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Iowa State vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-52
42-24 40-28
Position#50
Record17-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#210
Record12-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Iowa State v TCU
08 Feb 2025
IOWA82
TCU52
10 Feb 2024
IOWA71
TCU59
15 Feb 2023
IOWA70
TCU59
22 Jan 2022
IOWA44
TCU59
27 Feb 2021
IOWA72
TCU76
25 Feb 2020
IOWA65
TCU59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H04/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H08/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H16/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A18/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H22/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A25/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
75-86 OT
75
86
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
61-80
61
80
-19
H01/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
41-30
38-25
44-34
34-40
40-34
40-30
34-27
24-25
33-39
54-36
54-47
33-40
43-21
30-34
41-37
35-37
26-43
19-35
33-34
144.2Avg total
74.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.667.6149.3+14.077%
Season at home (13)85.662.2147.8+23.592%
Season away (9)75.975.6151.4+0.356%
Last 10 (10)74.469.8144.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)74.475.8150.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)74.571.5146.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.864.2143.9+15.683%
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A07/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H23/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A25/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A30/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H02/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
36-38
22-29
24-36
34-37
37-30
26-30
39-43
32-39
42-32
35-33
26-41
23-37
35-48
29-32
28-39
34-27
34-30
28-29
37-31
131.3Avg total
62.8Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.567.1135.6+1.355%
Season at home (15)70.362.9133.1+7.473%
Season away (7)64.676.3140.9-11.714%
Last 10 (10)62.868.5131.3-5.750%
Last 5 (5)61.869.4131.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.471.4136.8-6.035%
vs Similar (11)72.565.3137.8+7.364%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -3.0-3.0
Iowa StateTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H16/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A18/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A04/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.367.9+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.229.768.9+9.479%-
Last 30 away (11)32.234.066.2-1.827%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.766.7+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.470.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.734.066.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.630.668.2+7.067%-
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H02/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H06/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
29.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.965.9+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.930.165.0+4.958%-
Last 30 away (11)32.435.067.4-2.618%-
Last 10 (10)29.031.760.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)29.831.661.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.433.264.6-1.924%-
vs Similar (11)35.930.166.0+5.864%-
vs Weaker (2)46.030.076.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Iowa State wins
4
TCU wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Iowa State v TCU71-59
20/01/24TCU v Iowa State72-73
16/02/23Iowa State v TCU70-59
07/01/23TCU v Iowa State67-69
16/02/22TCU v Iowa State51-54
22/01/22Iowa State v TCU44-59
27/02/21Iowa State v TCU72-76
10/02/21TCU v Iowa State79-76
26/02/20Iowa State v TCU65-59
04/01/20TCU v Iowa State81-79 OT
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AKansas52-69
01/02/25HKansas State61-80
28/01/25AArizona75-86 OT
25/01/25AArizona State76-61
22/01/25HUCF Knights108-83
18/01/25AWest Virginia57-64
16/01/25HKansas74-57
11/01/25ATexas Tech85-84 OT
08/01/25HUtah Utes82-59
04/01/25HBaylor74-55
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HWest Virginia65-60
02/02/25HColorado68-57
30/01/25ATexas Tech57-71
25/01/25AUCF Knights58-85
23/01/25HKansas61-74
19/01/25ABaylor74-71
16/01/25HUtah Utes65-73
11/01/25HBrigham Young71-67
07/01/25AHouston46-65
04/01/25HKansas State63-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL77%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %77%92%56%
Points / game81.685.675.9
Allowed / game67.662.275.6
Point differential+14.0+23.5+0.3
Avg total149.3147.8151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%92%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%22%
TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %55%73%14%
Points / game68.570.364.6
Allowed / game67.162.976.3
Point differential+1.3+7.4-11.7
Avg total135.6133.1140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2218482%76.056.9+19.2
2 Texas Tech2218482%81.065.1+15.9
3 Iowa State2217577%81.667.6+14.0
4 Arizona2216673%82.969.5+13.3
5 Kansas2216673%76.866.0+10.8
6 Brigham Young2215768%80.768.5+12.2
7 Baylor2214864%79.569.3+10.2
8 West Virginia2214864%69.363.7+5.6
9 Cincinnati2213959%71.063.9+7.1
10 Utah Utes2213959%76.070.1+6.0
11 UCF Knights2213959%79.879.4+0.4
12 TCU22121055%68.567.1+1.3
13 Arizona State22121055%73.172.0+1.2
14 Kansas State22111150%73.570.0+3.5
15 Oklahoma State22111150%72.374.6-2.3
16 Colorado2291341%71.272.1-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State424082
TCU242852
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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