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Merrimack Warriors vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 58-66
22-37 36-29
Position#164
Record11-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#112
Record11-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's
02 Jan 2026
MERR75
MOUN65
14 Mar 2025
MERR55
MOUN57
31 Jan 2025
MERR58
MOUN66
17 Jan 2022
MERR50
MOUN57
09 Jan 2020
MERR64
MOUN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-21
35-40
30-39
38-35
26-32
42-41
38-24
29-30
39-28
27-37
32-28
37-34
34-41
42-40
37-32
27-26
24-27
24-10
47-23
28-31
128.4Avg total
66.5Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)64.564.6129.1-0.055%
Season at home (7)65.761.4127.1+4.371%
Season away (13)63.966.3130.2-2.446%
Last 10 (10)66.561.9128.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)66.458.4124.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)63.965.3129.2-1.447%
vs Weaker (10)73.061.3134.3+11.7100%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#194
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A19/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A21/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A11/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
57-91
57
91
-34
H18/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-29
46-43
28-38
38-28
30-28
26-36
26-37
42-25
33-34
42-32
41-32
32-39
23-29
37-37
35-36
22-55
36-43
32-39
25-35
39-39
140.1Avg total
67.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.674.4144.0-4.852%
Season at home (9)74.772.8147.4+1.967%
Season away (12)65.875.6141.4-9.842%
Last 10 (10)67.972.2140.1-4.350%
Last 5 (5)64.476.8141.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.180.8151.9-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (19)69.372.3141.6-3.147%
vs Weaker (2)88.068.0156.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
Merrimack WarriorsMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A26/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
33.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.563.4+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.228.461.6+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)32.832.164.8+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.563.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.830.265.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.431.163.5+1.259%-
vs Weaker (10)35.328.363.6+7.070%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#194
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A21/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A28/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H12/01
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
65.2Avg total
31.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.835.267.9-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.734.169.9+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)30.236.166.2-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)31.134.165.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.067.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.937.972.8-3.056%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)31.433.965.3-2.637%-
vs Weaker (2)36.534.571.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
5
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AFairfield75-54
24/01/25ASt. Peters48-37
18/01/25HSiena64-58
17/01/25AQuinnipiac76-81
12/01/25HManhattan69-62
10/01/25ASacred Heart66-65
03/01/25HFairfield67-54
20/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-73
18/12/24AStanford68-74
14/12/24HBoston University64-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HManhattan64-74
24/01/25ASiena68-82
18/01/25HQuinnipiac57-91
17/01/25ARider60-66
12/01/25HSacred Heart73-71
11/01/25AManhattan75-66
05/01/25HNiagara68-62
28/12/24AGeorge Mason56-64
21/12/24AMiami (FL)78-74 OT
19/12/24ALIU Sharks80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %55%71%46%
Points / game64.565.763.9
Allowed / game64.661.466.3
Point differential-0.1+4.3-2.4
Avg total129.2127.1130.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %52%67%42%
Points / game69.674.765.8
Allowed / game74.472.875.6
Point differential-4.8+1.9-9.8
Avg total144.0147.4141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1815383%68.463.6+4.9
2 Quinnipiac2012860%71.569.4+2.1
3 Merrimack Warriors2011955%64.564.6-0.1
4 Mount St. Mary's21111052%69.674.4-4.8
5 Manhattan189950%75.776.8-1.1
6 Siena2091145%70.572.0-1.6
7 St. Peters167944%65.163.1+2.0
8 Sacred Heart2081240%75.875.9-0.1
9 Iona2081240%67.971.2-3.3
10 Fairfield2081240%68.773.5-4.8
11 Niagara2071335%68.070.8-2.7
12 Rider2071335%65.172.5-7.3
13 Canisius2021810%64.379.3-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors223658
Mount St. Mary's372966
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