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Merrimack Warriors vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 64-58
37-32 27-26
Position#164
Record8-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#256
Record8-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Siena
10 Mar 2026
MERR54
SIE64
20 Feb 2026
MERR79
SIE72
18 Jan 2025
MERR64
SIE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
29-36
20-27
40-25
40-21
40-41
29-21
35-40
30-39
38-35
26-32
42-41
38-24
29-30
39-28
27-37
32-28
37-34
34-41
42-40
134.2Avg total
69.0Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)64.967.2132.2-2.347%
Season at home (6)66.062.0128.0+4.067%
Season away (11)64.470.1134.5-5.736%
Last 10 (10)69.065.2134.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)69.267.0136.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)65.066.3131.3-1.347%
vs Weaker (10)72.961.4134.3+11.5100%
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#166
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H30/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A08/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H18/12
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H21/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
103-95 OT
103
95
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-21
40-37
28-28
40-41
24-24
42-29
17-34
31-31
23-27
47-51
35-35
48-42
43-42
36-37
38-37
35-37
15-43
38-29
39-46
54-29
144.4Avg total
72.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.672.7143.4-2.147%
Season at home (9)73.672.4146.0+1.156%
Season away (8)67.473.0140.4-5.638%
Last 10 (10)72.871.6144.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)81.078.6159.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.973.2135.1-11.418%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.872.3143.1-1.642%
vs Weaker (1)66.053.0119.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +4.8+4.8
Merrimack WarriorsSiena
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/01
NCAA
62.4Avg total
33.1Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.563.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.528.762.2+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)32.131.964.0+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)33.129.362.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.830.664.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.431.263.6+1.259%-
vs Weaker (10)34.528.362.8+6.270%-
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#166
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A08/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
17-34
17
34
-17
H18/12
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
15-43
15
43
-28
A11/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/01
NCAA
63.0Avg total
29.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.535.164.6-5.620%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.534.164.6-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)28.536.164.7-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)29.333.763.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.674.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.836.165.9-6.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)29.534.864.2-5.225%-
vs Weaker (1)24.024.048.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Siena wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25AQuinnipiac76-81
12/01/25HManhattan69-62
10/01/25ASacred Heart66-65
03/01/25HFairfield67-54
20/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-73
18/12/24AStanford68-74
14/12/24HBoston University64-61
08/12/24ANiagara80-62
07/12/24ACanisius60-52
29/11/24ATroy72-68
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HSacred Heart93-75
11/01/25AQuinnipiac53-72
05/01/25HIona73-74
04/01/25HManhattan103-95 OT
30/12/24ACornell83-77
21/12/24HHoly Cross70-78
18/12/24HSt. Bonaventure48-65
08/12/24ACanisius66-53
06/12/24ANiagara68-69
30/11/24HBucknell71-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %47%67%36%
Points / game64.966.064.4
Allowed / game67.262.070.1
Point differential-2.3+4.0-5.7
Avg total132.2128.0134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siena
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game70.673.667.4
Allowed / game72.772.473.0
Point differential-2.1+1.1-5.6
Avg total143.4146.0140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %18%22%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1513287%69.264.5+4.7
2 Mount St. Mary's1811761%70.773.1-2.3
3 Quinnipiac1810856%70.370.4-0.1
4 Manhattan168850%75.377.0-1.7
5 Siena178947%70.672.7-2.1
6 Merrimack Warriors178947%64.967.2-2.3
7 St. Peters157847%66.964.1+2.9
8 Niagara1871139%67.770.1-2.4
9 Fairfield1871139%68.572.9-4.4
10 Rider1761135%65.173.2-8.1
11 Sacred Heart1861233%74.275.4-1.2
12 Iona1861233%67.471.6-4.2
13 Canisius1821611%64.279.1-14.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors372764
Siena322658
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