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Inowroclaw vs Leszno Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.3
Inowroclaw
Poland
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Leszno
Poland
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game75.4
Poland1 LigaRound 15· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2026-27
Meetings · Inowroclaw v Leszno
27 Dec 2026
INOW v LESZ
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
INOW101
LESZ91
01 Feb 2017
INOW73
LESZ71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 72
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
71avg 72
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 72
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 72
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 72
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
77-96
77
96
-19
64avg 72
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
68avg 72
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 72
A31/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H08/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
12-20
20-19
15-29
15-13
20-19
20-15
25-19
16-19
20-12
18-18
21-13
12-17
25-23
25-29
25-21
22-27
24-18
20-11
19-24
20-20
27-21
13-32
17-23
21-13
20-26
16-15
13-16
16-24
14-13
15-25
30-21
21-23
25-16
10-19
24-18
17-16
25-25
20-20
22-17
157.5Avg total
78.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.278.3158.6+1.967%
Season at home (4)79.873.0152.8+6.8100%
Season away (5)80.682.6163.2-2.040%
Last 10 (10)78.978.6157.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.081.4160.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
vs Similar (13)77.276.8154.1+0.438%
vs Weaker (7)81.477.3158.7+4.171%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 78
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 78
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 78
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 78
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 78
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 78
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 78
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
84-59
84
59
+25
87avg 78
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 78
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-17
23-22
26-22
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
29-19
16-21
20-8
25-28
29-27
24-24
31-22
16-16
168.9Avg total
90.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.075.4167.4+16.6100%
Season at home (5)90.874.0164.8+16.8100%
Season away (3)94.077.7171.7+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)90.578.4168.9+12.190%
Last 5 (5)93.477.2170.6+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
vs Similar (11)78.382.2160.5-3.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.274.3163.6+14.9100%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
InowroclawLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A31/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/11
1 Liga
77.0Avg total
39.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.479.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.739.481.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.577.1-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.877.0+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.741.679.3-3.930%-
vs Similar (13)40.137.477.5+2.754%-
vs Weaker (7)41.140.181.3+1.071%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H07/11
1 Liga
87.5Avg total
45.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.683.5+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.985.9-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.287.5+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.686.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (11)40.242.282.4-2.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.038.784.7+7.3100%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.0
48.8%
53.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.1
31.3%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.214.9
64.2%
70.8%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
53.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
70.8%16.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
WWLWLWLWWL
Leszno
WWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#1
-1.0
Net rating
+12.5
87.9
Offensive rating
102.8
89.0
Defensive rating
90.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
36.7%
60.5%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 102.8Defence89.0 · 90.3Shooting48.1% · 55.4%3-point %31.3% · 36.7%Ball care14.5% · 13.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Inowroclaw wins
2
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Leszno v Inowroclaw72-66
22/11/25Inowroclaw v Leszno101-91
01/02/17Inowroclaw v Leszno73-71
19/10/16Leszno v Inowroclaw79-67
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKrosno84-78
08/11/26HPoli. Opolska80-76
31/10/26APoznan75-83
24/10/26HBytom79-74 OT
17/10/26AGKS Tychy77-96
11/10/26HStarogard Gdanski85-80
04/10/26APolonia Warszawa87-90
26/09/26HR. Rzeszow75-62
18/09/26AWKK Wroclaw80-66
15/04/26ASpojnia Stargard67-81
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HPoznan100-89
31/10/26ABytom90-76
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
11/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg90-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game80.279.880.6
Allowed / game78.373.082.6
Point differential+1.9+6.8-2.0
Avg total158.6152.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.090.894.0
Allowed / game75.474.077.7
Point differential+16.6+16.8+16.3
Avg total167.4164.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
8 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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