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Poznan vs Inowroclaw Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-63
22-16 13-13 24-16 21-18
Position#12
Record10-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.0
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#9
Record11-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.9
Poland1 LigaRound 18· Cityzen hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poznan v Inowroclaw
31 Oct 2026
POZN83
INOW75
31 Jan 2026
POZN81
INOW75
04 Jan 2025
POZN80
INOW63
01 Oct 2016
POZN70
INOW67
28 Nov 2009
POZN80
INOW72
21 Feb 2009
POZN96
INOW91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Inowroclaw winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#5
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 78
H02/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
68avg 78
A09/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 78
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 78
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 78
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 78
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 78
H04/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 78
A08/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 78
H14/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 78
A22/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-22
11-13
14-9
17-21
15-15
30-25
19-18
28-25
27-27
20-21
25-11
20-26
26-25
13-22
22-25
21-22
19-23
22-17
20-19
23-23
14-24
22-19
17-20
17-24
30-23
20-25
27-24
28-23
25-19
19-19
24-33
18-23
22-19
19-19
20-15
21-19
20-23
29-20
14-23
169.3Avg total
84.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.082.0168.0+4.059%
Season at home (9)89.979.1169.0+10.878%
Season away (8)81.685.2166.9-3.638%
Last 10 (10)84.884.5169.3+0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.887.4173.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.390.0176.3-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.383.9168.2+0.444%
vs Weaker (11)89.974.5164.4+15.5100%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
90avg 78
H03/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
72-97
72
97
-25
59avg 78
A10/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
96-60
96
60
+36
100avg 78
H13/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
75-90
75
90
-15
68avg 78
A17/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
90-88
90
88
+2
89avg 78
H01/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
68avg 78
A04/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 78
H07/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 78
A15/12
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
74avg 78
H22/12
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
54avg 78
A29/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-27
24-22
24-21
17-24
18-31
14-21
23-21
24-12
16-16
35-16
21-16
11-28
24-23
15-19
25-20
21-29
22-20
22-19
25-20
14-25
21-16
18-25
23-22
19-18
20-16
25-23
19-20
21-18
19-13
24-20
17-22
29-23
22-24
20-18
18-22
19-20
16-23
24-22
8-24
166.3Avg total
82.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.282.9166.1+0.365%
Season at home (9)87.978.9166.8+9.0100%
Season away (8)77.987.4165.2-9.525%
Last 10 (10)82.384.0166.3-1.760%
Last 5 (5)79.282.8162.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.882.9159.7-6.150%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.280.0157.2-2.844%
vs Weaker (2)89.587.5177.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
PoznanInowroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A09/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/12
1 Liga
88.9Avg total
44.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.186.0+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.784.9+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)43.643.587.1+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.888.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.087.6-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.045.389.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.941.985.8+1.950%-
vs Weaker (11)46.538.885.4+7.782%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A10/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A17/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/12
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H22/12
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/12
1 Liga
82.6Avg total
39.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.680.0-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.937.279.1+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)36.944.180.9-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.782.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.142.683.7-1.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.638.776.3-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)47.048.095.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.2
50.9%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
70.2%17.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.2
52.0%
51.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.2
65.3%
70.2%13.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWWLLWLWWW
Inowroclaw
LWWWLWLWLW
#12
League position
#9
+0.4
Net rating
-2.2
108.5
Offensive rating
107.0
108.1
Defensive rating
109.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
34.8%
58.6%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 107.0Defence108.1 · 109.2Shooting50.8% · 52.1%3-point %33.8% · 34.8%Ball care16.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Poznan   ■ Inowroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poznan wins
3
Inowroclaw wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Inowroclaw v Poznan81-71
14/01/17Inowroclaw v Poznan92-62
01/10/16Poznan v Inowroclaw70-67
17/03/10Inowroclaw v Poznan52-87
28/11/09Poznan v Inowroclaw80-72
21/02/09Poznan v Inowroclaw96-91
19/11/08Inowroclaw v Poznan74-63 OT
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AWKK Wroclaw84-85
14/12/24HPoli. Opolska79-76
08/12/24APelplin96-94
04/12/24HLKS Lodz94-96
30/11/24ALancut76-86
24/11/24HHydroTruck Radom82-81
16/11/24AKrosno81-98
13/11/24HTrefl Sopot II100-84
09/11/24APolonia Warszawa81-79
02/11/24HGKS Tychy75-66
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AKrosno67-89
22/12/24HTrefl Sopot II89-87
15/12/24APolonia Warszawa81-73
07/12/24HGKS Tychy83-77
04/12/24ABydgoszcz76-88
01/12/24HR. Rzeszow90-88
17/11/24AStarogard Gdanski75-90
13/11/24HSlask Wroclaw II96-60
10/11/24AMKKS Koszalin72-97
03/11/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg94-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game86.089.981.6
Allowed / game82.079.185.2
Point differential+4.0+10.8-3.6
Avg total168.0169.0166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%100%25%
Points / game83.287.977.9
Allowed / game82.978.987.4
Point differential+0.3+9.0-9.5
Avg total166.1166.8165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno1713476%85.480.9+4.4
2 Bydgoszcz1712571%82.377.1+5.2
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1711665%80.273.9+6.2
4 Inowroclaw1711665%83.282.9+0.3
5 Poznan1710759%86.082.0+4.0
6 Pelplin1710759%84.982.9+2.1
7 GKS Tychy1810856%80.878.3+2.5
8 Lancut179853%84.682.9+1.6
9 WKK Wroclaw179853%80.679.2+1.4
10 Polonia Warszawa178947%84.682.5+2.1
11 Poli. Opolska178947%81.782.0-0.3
12 Starogard Gdanski1881044%83.182.2+0.9
13 LKS Lodz1771041%84.986.8-1.9
14 MKKS Koszalin1771041%79.584.3-4.8
15 Slask Wroclaw II1761135%74.880.1-5.2
16 Trefl Sopot II1751229%83.186.6-3.5
17 HydroTruck Radom1751229%77.782.2-4.5
18 R. Rzeszow1751229%75.385.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan2213242180
Inowroclaw1613161863
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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