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Independiente de Oliva vs La Union Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 10 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2026-27
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v La Union
10 Mar 2027
INDE v LA U
upcoming
02 May 2026
INDE97
LA U92
30 Apr 2026
INDE83
LA U78
04 Nov 2025
INDE91
LA U87
22 Apr 2025
INDE82
LA U80
13 Oct 2023
INDE90
LA U72
12 Jan 2023
INDE87
LA U76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
La Union win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 76
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 76
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 76
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 76
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 76
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 76
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 76
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 76
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (La Union) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La UnionArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnion
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
91-102
91
102
-11
84avg 78
H25/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
86-62
86
62
+24
84avg 78
H27/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 78
A01/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
87avg 78
A03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 78
A04/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
90-86
90
86
+4
91avg 78
A06/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
56avg 78
H16/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
no box
H04/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
A09/11
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
57-93
57
93
-36
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
20-23
27-27
23-21
27-14
17-23
25-13
17-12
12-24
27-14
20-17
19-28
20-25
25-21
25-32
22-19
16-21
19-30
28-17
23-24
28-19
29-19
20-22
13-26
19-9
19-18
12-21
15-17
23-12
15-18
22-14
15-13
24-27
17-23
26-30
26-17
13-29
14-26
13-24
17-14
165.9Avg total
81.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.283.2161.3-5.033%
Season at home (2)71.565.5137.0+6.050%
Season away (4)81.592.0173.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)81.684.3165.9-2.730%
Last 5 (5)76.681.4158.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.088.2163.2-13.220%
vs Similar (23)82.382.6164.9-0.348%
vs Weaker (2)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Independiente de OlivaLa Union
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (La Union) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La UnionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H25/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A01/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A06/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H04/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A09/11
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A11/11
Liga A
83.1Avg total
40.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.284.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.883.9+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.683.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.846.484.2-8.640%-
vs Similar (23)42.841.484.2+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)43.541.084.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Uniontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Union: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.8
58.9%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
72.7%18.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
La Union
LLWLWLLLWL
#7
League position
#14
-3.2
Net rating
-3.0
107.5
Offensive rating
112.3
110.8
Defensive rating
115.3
49.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.3%
3-point %
29.6%
43.9%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 112.3Defence110.8 · 115.3Shooting49.1% · 52.5%3-point %29.3% · 29.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Independiente de Oliva   ■ La Union
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
La Unionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALanus57-93
09/11/26ABoca Juniors93-97
04/11/26HArgentino75-57
16/10/26HRacing de Chivilcoy68-74 OT
06/10/26APlatense90-86
04/10/26AGimnasia86-92
03/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva92-97
01/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva78-83
27/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva86-62
25/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva91-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
La Union
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game78.271.581.5
Allowed / game83.265.592.0
Point differential-5.0+6.0-10.5
Avg total161.3137.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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