.0
117.9
Offensive rating
112.9
117.4
Defensive rating
105.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
36.9%
48.9%
Assist %
47.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 112.9Defence117.4 · 105.9Shooting53.6% · 52.5%3-point %35.4% · 36.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Independiente de Oliva   ■ Atenas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Independiente de Oliva wins
2
Atenas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HPlatense86-98
28/03/26HPenarol102-107
24/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba78-89
21/03/26AObera TC96-104 OT
19/03/26ALa Union91-103
13/03/26HRegatas89-83
08/03/26AArgentino95-83
07/03/26ARacing de Chivilcoy84-89
16/02/26HUnion De Santa Fe103-75
11/02/26AFerro82-88
Atenaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26HPlatense77-72
01/04/26HPenarol95-85
28/03/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-85
22/03/26AObras Sanitarias67-73
20/03/26ABoca Juniors71-80
19/03/26AGimnasia83-90
14/03/26HRegatas90-98
18/02/26HUnion De Santa Fe76-69
07/02/26AFerro79-93
05/02/26ASan Lorenzo67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%69%44%
Points / game86.990.183.8
Allowed / game83.484.182.8
Point differential+3.5+6.0+0.9
Avg total170.3174.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)43% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Atenas
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW34%
HomeWLLWW47%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %34%47%20%
Points / game75.878.972.4
Allowed / game80.578.283.0
Point differential-4.6+0.6-10.6
Avg total156.3157.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia34231168%81.776.4+5.3
2 Quimsa33211264%82.475.7+6.7
3 Obera TC33211264%81.377.0+4.3
4 Boca Juniors33201361%81.077.2+3.8
5 Obras Sanitarias32191359%81.679.1+2.5
6 Regatas32191359%77.776.1+1.6
7 Instituto de Cordoba33191458%77.275.2+2.0
8 Ferro33191458%83.782.1+1.6
9 Independiente de Oliva32181456%86.983.4+3.5
10 La Union34191556%80.980.0+0.9
11 Penarol33181555%81.281.1+0.1
12 San Martin33151845%75.376.3-1.0
13 Olimpico34151944%79.679.5+0.1
14 San Lorenzo33132039%79.682.7-3.1
15 Racing de Chivilcoy34132138%79.582.0-2.5
16 Platense34132138%82.385.1-2.8
17 Union De Santa Fe34122235%81.584.4-2.9
18 Atenas32112134%75.880.5-4.6
19 Argentino3262619%74.089.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Independiente de Oliva1925271918108
Atenas1535152514104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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