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Indiana vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 61-74
37-36 24-38
Position#145
Record18-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#251
Record14-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana v Northwestern
11 Mar 2026
INDI61
NORT74
24 Feb 2026
INDI68
NORT72
18 Feb 2024
INDI72
NORT76
08 Jan 2023
INDI83
NORT84
23 Dec 2020
INDI67
NORT74
08 Jan 2020
INDI66
NORT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
A31/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
51-71
51
71
-20
A15/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
46-40
30-35
45-46
36-30
36-42
36-30
56-44
31-38
20-33
29-46
35-47
42-33
26-39
37-45
27-32
43-28
34-19
33-50
45-41
152.5Avg total
74.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.772.1150.8+6.658%
Season at home (19)82.867.3150.1+15.679%
Season away (12)72.279.8151.9-7.625%
Last 10 (10)74.578.0152.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)70.276.0146.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.280.6147.9-13.412%
vs Similar (8)76.975.5152.4+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.966.8151.7+18.179%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
44-84
44
84
-40
A05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
19-47
25-37
35-39
35-37
44-35
31-52
27-28
22-40
35-34
43-40
33-42
39-26
29-36
34-26
34-25
32-45
29-39
37-28
34-32
42-34
138.1Avg total
65.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.372.0145.3+1.244%
Season at home (19)77.670.6148.3+7.058%
Season away (13)66.974.1141.0-7.223%
Last 10 (10)65.972.2138.1-6.340%
Last 5 (5)68.666.6135.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.576.4143.9-8.914%
vs Similar (9)73.974.2148.1-0.344%
vs Weaker (7)84.166.9151.0+17.386%
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -2.5-2.5
IndianaNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A31/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/03
NCAA
71.8Avg total
34.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.272.2+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.130.173.2+12.989%-
Last 30 away (12)33.037.870.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.171.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.477.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.038.571.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (8)37.233.070.2+4.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.530.273.7+13.386%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
31.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.470.0-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.933.570.5+3.471%-
Last 30 away (13)31.437.969.3-6.523%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.767.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.866.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.137.170.2-4.136%-
vs Similar (9)33.435.168.6-1.744%-
vs Weaker (7)38.932.471.3+6.486%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana wins
7
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Indiana v Northwestern68-72
23/01/25Northwestern v Indiana79-70
18/02/24Indiana v Northwestern72-76
16/02/23Northwestern v Indiana64-62
08/01/23Indiana v Northwestern83-84
09/02/22Northwestern v Indiana59-51
10/02/21Northwestern v Indiana76-79 OT
24/12/20Indiana v Northwestern67-74
09/01/20Indiana v Northwestern66-62
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AOhio State78-91
04/03/26HMinnesota77-47
01/03/26HMichigan State64-77
25/02/26HNorthwestern68-72
21/02/26APurdue64-93
15/02/26AIllinois51-71
10/02/26HOregon92-74
07/02/26HWisconsin78-77 OT
04/02/26AUSC75-81
31/01/26AUCLA98-97 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HPenn State76-66
08/03/26AMinnesota66-67
05/03/26HPurdue66-70
28/02/26HOregon63-62
25/02/26AIndiana72-68
19/02/26HMaryland78-74
14/02/26ANebraska49-68
12/02/26HMichigan75-87
08/02/26AIowa70-76
05/02/26AIllinois44-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLLW79%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %58%79%25%
Points / game78.782.872.2
Allowed / game72.167.379.8
Point differential+6.6+15.6-7.6
Avg total150.8150.1151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%63%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %44%58%23%
Points / game73.377.666.9
Allowed / game72.070.674.1
Point differential+1.2+7.0-7.2
Avg total145.3148.3141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3129294%88.469.1+19.4
2 Nebraska3126584%77.966.0+11.9
3 Michigan State3125681%78.867.8+11.0
4 Illinois3124777%84.369.1+15.1
5 Purdue3123874%82.370.7+11.6
6 Wisconsin3122971%83.375.6+7.7
7 UCLA31211068%78.070.9+7.1
8 Iowa32211166%75.465.8+9.6
9 Ohio State31201165%80.573.0+7.5
10 Indiana31181358%78.772.1+6.6
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington32161650%77.073.3+3.7
13 Minnesota31151648%70.168.4+1.7
14 Northwestern32141844%73.372.0+1.2
15 Rutgers31131842%70.975.5-4.6
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana372461
Northwestern363874
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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