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Indiana vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 77-47
43-28 34-19
Position#145
Record17-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game72.3
Indiana 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#235
Record14-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana v Minnesota
04 Mar 2026
INDI77
MINN47
09 Dec 2024
INDI82
MINN67
12 Jan 2024
INDI74
MINN62
09 Jan 2022
INDI73
MINN60
17 Feb 2021
INDI82
MINN72
04 Mar 2020
INDI72
MINN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
82-59
82
59
+23
A23/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H28/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
A31/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
51-71
51
71
-20
A15/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-32
35-27
40-29
32-38
30-36
46-40
30-35
45-46
36-30
36-42
36-30
56-44
31-38
20-33
29-46
35-47
42-33
26-39
37-45
27-32
151.2Avg total
74.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.872.3151.1+6.559%
Season at home (18)83.268.4151.6+14.878%
Season away (11)71.678.7150.4-7.127%
Last 10 (10)74.476.8151.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)67.877.4145.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.280.6147.9-13.412%
vs Similar (8)74.573.1147.6+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.467.1153.5+19.479%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
21-46
35-17
28-50
31-41
44-36
32-21
44-52
33-32
29-35
26-39
31-30
22-17
39-27
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
136.0Avg total
67.6Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.068.2139.2+2.848%
Season at home (19)73.465.2138.6+8.263%
Season away (10)66.573.9140.4-7.420%
Last 10 (10)67.668.4136.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)68.664.8133.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.975.2144.1-6.231%
vs Similar (8)69.170.5139.6-1.438%
vs Weaker (9)75.056.6131.6+18.478%
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -3.4-3.4
IndianaMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H28/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A31/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/03
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.432.571.9+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.929.873.7+14.189%-
Last 30 away (12)32.736.769.3-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.471.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.038.571.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (8)36.831.468.1+5.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.629.874.4+14.886%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.762.9+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.828.963.8+5.865%-
Last 30 away (10)30.031.261.2-1.220%-
Last 10 (10)31.929.361.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.430.460.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.331.563.8+0.838%-
vs Similar (8)30.631.862.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (9)36.825.362.1+11.489%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Indiana wins
1
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Minnesota v Indiana73-64
09/12/24Indiana v Minnesota82-67
07/03/24Minnesota v Indiana58-70
12/01/24Indiana v Minnesota74-62
26/01/23Minnesota v Indiana57-61
27/02/22Minnesota v Indiana79-84
09/01/22Indiana v Minnesota73-60
18/02/21Indiana v Minnesota82-72
05/03/20Indiana v Minnesota72-67
20/02/20Minnesota v Indiana56-68
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HMichigan State64-77
25/02/26HNorthwestern68-72
21/02/26APurdue64-93
15/02/26AIllinois51-71
10/02/26HOregon92-74
07/02/26HWisconsin78-77 OT
04/02/26AUSC75-81
31/01/26AUCLA98-97 OT
28/01/26HPurdue72-67
23/01/26ARutgers82-59
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
18/02/26AOregon61-44
15/02/26AWashington57-69
08/02/26HMaryland62-67
05/02/26HMichigan State76-73
01/02/26APenn State75-77
29/01/26AWisconsin63-67
24/01/26HNebraska57-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL59%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %59%78%27%
Points / game78.883.271.6
Allowed / game72.368.478.7
Point differential+6.5+14.8-7.1
Avg total151.1151.6150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%61%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW48%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %48%63%20%
Points / game71.073.466.5
Allowed / game68.265.273.9
Point differential+2.8+8.2-7.4
Avg total139.2138.6140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%37%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)43% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %10%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2927293%89.068.7+20.2
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State2924583%78.366.3+12.0
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue2922776%82.369.9+12.4
6 Iowa2920969%75.765.0+10.7
7 Wisconsin2920969%83.076.0+6.9
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State29181162%79.673.2+6.4
10 USC29181162%79.276.9+2.2
11 Indiana29171259%78.872.3+6.5
12 Washington29141548%76.272.7+3.5
13 Minnesota29141548%71.068.2+2.8
14 Northwestern29131645%73.772.5+1.2
15 Penn State29121741%74.879.1-4.4
16 Rutgers29121741%70.275.4-5.2
17 Maryland29111838%70.777.1-6.4
18 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana433477
Minnesota281947
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