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Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-86
14-23 17-17 20-29 16-17
Position#4
Record15-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game72.9
Regatas
Argentina
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#11
Record12-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio José Jorge Conte
Other2025-26
Meetings · Regatas v Penarol
21 Feb 2026
REGA67
PENA86
07 Mar 2025
REGA84
PENA64
11 Oct 2023
REGA80
PENA87
15 Oct 2022
REGA64
PENA74
15 Dec 2021
REGA87
PENA89
14 Feb 2021
REGA81
PENA77
19 Apr 2020
REGA v PENA
upcoming
20 Mar 2019
REGA81
PENA76
14 Mar 2018
REGA88
PENA84
13 Mar 2017
REGA89
PENA91
24 Mar 2016
REGA73
PENA75
28 Apr 2015
REGA93
PENA84
02 Jun 2014
REGA104
PENA73
23 May 2014
REGA82
PENA103
21 May 2014
REGA86
PENA77
20 Feb 2014
REGA80
PENA76
20 Dec 2013
REGA89
PENA96
15 Nov 2012
REGA75
PENA57
12 Feb 2012
REGA79
PENA85
04 May 2011
REGA96
PENA93
02 May 2011
REGA87
PENA77
25 Feb 2011
REGA83
PENA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
77avg 71
H30/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
72avg 71
H07/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
94-57
94
57
+37
88avg 71
H10/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
58avg 71
H12/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
65-72 OT
65
72
-7
no box
A16/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
70-69
70
69
+1
no box
A18/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
58-55
58
55
+3
48avg 71
H31/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
84avg 71
A12/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 71
A15/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 71
H19/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-6
20-22
18-17
20-19
22-21
15-19
23-14
18-12
17-22
33-2
25-20
19-13
20-29
24-23
15-19
14-17
23-17
15-19
12-12
13-15
18-17
16-19
21-18
15-15
11-11
15-22
17-9
15-13
19-22
19-18
24-12
29-12
20-20
25-16
25-23
21-20
14-20
16-20
25-18
12-15
145.8Avg total
77.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.672.9150.5+4.765%
Season at home (12)74.768.3143.0+6.358%
Season away (11)80.877.8158.6+3.073%
Last 10 (10)77.168.7145.8+8.470%
Last 5 (5)75.468.0143.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.478.0157.4+1.457%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.575.1150.6+0.464%
vs Weaker (9)80.969.3150.2+11.667%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
87-67
87
67
+20
88avg 71
H13/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 71
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 71
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 71
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 71
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 71
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 71
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 71
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 71
A20/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-12
29-19
23-13
18-30
18-25
22-16
18-16
18-25
19-13
33-29
13-17
15-26
20-21
18-18
23-11
27-19
18-22
19-16
13-16
20-25
11-16
14-18
28-22
16-20
25-25
13-19
12-25
20-13
25-24
24-19
18-18
19-24
15-15
20-15
15-20
19-18
32-29
16-28
17-13
159.5Avg total
79.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.081.6161.7-1.650%
Season at home (13)79.178.5157.6+0.562%
Season away (11)81.285.3166.5-4.136%
Last 10 (10)79.380.2159.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)75.881.2157.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.881.5162.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (6)87.877.5165.3+10.350%
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
RegatasPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H30/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H10/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H12/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H31/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Liga A
75.3Avg total
38.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.277.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.138.077.1+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.938.578.4+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.575.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.071.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.438.779.1+1.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.939.676.5-2.836%-
vs Weaker (9)42.735.778.3+7.067%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A20/02
Liga A
81.5Avg total
39.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.883.8+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.440.982.2+0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)42.943.085.9-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.581.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.246.589.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.541.983.3-0.445%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.581.5+4.533%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.214.8
54.4%
53.7%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.810.6
29.6%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
71.5%12.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.8
55.6%
53.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
71.5%15.6
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Regatas
LWWWWLLWWW
Penarol
LLWLLWWLLW
#4
League position
#11
+8.9
Net rating
-4.0
105.8
Offensive rating
109.8
97.0
Defensive rating
113.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.6%
3-point %
33.6%
55.9%
Assist %
47.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 109.8Defence97.0 · 113.8Shooting48.7% · 53.5%3-point %29.6% · 33.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Regatas   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Regatas wins
6
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Penarol v Regatas80-84
08/03/25Regatas v Penarol84-64
14/12/24Penarol v Regatas84-65
24/03/24Penarol v Regatas88-76
12/10/23Regatas v Penarol80-87
03/04/23Penarol v Regatas63-58
16/10/22Regatas v Penarol64-74
16/12/21Regatas v Penarol87-89
07/12/21Penarol v Regatas79-82
14/02/21Regatas v Penarol81-77
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HLa Union67-73
15/02/26ASan Martin91-79
12/02/26AObera TC91-64
31/01/26HBoca Juniors58-55
18/01/26AQuimsa70-69
16/01/26AOlimpico65-72 OT
12/01/26HIndependiente de Oliva73-88
10/01/26HRacing de Chivilcoy94-57
07/01/26HObera TC78-66
30/12/25HSan Martin84-64
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ASan Martin84-88
15/02/26HArgentino69-74
05/02/26AOlimpico87-74
03/02/26AQuimsa66-89
24/01/26HObras Sanitarias73-81
22/01/26HGimnasia77-73
15/01/26ARacing de Chivilcoy91-85 OT
13/01/26AArgentino83-84
21/12/25HIndependiente de Oliva76-87
13/12/25HAtenas87-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWLWL58%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%58%73%
Points / game77.674.780.8
Allowed / game72.968.377.8
Point differential+4.7+6.3+3.0
Avg total150.5143.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game80.079.181.2
Allowed / game81.678.585.3
Point differential-1.6+0.5-4.1
Avg total161.7157.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro2316770%86.382.3+4.0
2 Independiente de Oliva2416867%85.879.8+6.1
3 Regatas2315865%77.672.9+4.7
4 Obera TC2415962%81.176.4+4.7
5 Quimsa26161062%80.975.6+5.3
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 Gimnasia26151158%80.276.3+3.9
8 La Union26151158%79.878.1+1.7
9 Boca Juniors26141254%80.777.3+3.4
10 Instituto de Cordoba28151354%75.975.4+0.5
11 Penarol24121250%80.081.6-1.6
12 San Martin26121446%75.674.9+0.7
13 Union De Santa Fe24111346%81.083.5-2.5
14 Platense24101442%81.184.2-3.1
15 Olimpico27111641%78.779.5-0.7
16 San Lorenzo2591636%78.983.4-4.5
17 Atenas2591636%74.879.7-4.8
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2571828%77.681.3-3.6
19 Argentino2552020%72.589.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Regatas1417201667
Penarol2317291786
← all games of the day
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