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Independiente de Oliva vs Regatas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game75.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2026-27
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Regatas
04 Apr 2027
INDE v REGA
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
INDE89
REGA83
16 Feb 2025
INDE87
REGA75
15 Apr 2024
INDE70
REGA78
21 Dec 2022
INDE80
REGA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Regatas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 75
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 75
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 75
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 75
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 75
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 75
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 75
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 75
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (Regatas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 74
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
63avg 74
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 74
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
73-63
73
63
+10
61avg 74
H03/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 74
H18/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
63-72
63
72
-9
56avg 74
A26/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 74
A28/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A07/11
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
A09/11
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-16
25-30
17-20
20-21
21-21
20-15
18-14
31-24
23-17
13-19
18-27
17-12
12-19
18-16
26-16
16-25
23-17
18-19
23-22
22-18
21-19
8-12
12-23
14-32
20-23
25-21
24-19
20-14
11-17
20-13
14-26
17-16
15-19
25-22
23-11
21-21
22-25
14-15
12-18
153.0Avg total
75.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.375.7149.0-2.429%
Season at home (2)76.573.0149.5+3.550%
Season away (5)72.076.8148.8-4.820%
Last 10 (10)75.277.8153.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)72.076.8148.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
vs Similar (20)75.376.3151.6-1.045%
vs Weaker (9)88.079.8167.8+8.278%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Independiente de OlivaRegatas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H18/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A28/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/11
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/11
Liga A
77.9Avg total
37.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.939.577.4-1.531%-
Last 30 away (17)40.639.980.5+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.077.9-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.877.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.055.089.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (20)37.439.677.0-2.225%-
vs Weaker (9)44.638.282.8+6.378%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.7
33.8%
32.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
72.7%14.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
Regatas
LWLLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#15
-3.2
Net rating
+6.4
107.5
Offensive rating
113.1
110.8
Defensive rating
106.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.3%
3-point %
33.8%
43.9%
Assist %
43.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 113.1Defence110.8 · 106.8Shooting49.1% · 50.8%3-point %29.3% · 33.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Independiente de Oliva   ■ Regatas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Independiente de Oliva wins
5
Regatas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AArgentino69-79
09/11/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-68
07/11/26ASan Lorenzo65-70
28/10/26ABoca Juniors83-95
26/10/26ALanus63-72
18/10/26HOlimpico80-83
03/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-63
19/05/26HFerro85-87
15/05/26AFerro79-71
13/05/26AFerro75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Regatas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game73.376.572.0
Allowed / game75.773.076.8
Point differential-2.4+3.5-4.8
Avg total149.0149.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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