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Poznan vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-88
15-24 18-15 17-25 25-24
Position#12
Record15-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record17-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.9
Poland1 LigaRound 31· Cityzen hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poznan v Pelplin
27 Dec 2026
POZN v PELP
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
POZN79
PELP97
15 Mar 2025
POZN75
PELP88
23 Sep 2023
POZN78
PELP96
19 Mar 2023
POZN61
PELP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
91-64
91
64
+27
83avg 77
A19/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H25/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
96-100
96
100
-4
87avg 77
A01/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 77
A05/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 77
A08/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
78avg 77
H15/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 77
A26/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 77
H02/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
64avg 77
H08/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 77
A12/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
20-17
27-16
25-18
16-18
18-19
21-24
18-24
25-24
12-27
26-23
33-26
18-20
31-19
21-22
23-25
21-21
15-24
9-27
22-18
20-24
24-12
22-21
21-13
21-26
24-19
20-27
22-21
23-22
19-19
13-21
16-18
21-24
19-24
22-29
15-28
19-27
27-23
21-18
19-16
168.5Avg total
82.8Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.782.2165.9+1.550%
Season at home (15)85.580.2165.7+5.360%
Season away (15)81.984.2166.1-2.340%
Last 10 (10)82.885.7168.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)81.686.4168.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.783.3163.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.681.3163.9+1.453%
vs Weaker (5)92.684.4177.0+8.260%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
66-101
66
101
-35
41avg 75
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
91avg 75
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
71-97
71
97
-26
54avg 75
A02/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 75
H05/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
82avg 75
A09/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 75
H15/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
91avg 75
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 75
A02/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
80-70
80
70
+10
78avg 75
A08/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 75
H12/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
18-21
16-22
15-25
28-19
24-16
12-18
22-15
21-26
18-25
18-26
14-20
22-8
25-14
12-25
18-21
22-22
16-25
24-16
20-20
21-24
26-21
22-19
8-28
29-15
32-29
17-25
14-22
13-16
14-22
14-13
28-20
23-24
13-19
23-13
21-14
30-18
14-17
21-20
19-14
159.4Avg total
78.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.381.9164.2+0.457%
Season at home (15)84.280.7164.9+3.567%
Season away (15)80.483.1163.5-2.747%
Last 10 (10)78.481.0159.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)80.478.6159.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.987.6166.5-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.582.0166.5+2.562%
vs Weaker (6)81.073.8154.8+7.283%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
PoznanPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A26/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H08/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A12/03
1 Liga
83.4Avg total
41.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.784.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.884.8+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.683.7-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.283.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.241.883.0-0.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.440.683.1+1.842%-
vs Weaker (5)44.645.690.2-1.040%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A02/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H05/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A02/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A08/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/03
1 Liga
84.0Avg total
42.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.982.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.543.384.8-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.581.0+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.484.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.084.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.844.286.0-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.941.482.3-0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)40.340.080.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.5
51.6%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.7
37.0%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.615.1
81.2%
70.2%15.1
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.6
29.5%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.917.0
68.3%
70.2%17.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
WLLLWLWLLW
Pelplin
WWLWLLWLWL
#12
League position
#7
-8.7
Net rating
-3.6
113.8
Offensive rating
99.5
122.5
Defensive rating
103.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
47.7%
60.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.0%
3-point %
29.5%
53.6%
Assist %
69.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 99.5Defence122.5 · 103.1Shooting53.1% · 47.7%3-point %37.0% · 29.5%Ball care16.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Poznan   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poznan wins
4
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Pelplin v Poznan94-96
07/01/24Pelplin v Poznan82-78
23/09/23Poznan v Pelplin78-96
19/03/23Poznan v Pelplin61-71
09/12/22Pelplin v Poznan76-69
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25ALKS Lodz86-84
08/03/25HLancut77-105
02/03/25HKrosno71-80
26/02/25ATrefl Sopot II87-93
15/02/25HPolonia Warszawa87-70
08/02/25AGKS Tychy67-90
05/02/25ABydgoszcz93-86
01/02/25AR. Rzeszow96-100
25/01/25HStarogard Gdanski73-85
19/01/25ASlask Wroclaw II91-64
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HKrosno84-69
08/03/25ATrefl Sopot II80-70
02/03/25APolonia Warszawa69-71
26/02/25AGKS Tychy92-91
15/02/25HBydgoszcz77-92
09/02/25AR. Rzeszow82-83
05/02/25HStarogard Gdanski77-68
02/02/25ASlask Wroclaw II71-97
26/01/25HMKKS Koszalin86-68
19/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg66-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLLWLL60%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game83.785.581.9
Allowed / game82.280.284.2
Point differential+1.5+5.3-2.3
Avg total165.9165.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%67%47%
Points / game82.384.280.4
Allowed / game81.980.783.1
Point differential+0.4+3.5-2.7
Avg total164.2164.9163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz3022873%84.377.4+6.9
2 Krosno3022873%85.279.5+5.6
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg30181260%82.075.5+6.5
4 Lancut31181358%85.081.4+3.6
5 WKK Wroclaw31181358%82.781.2+1.6
6 Pelplin30171357%82.381.9+0.4
7 GKS Tychy31171455%81.778.5+3.2
8 Inowroclaw31171455%79.880.7-0.9
9 LKS Lodz31161552%85.684.8+0.8
10 Poznan30151550%83.782.2+1.5
11 Starogard Gdanski30141647%82.180.4+1.7
12 Polonia Warszawa30141647%81.581.0+0.5
13 R. Rzeszow31141745%79.085.6-6.7
14 Poli. Opolska30121840%81.083.9-2.9
15 Slask Wroclaw II30121840%76.380.6-4.2
16 MKKS Koszalin31121939%80.584.6-4.1
17 HydroTruck Radom3082227%75.782.7-7.0
18 Trefl Sopot II3182326%83.589.6-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan1518172575
Pelplin2415252488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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