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Mississippi St. vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-74 (OT)
31-25 35-41 15-8
Position#125
Record11-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game59.6
vs
Position#96
Record16-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H29/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
41-36
31-23
21-35
30-34
37-44
22-46
31-41
26-23
38-31
19-20
31-38
22-30
41-39
23-23
36-47
24-33
35-28
36-29
27-37
126.5Avg total
59.8Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)63.959.6123.5+4.255%
Season at home (12)66.857.5124.2+9.267%
Season away (8)59.662.9122.5-3.238%
Last 10 (10)59.866.7126.5-6.920%
Last 5 (5)58.864.8123.6-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.271.1130.3-11.911%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.762.2126.9+2.550%
vs Weaker (10)69.352.2121.5+17.190%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#171
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A22/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
103-57
103
57
+46
H28/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A12/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H14/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
40-42
49-25
54-32
26-37
41-24
39-49
49-38
30-36
37-33
42-29
33-50
43-29
39-39
24-39
41-35
48-38
35-22
44-27
35-25
146.2Avg total
78.4Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.764.2141.9+13.580%
Season at home (14)77.559.9137.4+17.686%
Season away (6)78.274.3152.5+3.867%
Last 10 (10)78.467.8146.2+10.670%
Last 5 (5)76.866.6143.4+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.171.0140.1-1.943%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.067.2142.2+7.873%
vs Weaker (12)78.260.4138.7+17.883%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: +6.4+6.4
Mississippi St.TCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A26/01
NCAA
55.1Avg total
26.0Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.828.156.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.026.956.9+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)27.629.356.9-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)26.029.155.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)24.827.051.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.631.860.3-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)26.431.257.6-4.820%-
vs Weaker (10)32.421.954.3+10.590%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#171
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H28/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H31/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H07/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H14/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H25/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
38.0Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.369.8+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.231.569.7+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)34.335.669.9-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.871.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.472.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.137.769.9-5.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.534.069.5+1.564%-
vs Weaker (12)40.030.070.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
0
TCU wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23AAlabama63-66
22/01/23HFlorida59-61
18/01/23HTennessee59-70
15/01/23AAuburn63-69
11/01/23AGeorgia50-58
07/01/23HOle Miss64-54
04/01/23ATennessee53-87
29/12/22HAlabama67-78
20/12/22ADrake52-58
17/12/22HNicholls State68-66
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HOklahoma79-52
21/01/23AKansas83-60
19/01/23AWest Virginia65-74
14/01/23HKansas State82-68
12/01/23ATexas75-79
07/01/23HIowa State67-69
05/01/23ABaylor88-87
31/12/22HTexas Tech67-61
28/12/22HCentral Arkansas103-57
22/12/22AUtah Utes75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL55%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %55%67%38%
Points / game63.966.859.6
Allowed / game59.657.562.9
Point differential+4.2+9.2-3.2
Avg total123.5124.2122.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TCU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game77.777.578.2
Allowed / game64.259.974.3
Point differential+13.4+17.6+3.8
Avg total141.9137.4152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2118386%82.569.9+12.6
2 Tennessee2017385%74.053.7+20.4
3 Texas2017385%80.566.8+13.7
4 Auburn2116576%72.464.2+8.2
5 Missouri2116576%83.175.3+7.8
6 Arkansas2014670%75.065.0+10.1
7 Kentucky2014670%75.766.3+9.3
8 Texas A&M2014670%74.866.0+8.8
9 Georgia2013765%69.666.3+3.3
10 Florida2012860%72.865.0+7.7
11 Oklahoma2112957%68.564.8+3.7
12 LSU2112957%66.667.6-1.0
13 Mississippi St.2011955%63.959.6+4.2
14 Vanderbilt20101050%72.270.5+1.6
15 Ole Miss2091145%67.566.7+0.8
16 South Carolina2081240%63.673.0-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2220291%75.454.9+20.5
2 Arizona2118386%82.371.3+11.0
3 Kansas State2017385%77.868.2+9.7
4 TCU2016480%77.764.2+13.4
5 Kansas2016480%75.967.5+8.4
6 Baylor2015575%79.469.3+10.1
7 Iowa State2015575%70.560.5+10.1
8 Arizona State2115671%72.266.7+5.5
9 Utah Utes2215768%71.561.5+10.0
10 Cincinnati2214864%76.568.0+8.4
11 West Virginia2113862%77.169.2+7.9
12 UCF Knights2113862%72.066.0+6.0
13 Brigham Young2314961%75.369.1+6.2
14 Oklahoma State2011955%68.263.3+4.8
15 Colorado22121055%72.167.0+5.1
16 Texas Tech21111052%74.567.0+7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Mississippi St.31351581
TCU2541874
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