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Independiente de Oliva vs Regatas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-83
21-20 17-21 27-14 24-28
Position#8
Record17-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#4
Record15-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2025-26
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Regatas
04 Apr 2027
INDE v REGA
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
INDE89
REGA83
16 Feb 2025
INDE87
REGA75
15 Apr 2024
INDE70
REGA78
21 Dec 2022
INDE80
REGA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Regatas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 80
A12/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
63avg 80
A14/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H17/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 80
A28/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 80
A29/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
88avg 80
H05/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 80
A11/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
99avg 80
H16/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 80
A07/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
95-83
95
83
+12
87avg 80
A08/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
23-24
19-15
17-14
17-18
20-15
13-14
18-20
23-24
25-21
20-21
21-15
21-23
27-26
18-20
16-22
17-24
15-14
17-16
31-15
22-22
28-19
17-20
23-19
20-24
19-20
25-23
18-21
23-16
29-23
32-19
19-17
21-22
20-22
19-25
24-20
16-19
33-15
27-28
19-21
165.7Avg total
86.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.180.2166.3+5.965%
Season at home (13)89.581.3170.8+8.277%
Season away (13)82.779.2161.8+3.554%
Last 10 (10)86.179.6165.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)90.883.0173.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.889.5169.2-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.981.6165.5+2.262%
vs Weaker (10)89.178.8167.9+10.370%
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
58avg 70
H12/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
65-72 OT
65
72
-7
no box
A16/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
70-69
70
69
+1
no box
A18/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
58-55
58
55
+3
48avg 70
H31/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
84avg 70
A12/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 70
A15/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 70
H19/02
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
67-86
67
86
-19
55avg 70
H22/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
69-89
69
89
-20
56avg 70
H07/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 70
H10/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
24-23
15-19
14-17
23-17
15-19
12-12
13-15
18-17
16-19
21-18
15-15
11-11
15-22
17-9
15-13
19-22
19-18
24-12
29-12
20-20
25-16
25-23
21-20
14-20
16-20
25-18
12-15
14-23
17-17
20-29
16-17
16-22
14-21
22-27
17-19
13-18
18-17
20-22
22-22
147.8Avg total
72.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.774.2150.9+2.558%
Season at home (15)73.771.6145.3+2.147%
Season away (11)80.877.8158.6+3.073%
Last 10 (10)72.475.4147.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)73.481.2154.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.078.2154.2-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.876.1150.9-1.256%
vs Weaker (10)79.771.3151.0+8.460%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
Independiente de OlivaRegatas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A12/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A14/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A28/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H05/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H16/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A07/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/03
Liga A
85.9Avg total
44.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.985.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.640.987.5+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.440.984.4+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.185.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.486.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.545.889.2-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.441.385.8+3.156%-
vs Weaker (10)46.338.384.6+8.070%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H12/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H31/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H22/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H10/03
Liga A
73.8Avg total
34.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.476.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.137.874.8-0.735%-
Last 30 away (13)40.439.279.5+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.173.8-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.872.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.839.280.0+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.139.475.5-3.231%-
vs Weaker (10)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.8
57.8%
53.7%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.8%
32.9%28.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.0
75.5%
71.5%15.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.515.5
54.4%
53.7%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.69.6
28.6%
32.9%28.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.5%
71.5%12.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLWWLWWW
Regatas
LLLLWWWWLL
#8
League position
#4
+10.2
Net rating
-2.5
114.7
Offensive rating
103.2
104.5
Defensive rating
105.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.8%
3-point %
28.6%
46.9%
Assist %
53.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 103.2Defence104.5 · 105.7Shooting54.7% · 48.2%3-point %33.8% · 28.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Independiente de Oliva   ■ Regatas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Independiente de Oliva wins
5
Regatas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AArgentino95-83
07/03/26ARacing de Chivilcoy84-89
16/02/26HUnion De Santa Fe103-75
11/02/26AFerro82-88
05/02/26HSan Martin90-80
29/01/26ASan Lorenzo80-69
28/01/26AGimnasia82-91
17/01/26HArgentino89-81
14/01/26ASan Martin68-67
12/01/26ARegatas88-73
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HGimnasia73-79
07/03/26HSan Lorenzo69-89
22/02/26HPenarol67-86
19/02/26HLa Union67-73
15/02/26ASan Martin91-79
12/02/26AObera TC91-64
31/01/26HBoca Juniors58-55
18/01/26AQuimsa70-69
16/01/26AOlimpico65-72 OT
12/01/26HIndependiente de Oliva73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%77%54%
Points / game86.189.582.7
Allowed / game80.281.379.2
Point differential+5.9+8.2+3.5
Avg total166.3170.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%31%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Regatas
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL58%
HomeWLLLL47%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %58%47%73%
Points / game76.773.780.8
Allowed / game74.271.677.8
Point differential+2.5+2.1+3.0
Avg total150.9145.3158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro2718967%85.282.8+2.4
2 Independiente de Oliva2617965%86.180.2+5.9
3 Quimsa28181064%82.175.5+6.6
4 Gimnasia29181162%81.175.8+5.2
5 Obera TC26161062%80.676.0+4.6
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 La Union29171259%80.679.1+1.4
8 Regatas26151158%76.774.2+2.5
9 Boca Juniors27151256%81.377.8+3.4
10 Penarol27151256%80.780.1+0.6
11 Instituto de Cordoba28151354%75.975.4+0.5
12 San Martin29131645%74.975.7-0.8
13 Union De Santa Fe25111444%81.584.1-2.6
14 Olimpico28111739%78.479.2-0.8
15 Platense27101737%81.384.5-3.3
16 Atenas2591636%74.879.7-4.8
17 San Lorenzo28101836%78.982.9-4.0
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2992031%78.182.3-4.2
19 Argentino2762122%73.889.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Independiente de Oliva2117272489
Regatas2021142883
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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