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Iowa State vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-59
35-24 35-35
Position#136
Record16-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game61.8
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
TCU
USA
Position#96
Record17-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Iowa State v TCU
08 Feb 2025
IOWA82
TCU52
10 Feb 2024
IOWA71
TCU59
15 Feb 2023
IOWA70
TCU59
22 Jan 2022
IOWA44
TCU59
27 Feb 2021
IOWA72
TCU76
25 Feb 2020
IOWA65
TCU59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#204
W
84-50
84
50
+34
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H04/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-20
45-30
28-29
32-33
36-35
42-32
35-25
24-36
31-33
49-43
32-42
29-36
39-22
32-49
33-21
35-32
30-36
41-40
32-26
24-38
136.1Avg total
69.4Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.161.8131.9+8.467%
Season at home (14)73.855.2129.0+18.693%
Season away (10)65.070.9135.9-5.930%
Last 10 (10)69.466.7136.1+2.740%
Last 5 (5)66.670.2136.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.867.8127.6-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (19)66.064.9130.9+1.153%
vs Weaker (6)74.047.2121.2+26.8100%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#34
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A12/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H14/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H25/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A08/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
33-50
43-29
39-39
24-39
41-35
48-38
35-22
44-27
35-25
25-31
41-35
36-32
40-40
29-43
44-36
30-36
31-46
34-31
34-41
145.5Avg total
73.6Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.266.8143.1+9.468%
Season at home (16)76.861.4138.2+15.481%
Season away (9)75.276.4151.7-1.244%
Last 10 (10)73.671.9145.5+1.740%
Last 5 (5)70.477.2147.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.073.3142.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.669.7143.3+3.960%
vs Weaker (12)77.961.4139.3+16.575%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
Iowa StateTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#204
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H04/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H11/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
33.5Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.628.660.2+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.825.359.1+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)29.332.061.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.528.962.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.462.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.434.061.4-6.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)31.629.060.6+2.653%-
vs Weaker (6)34.823.057.8+11.883%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#34
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H14/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H25/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A04/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.968.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.130.068.1+8.181%-
Last 30 away (14)32.936.369.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.569.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.834.665.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.341.070.3-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.433.668.0+0.860%-
vs Weaker (12)38.830.168.9+8.875%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Iowa State wins
4
TCU wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23TCU v Iowa State67-69
16/02/22TCU v Iowa State51-54
22/01/22Iowa State v TCU44-59
27/02/21Iowa State v TCU72-76
10/02/21TCU v Iowa State79-76
26/02/20Iowa State v TCU65-59
04/01/20TCU v Iowa State81-79 OT
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HOklahoma State56-64
09/02/23AWest Virginia71-76
04/02/23HKansas68-53
31/01/23ATexas Tech77-80 OT
28/01/23AMissouri61-78
25/01/23HKansas State80-76
21/01/23AOklahoma State59-61
18/01/23HTexas78-67
14/01/23AKansas60-62
11/01/23HTexas Tech84-50
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HBaylor68-72
08/02/23AKansas State61-82
04/02/23AOklahoma State73-79
01/02/23HWest Virginia76-72
28/01/23AMississippi St.74-81 OT
25/01/23HOklahoma79-52
21/01/23AKansas83-60
19/01/23AWest Virginia65-74
14/01/23HKansas State82-68
12/01/23ATexas75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL67%
HomeWWWWL93%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %67%93%30%
Points / game70.173.865.0
Allowed / game61.855.270.9
Point differential+8.4+18.6-5.9
Avg total131.9129.0135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%79%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %8%0%20%
TCU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL68%
HomeLWWWL81%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %68%81%44%
Points / game76.276.875.2
Allowed / game66.861.476.4
Point differential+9.4+15.4-1.2
Avg total143.1138.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2523292%75.655.0+20.6
2 Arizona2622485%83.271.0+12.2
3 Kansas2621581%76.668.2+8.3
4 Baylor2620677%78.869.0+9.7
5 Kansas State2619773%75.968.6+7.3
6 Arizona State2618869%71.266.7+4.5
7 TCU2517868%76.266.8+9.4
8 Iowa State2416867%70.161.8+8.4
9 Utah Utes2617965%70.561.8+8.8
10 Cincinnati27171063%77.268.8+8.4
11 UCF Knights2415962%72.665.7+6.9
12 Oklahoma State26161062%69.564.3+5.2
13 West Virginia26151158%76.470.5+5.9
14 Brigham Young28161257%75.669.8+5.9
15 Texas Tech26141254%73.868.2+5.6
16 Colorado26141254%70.965.9+5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State353570
TCU243559
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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