Independiente de Oliva will host Racing de Chivilcoy in the Liga A on 3 November 2026, a fixture that the Pythia model predicts to be a high-scoring affair with a projected total of 169.0 points, driven by Independiente's 100.0 points per game and Racing's 82.3 points per game. Independiente enters the game 1-1 overall, having scored 100.0 points per game and allowed 95.0, while Racing is 3-4 overall, averaging 82.3 points and conceding 84.3. Independiente's home record is 1-1, and they have won three of their last five games, including a 108-93 victory over Lanus at home on 19 October 2026, but they also fell 92-97 to Ferro at home on 8 October 2026. Racing's road record is 2-1, with two wins in their last five outings, yet they lost 94-95 to Atenas on 1 November 2026 and 72-80 to Boca Juniors on 23 October 2026. The teams have split their two meetings, the most recent ending 89-84 in favour of Racing on 6 March 2026. Pythia rates Independiente as the favourite with a 70% chance of winning, projecting a 88-82 score; the model sees a 49% chance that Independiente will cover the home line of -6.5 and a 77% probability of the over on the 157.0 total, with a 5% chance of overtime. Racing's 30% win probability and the fact that they have struggled to score against top-tier opponents suggest a challenging night for the visitors.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 100.0 | 95.0 | 195.0 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 100.0 | 95.0 | 195.0 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 82.4 | 162.7 | -2.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.6 | 82.6 | 167.2 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 102.0 | 110.0 | 212.0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (20) | 82.3 | 85.1 | 167.4 | -2.8 | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 93.9 | 87.7 | 181.6 | +6.2 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.3 | 84.3 | 166.6 | -2.0 | 43% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.0 | 87.2 | 168.2 | -6.2 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 84.0 | 80.3 | 164.3 | +3.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 83.3 | 165.6 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.6 | 77.8 | 153.4 | -2.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 75.5 | 80.9 | 156.4 | -5.4 | 29% |
| vs Similar (12) | 81.3 | 81.3 | 162.7 | +0.0 | 58% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 94.0 | 94.5 | 188.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.3 | 43.2 | 87.5 | +1.0 | 47% | 87% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 46.5 | 43.3 | 89.8 | +3.2 | 57% | 93% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.3 | 43.2 | 85.5 | -0.9 | 38% | 81% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 41.6 | 84.7 | +1.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 41.8 | 89.0 | +5.4 | 60% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 44.0 | 37.0 | 81.0 | +7.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (20) | 43.2 | 43.8 | 87.0 | -0.5 | 40% | 85% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 46.6 | 42.7 | 89.2 | +3.9 | 56% | 89% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 40.2 | 80.0 | -0.5 | 47% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.1 | 38.8 | 79.9 | +2.4 | 56% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.1 | 41.9 | 80.1 | -3.8 | 36% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 39.9 | 78.9 | -0.9 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.0 | 41.0 | 78.0 | -4.0 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 37.1 | 41.5 | 78.6 | -4.4 | 36% | 57% |
| vs Similar (12) | 41.4 | 37.9 | 79.3 | +3.5 | 58% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 43.8 | 42.8 | 86.5 | +1.0 | 50% | 75% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 160 | 70.6% | 2.20 | 2.29 | 2.10 | - | - | - | +29.0pp |
| Independiente de Oliva over 82 | 71.3% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +22.5pp |
| Racing de Chivilcoy over 76 | 70.5% | 1.79 | 1.79 | - | - | - | - | +22.4pp |
| Racing de Chivilcoy +17.5 | 84.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp |
| Independiente de Oliva win | 70.3% | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.31 | 1.30 | -1.2pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.9 | 20.0 | 54.4% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.0 | 32.6% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.3 | 16.0 | 72.7% | 16.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.6 | 18.7 | 54.4% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.2 | 8.9 | 32.6% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.5 | 17.7 | 72.7% | 17.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | Racing de Chivilcoy v Independiente de Oliva | 89-84 |
| 18/12/25 | Independiente de Oliva v Racing de Chivilcoy | 88-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | A | Atenas | 94-95 OT |
| 25/10/26 | H | Quimsa | 54-68 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 72-80 |
| 16/10/26 | A | La Union | 74-68 OT |
| 14/10/26 | A | Obera TC | 84-78 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Gimnasia | 72-78 |
| 09/10/26 | H | San Martin | 126-123 OT |
| 18/04/26 | H | Regatas | 76-93 |
| 12/04/26 | H | San Lorenzo | 80-66 |
| 10/04/26 | H | Obera TC | 91-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LW | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | - |
| Points / game | 100.0 | 100.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 95.0 | 95.0 | - |
| Point differential | +5.0 | +5.0 | - |
| Avg total | 195.0 | 195.0 | - |
| Over 157.25 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 43% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Points / game | 82.3 | 81.0 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 84.3 | 87.2 | 80.3 |
| Point differential | -2.0 | -6.2 | +3.7 |
| Avg total | 166.6 | 168.2 | 164.3 |
| Over 157.25 | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 84.3 | 73.8 | +10.5 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 82.2 | 74.5 | +7.7 |
| 3 | Atenas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 86.8 | 83.8 | +3.0 |
| 4 | Gimnasia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 76.2 | 72.9 | +3.4 |
| 5 | Argentino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.6 | 78.8 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Instituto de Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 74.6 | 74.2 | +0.4 |
| 7 | Independiente de Oliva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 100.0 | 95.0 | +5.0 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 88.2 | 85.0 | +3.2 |
| 9 | Olimpico | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 86.2 | 84.3 | +1.8 |
| 10 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.3 | 80.3 | +0.0 |
| 11 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 82.3 | 84.3 | -2.0 |
| 12 | Lanus | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.8 | 79.0 | -3.2 |
| 13 | La Union | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 84.0 | -2.7 |
| 14 | Ferro | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.5 | -3.5 |
| 15 | Regatas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 74.8 | 78.2 | -3.5 |
| 16 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 80.8 | -4.5 |
| 17 | Obera TC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 73.4 | 81.2 | -7.8 |
| 18 | San Martin | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 84.8 | 95.2 | -10.3 |
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