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Iona vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-77 (OT)
33-29 27-31 10-17
Position#209
Record12-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#164
Record14-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Iona v Merrimack Warriors
22 Jan 2026
IONA61
MERR60
23 Feb 2025
IONA70
MERR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#369
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H17/01
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A01/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H02/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
47-33
34-27
39-40
34-31
38-37
24-42
31-34
48-32
39-32
30-26
31-35
29-31
46-40
45-36
26-38
34-35
40-44
35-19
30-41
141.1Avg total
72.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.770.9139.6-2.244%
Season at home (13)69.667.7137.3+1.946%
Season away (14)67.973.9141.8-6.143%
Last 10 (10)72.468.7141.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)71.070.2141.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.079.3137.3-21.30%
vs Similar ◀ (19)68.771.6140.3-2.942%
vs Weaker (8)70.962.0132.9+8.975%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#256
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A26/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
27-26
24-27
24-10
47-23
28-31
22-37
36-29
37-38
29-26
24-30
40-29
31-23
38-28
42-33
33-46
25-26
35-35
29-29
30-31
122.7Avg total
63.8Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.564.1128.7+0.452%
Season at home (12)64.260.6124.8+3.658%
Season away (15)64.867.0131.8-2.247%
Last 10 (10)63.858.9122.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)65.462.0127.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)62.565.1127.6-2.637%
vs Weaker (8)69.157.8126.9+11.4100%
This opponent (Iona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
IonaMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#369
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H02/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H22/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.8Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.366.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.431.565.9+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)31.935.167.0-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.830.765.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.464.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.741.372.0-10.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)32.733.766.4-1.042%-
vs Weaker (8)35.229.464.6+5.975%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#256
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A26/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Niagara
#315
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.8Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.930.562.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.828.759.5+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)33.032.365.3+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)31.829.861.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.228.258.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)31.130.962.1+0.247%-
vs Weaker (8)35.028.163.1+6.962%-
This opponent (Iona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iona wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Ionalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HManhattan65-60
16/02/25AQuinnipiac74-79
15/02/25HRider71-74
09/02/25AMarist75-71
07/02/25AMount St. Mary's70-67 OT
02/02/25HFairfield87-64
01/02/25AManhattan55-76
25/01/25HSiena72-68
24/01/25ARider73-67
17/01/25HCanisius82-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HSacred Heart59-60
16/02/25HMarist60-61
15/02/25AManhattan75-79
08/02/25HCanisius69-51
07/02/25HNiagara64-59
02/02/25ARider66-64
01/02/25HMount St. Mary's58-66
26/01/25AFairfield75-54
24/01/25ASt. Peters48-37
18/01/25HSiena64-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iona
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeWWWLW46%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%46%43%
Points / game68.769.667.9
Allowed / game70.967.773.9
Point differential-2.2+1.9-6.1
Avg total139.6137.3141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)43% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %52%58%47%
Points / game64.564.264.8
Allowed / game64.160.667.0
Point differential+0.4+3.6-2.2
Avg total128.7124.8131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist2419579%68.664.6+4.0
2 Quinnipiac26161062%74.271.2+3.0
3 Mount St. Mary's27161159%70.472.6-2.3
4 Manhattan24131154%75.675.1+0.5
5 Merrimack Warriors27141352%64.564.1+0.4
6 Siena27131448%71.670.7+0.9
7 Sacred Heart26121446%76.176.0+0.1
8 Iona27121544%68.770.9-2.2
9 St. Peters2391439%65.465.3+0.1
10 Niagara26101638%68.271.3-3.1
11 Fairfield27101737%67.672.8-5.2
12 Rider27101737%65.171.6-6.4
13 Canisius262248%64.678.5-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Iona33271070
Merrimack Warriors29311777
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