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Iowa vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-70
39-35 37-35
Position#81
Record17-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game63.5
Iowa 🏆
USA
vs
Position#251
Record10-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa v Northwestern
08 Feb 2026
IOWA76
NORT70
03 Dec 2024
IOWA80
NORT79
31 Jan 2023
IOWA86
NORT70
10 Mar 2022
IOWA112
NORT76
28 Feb 2022
IOWA82
NORT61
29 Dec 2020
IOWA87
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H29/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A17/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H21/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H29/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A02/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-30
43-32
40-22
34-39
24-31
43-39
24-35
45-40
34-31
38-48
38-28
36-29
31-24
37-38
27-28
46-44
35-26
49-40
41-48
43-26
143.3Avg total
75.5Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.263.5141.7+14.777%
Season at home (14)83.462.0145.4+21.493%
Season away (8)69.266.1135.4+3.150%
Last 10 (10)75.567.8143.3+7.770%
Last 5 (5)76.666.2142.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.083.8157.8-9.80%
vs Similar (10)72.766.9139.6+5.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.963.5146.3+19.493%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H17/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A22/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
44-84
44
84
-40
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
44-50
35-28
31-48
35-33
32-34
33-38
35-41
29-34
29-43
31-28
43-40
31-41
33-30
45-40
49-33
27-39
35-37
19-47
25-37
144.8Avg total
68.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.272.5147.7+2.743%
Season at home (14)79.870.2150.0+9.657%
Season away (9)68.176.0144.1-7.922%
Last 10 (10)68.376.5144.8-8.220%
Last 5 (5)67.674.4142.0-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.276.5143.7-9.38%
vs Similar (12)73.667.2140.8+6.467%
vs Weaker (6)86.565.5152.0+21.083%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -3.7-3.7
IowaNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H29/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H21/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
34.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.667.4+6.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.428.467.8+11.071%-
Last 30 away (13)33.433.566.8-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.364.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.865.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.835.269.0-1.440%-
vs Similar (10)35.231.266.4+4.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.928.767.5+10.267%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H17/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A22/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A05/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
31.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.968.6+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.432.469.8+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)31.635.667.1-4.043%-
Last 10 (10)31.936.268.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.639.069.6-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.037.869.8-5.833%-
vs Similar (12)34.531.566.0+3.067%-
vs Weaker (6)40.330.871.2+9.5100%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Iowa wins
2
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Northwestern v Iowa68-57
04/12/24Iowa v Northwestern80-79
02/03/24Northwestern v Iowa80-87
19/02/23Northwestern v Iowa80-60
01/02/23Iowa v Northwestern86-70
10/03/22Iowa v Northwestern112-76
01/03/22Iowa v Northwestern82-61
17/01/21Northwestern v Iowa73-96
30/12/20Iowa v Northwestern87-72
15/01/20Northwestern v Iowa62-75
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26AWashington84-74
02/02/26AOregon84-66
29/01/26HUSC73-72
21/01/26HRutgers68-62
17/01/26AIndiana74-57
14/01/26APurdue72-79
11/01/26HIllinois69-75
07/01/26AMinnesota67-70
03/01/26HUCLA74-61
29/12/25HUMass Lowell90-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26AIllinois44-84
01/02/26HWashington62-76
30/01/26HPenn State94-73
24/01/26AUCLA64-71
22/01/26AUSC74-68
17/01/26HNebraska58-77
15/01/26HIllinois68-79
11/01/26ARutgers75-77 OT
08/01/26AMichigan State66-76
03/01/26HMinnesota78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %77%93%50%
Points / game78.283.469.2
Allowed / game63.562.066.1
Point differential+14.7+21.4+3.1
Avg total141.7145.4135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLLLWL57%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %43%57%22%
Points / game75.279.868.1
Allowed / game72.570.276.0
Point differential+2.7+9.6-7.9
Avg total147.7150.0144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2322196%91.068.6+22.4
2 Nebraska2321291%80.066.1+13.9
3 Illinois2420483%84.567.9+16.6
4 Michigan State2420483%79.165.6+13.5
5 Purdue2319483%83.068.7+14.2
6 Iowa2217577%78.263.5+14.7
7 USC2418675%81.275.3+6.0
8 UCLA2417771%78.869.8+9.0
9 Wisconsin2316770%83.075.2+7.8
10 Indiana2416867%81.171.2+9.8
11 Ohio State2315865%81.373.3+7.9
12 Washington24121250%77.973.5+4.4
13 Minnesota24111346%71.568.9+2.6
14 Northwestern23101343%75.272.5+2.7
15 Penn State24101442%76.179.6-3.5
16 Maryland2391439%71.879.0-7.2
17 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
18 Oregon2381535%71.774.3-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa393776
Northwestern353570
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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