PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Inowroclaw vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-74
16-20 19-25 17-23 24-6
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#15
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game72.8
Poland1 LigaRound 5· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2025-26
Meetings · Inowroclaw v Poznan
13 Feb 2027
INOW v POZN
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
INOW76
POZN74
29 Sep 2024
INOW81
POZN71
14 Jan 2017
INOW92
POZN62
17 Mar 2010
INOW52
POZN87
19 Nov 2008
INOW74
POZN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 71
H22/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
88-66
88
66
+22
86avg 71
A29/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 71
H05/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 71
A12/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
55avg 71
A13/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 71
H16/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
56avg 71
H20/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
73avg 71
A27/09
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
65-110
65
110
-45
57avg 71
H01/10
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 71
A05/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-24
16-17
23-22
24-19
22-18
25-14
17-15
19-18
19-29
13-19
17-19
16-21
10-25
13-16
13-15
21-20
15-24
12-25
18-23
21-22
22-18
15-17
11-18
17-21
18-22
20-31
14-17
24-22
20-24
21-29
25-23
20-25
14-37
12-21
19-27
20-8
23-17
19-16
21-21
157.5Avg total
72.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.890.2167.0-13.525%
Season at home (2)67.0100.5167.5-33.50%
Season away (2)86.580.0166.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)72.784.8157.5-12.120%
Last 5 (5)75.287.2162.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.385.3154.6-16.015%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.478.9157.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (5)86.277.6163.8+8.680%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Lancut
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
64avg 74
H08/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 74
A12/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 74
H15/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 74
A23/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
55avg 74
H29/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 74
A05/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 74
A20/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 74
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 74
A01/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
59avg 74
H05/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-24
22-29
15-28
19-27
27-23
21-18
19-16
15-24
18-15
17-25
25-24
22-25
24-21
12-29
14-20
13-24
20-26
18-25
23-14
18-20
20-21
18-12
23-19
18-21
14-19
17-20
26-21
25-11
25-18
23-13
18-22
25-17
14-18
25-14
26-15
15-20
22-18
22-24
12-20
161.4Avg total
79.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.872.8154.5+9.050%
Season at home (2)81.073.0154.0+8.050%
Season away (2)82.572.5155.0+10.050%
Last 10 (10)79.082.4161.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)81.272.6153.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.082.0157.0-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.282.3163.5-1.143%
vs Weaker (5)88.886.0174.8+2.860%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
InowroclawPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H22/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H05/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A12/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A27/09
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
34-62
34
62
-28
H01/10
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A05/10
1 Liga
82.6Avg total
38.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.281.7-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.245.285.4-5.036%-
Last 30 away (16)38.839.678.4-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.382.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.544.781.2-8.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.440.681.0-0.242%-
vs Weaker (5)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H08/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A12/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H15/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A05/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/10
1 Liga
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.782.2-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.041.282.2-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.282.2-2.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.241.581.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.940.680.5-0.729%-
vs Weaker (5)43.046.889.8-3.820%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.5
50.1%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.3
27.0%
31.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.013.2
62.9%
70.0%13.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.0
51.0%
52.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
31.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.812.7
67.6%
70.0%12.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
WLLLLLLLWL
Poznan
LWWLWLLLWL
#14
League position
#15
-16.5
Net rating
-4.1
98.2
Offensive rating
104.7
114.7
Defensive rating
108.8
46.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.0%
3-point %
32.3%
60.1%
Assist %
49.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 104.7Defence114.7 · 108.8Shooting46.1% · 50.0%3-point %27.0% · 32.3%Ball care17.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Inowroclaw wins
5
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Poznan v Inowroclaw80-63
29/09/24Inowroclaw v Poznan81-71
14/01/17Inowroclaw v Poznan92-62
01/10/16Poznan v Inowroclaw70-67
17/03/10Inowroclaw v Poznan52-87
28/11/09Poznan v Inowroclaw80-72
21/02/09Poznan v Inowroclaw96-91
19/11/08Inowroclaw v Poznan74-63 OT
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25AZubry Bialystok83-62
01/10/25HBydgoszcz65-110
27/09/25APoli. Opolska90-98
20/09/25HLKS Lodz69-91
16/04/25HKrosno69-75
13/04/25AKrosno66-92
12/04/25AKrosno52-77
05/04/25HKrosno68-85
29/03/25ATrefl Sopot II88-66
22/03/25HPolonia Warszawa77-92
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HPolonia Warszawa71-82
01/10/25ALeszno90-64
27/09/25HLancut91-64
20/09/25AGKS Tychy75-81
05/04/25AHydroTruck Radom79-72
29/03/25HWKK Wroclaw74-89
23/03/25APoli. Opolska72-95
15/03/25HPelplin75-88
12/03/25ALKS Lodz86-84
08/03/25HLancut77-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game76.867.086.5
Allowed / game90.2100.580.0
Point differential-13.5-33.5+6.5
Avg total167.0167.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.881.082.5
Allowed / game72.873.072.5
Point differential+9.0+8.0+10.0
Avg total154.5154.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz440100%91.271.0+20.2
2 Starogard Gdanski440100%88.275.0+13.2
3 GKS Tychy54180%89.283.0+6.2
4 LKS Lodz43175%84.872.5+12.2
5 Polonia Warszawa43175%84.581.8+2.8
6 Spojnia Stargard43175%83.881.2+2.5
7 Lancut43175%81.880.8+1.0
8 Pelplin53260%90.688.4+2.2
9 Poznan42250%81.872.8+9.0
10 WKK Wroclaw41325%77.279.0-1.8
11 R. Rzeszow41325%76.579.2-2.8
12 Poli. Opolska41325%81.584.8-3.2
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg41325%69.577.0-7.5
14 Inowroclaw41325%76.890.2-13.5
15 Miners Katowice51420%73.684.6-11.0
16 Leszno51420%68.082.6-14.6
17 Zubry Bialystok4040%75.085.8-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Inowroclaw1619172476
Poznan202523674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.