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Indiana State vs Southern Illinois Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#195
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game65.8
Indiana State
USA
vs
Southern Illinois
USA
Position#150
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Indiana State v Southern Illinois
21 Jan 2027
INDI v SOUT
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
INDI65
SOUT80
02 Mar 2025
INDI95
SOUT77
28 Nov 2023
INDI77
SOUT48
11 Jan 2023
INDI61
SOUT69
19 Feb 2022
INDI72
SOUT76
26 Jan 2021
INDI71
SOUT59
25 Jan 2021
INDI69
SOUT66
30 Dec 2019
INDI68
SOUT56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#229
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H03/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#266
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Earlham
#538
W
109-37
109
37
+72
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-49
32-27
34-36
26-45
25-39
45-48
23-36
32-30
35-31
44-32
37-28
25-35
30-27
40-51
32-37
37-29
37-44
36-38
53-9
56-28
142.1Avg total
72.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.265.8146.0+14.550%
Season at home (3)84.065.7149.7+18.333%
Season away (1)69.066.0135.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.269.9142.1+2.330%
Last 5 (5)76.665.2141.8+11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.579.9153.4-6.520%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.872.2141.0-3.317%
vs Weaker (8)76.969.2146.1+7.650%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
82-40
82
40
+42
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#268
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#90
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
43-28
28-28
32-42
31-36
35-25
33-30
26-27
36-23
30-32
38-27
43-40
31-27
32-40
34-11
48-29
42-55
51-45
43-32
37-38
138.3Avg total
73.6Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.070.0155.0+15.067%
Season at home (2)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)93.0100.0193.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.664.7138.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)79.868.8148.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.066.8137.8+4.283%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.872.0141.8-2.225%
vs Weaker (7)76.969.4146.3+7.471%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.1+3.1
Indiana StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#229
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#266
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Earlham
#538
W
53-9
53
9
+44
H15/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.869.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.132.269.3+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)32.737.370.1-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.668.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.829.066.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.838.371.1-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.033.769.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)35.832.167.9+3.662%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
34-11
34
11
+23
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#268
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#90
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.764.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.928.161.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.967.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.166.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.468.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.230.261.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.532.263.7-0.744%-
vs Weaker (7)36.334.971.1+1.457%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana State wins
7
Southern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26Southern Illinois v Indiana State66-55
10/02/26Indiana State v Southern Illinois65-80
06/03/25Southern Illinois v Indiana State86-85
02/03/25Indiana State v Southern Illinois95-77
18/02/24Southern Illinois v Indiana State74-69
29/11/23Indiana State v Southern Illinois77-48
12/01/23Indiana State v Southern Illinois61-69
08/12/22Southern Illinois v Indiana State71-74
19/02/22Indiana State v Southern Illinois72-76
20/01/22Southern Illinois v Indiana State63-55
Indiana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HEarlham109-37
12/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee73-82
07/11/26ABall State69-66
03/11/26HCharlotte70-78
06/03/26AValparaiso62-63
01/03/26HIllinois (Chi.)79-63
26/02/26ASouthern Illinois55-66
22/02/26ABelmont70-87
19/02/26HNorthern Iowa60-81
15/02/26AValparaiso75-76
Southern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HRichmond Spiders80-70
07/11/26AUMKC93-100
03/11/26HMaryville82-40
05/03/26HDrake63-67
01/03/26AEvansville81-67
26/02/26HIndiana State66-55
21/02/26ANorthern Iowa59-57
19/02/26ADrake66-61
15/02/26HBradley60-70
13/02/26HEvansville86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game80.284.069.0
Allowed / game65.865.766.0
Point differential+14.5+18.3+3.0
Avg total146.0149.7135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.081.093.0
Allowed / game70.055.0100.0
Point differential+15.0+26.0-7.0
Avg total155.0136.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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