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Leszno vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-90
17-25 18-14 14-25 15-26
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.0
Leszno
Poland
vs
Poznan 🏆
Poland
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game72.5
Poland1 LigaRound 3· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leszno v Poznan
07 Nov 2026
LESZ100
POZN89
01 Oct 2025
LESZ64
POZN90
22 Jan 2020
LESZ68
POZN88
31 Mar 2019
LESZ86
POZN96
31 Jan 2018
LESZ82
POZN63
10 Dec 2016
LESZ82
POZN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Ksiezak Lowicz
#5
L
78-101
78
101
-23
no box
A25/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#14
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H31/01
1 Liga
Pogon Prudnik
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A08/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H12/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A15/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
A26/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H29/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H07/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
64avg 76
H19/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
91-81
91
81
+10
89avg 76
A28/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
20-14
15-28
18-28
25-31
21-14
21-21
27-13
26-29
17-17
12-18
29-23
23-20
26-16
16-20
14-15
21-15
24-21
27-18
20-20
29-15
19-16
15-18
24-17
19-26
15-24
15-12
21-18
11-19
22-33
21-18
18-19
15-15
23-22
11-21
17-25
26-16
19-16
27-21
19-28
162.4Avg total
81.3Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.381.1162.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.279.8157.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.083.7161.7-5.727%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.285.4168.7-2.238%
vs Weaker (3)87.780.7168.3+7.067%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 75
A26/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 75
H02/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
64avg 75
H08/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 75
A12/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 75
H15/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 75
A23/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
55avg 75
H29/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 75
A05/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 75
A20/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 75
H27/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
24-19
20-27
22-21
23-22
19-19
13-21
16-18
21-24
19-24
22-29
15-28
19-27
27-23
21-18
19-16
15-24
18-15
17-25
25-24
22-25
24-21
12-29
14-20
13-24
20-26
18-25
23-14
18-20
20-21
18-12
23-19
18-21
14-19
17-20
26-21
25-11
25-18
23-13
18-22
163.8Avg total
78.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.072.5155.5+10.550%
Season at home (1)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.785.1163.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)78.280.2158.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.0161.0-7.020%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.082.4163.4-1.545%
vs Weaker (5)88.886.0174.8+2.860%
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
LesznoPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ksiezak Lowicz
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H31/01
1 Liga
Pogon Prudnik
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H12/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A26/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H29/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H07/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A28/09
1 Liga
83.6Avg total
42.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.981.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.840.680.4-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.282.1-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.083.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.542.482.8-1.945%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.841.981.7-2.231%-
vs Weaker (3)43.730.073.7+13.7100%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A26/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H08/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A12/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H15/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A05/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H27/09
1 Liga
83.4Avg total
40.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.483.3-1.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.782.7-2.620%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.983.4-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.243.083.2-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.641.181.8-0.530%-
vs Weaker (5)43.046.889.8-3.820%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.0
51.5%
52.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.5
35.7%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws30.021.0
70.0%
70.0%21.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.3
50.7%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.4
32.4%
31.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
70.0%12.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WLLLWWWLWL
Poznan
WLWLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#15
-5.5
Net rating
-8.4
94.6
Offensive rating
104.9
100.1
Defensive rating
113.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
40.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
25.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.56
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
32.4%
69.4%
Assist %
47.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 104.9Defence100.1 · 113.3Shooting52.3% · 49.9%3-point %35.7% · 32.4%Ball care25.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds19.0% · 27.9%Free throws0.56 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Leszno   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leszno wins
5
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
22/01/20Leszno v Poznan68-88
16/10/19Poznan v Leszno104-101
31/03/19Leszno v Poznan86-96
22/12/18Poznan v Leszno78-65
31/01/18Leszno v Poznan82-63
18/10/17Poznan v Leszno71-68
25/03/17Poznan v Leszno67-68
10/12/16Leszno v Poznan82-69
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25AZubry Bialystok91-81
19/09/25HBydgoszcz66-83
07/03/20HGKS Tychy72-89
29/02/20HLancut70-80
26/02/20AWKK Wroclaw87-66
15/02/20APoli. Opolska92-74
12/02/20HKrosno79-71
08/02/20APogon Prudnik84-87
31/01/20HKotwica Kolobrzeg94-79
25/01/20AKsiezak Lowicz78-101
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HLancut91-64
20/09/25AGKS Tychy75-81
05/04/25AHydroTruck Radom79-72
29/03/25HWKK Wroclaw74-89
23/03/25APoli. Opolska72-95
15/03/25HPelplin75-88
12/03/25ALKS Lodz86-84
08/03/25HLancut77-105
02/03/25HKrosno71-80
26/02/25ATrefl Sopot II87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game78.566.091.0
Allowed / game82.083.081.0
Point differential-3.5-17.0+10.0
Avg total160.5149.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.091.075.0
Allowed / game72.564.081.0
Point differential+10.5+27.0-6.0
Avg total155.5155.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Starogard Gdanski220100%83.566.5+17.0
2 Bydgoszcz220100%86.072.0+14.0
3 Pelplin220100%94.580.5+14.0
4 LKS Lodz220100%86.574.5+12.0
5 GKS Tychy330100%88.378.7+9.7
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg110100%76.070.0+6.0
7 Lancut32167%77.780.3-2.7
8 Poznan21150%83.072.5+10.5
9 Poli. Opolska21150%89.087.0+2.0
10 Leszno21150%78.582.0-3.5
11 Polonia Warszawa21150%81.084.5-3.5
12 WKK Wroclaw2020%75.079.0-4.0
13 Spojnia Stargard1010%102.0107.0-5.0
14 Zubry Bialystok2020%75.583.0-7.5
15 R. Rzeszow3030%74.383.0-8.7
16 Inowroclaw2020%79.594.5-15.0
17 Miners Katowice3030%70.092.7-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leszno1718141564
Poznan2514252690
← all games of the day
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