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Iowa vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 112-106 (OT)
42-42 59-59 11-5
Position#134
Record17-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game73.3
Iowa 🏆
USA
vs
Position#108
Record17-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Iowa v Michigan State
06 Mar 2025
IOWA84
MICH91
25 Feb 2023
IOWA112
MICH106
22 Feb 2022
IOWA86
MICH60
02 Feb 2021
IOWA84
MICH78
14 Jan 2021
IOWA v MICH
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A21/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H17/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A19/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
42-56
29-30
32-33
45-34
48-48
39-39
47-31
35-36
46-43
21-38
52-49
32-29
36-27
47-36
45-39
26-37
34-43
26-27
26-37
149.2Avg total
74.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.273.3152.6+5.961%
Season at home (15)89.273.7162.9+15.587%
Season away (13)67.872.9140.7-5.231%
Last 10 (10)74.374.9149.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)69.072.4141.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.574.6154.2+4.968%
vs Weaker (10)77.368.1145.4+9.250%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-27
38-37
36-30
34-27
32-37
37-45
30-29
33-32
22-40
39-37
25-19
30-42
31-22
32-36
27-14
35-27
36-33
36-51
35-29
45-36
130.8Avg total
65.8Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.565.3133.8+3.163%
Season at home (17)71.463.9135.3+7.482%
Season away (10)63.667.7131.3-4.130%
Last 10 (10)65.865.0130.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)66.461.8128.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.871.2138.0-4.420%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.165.0136.1+6.182%
vs Weaker (3)64.360.0124.3+4.367%
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -1.1-1.1
IowaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A10/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A23/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
33.5Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.870.9+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.634.376.9+8.362%-
Last 30 away (14)30.833.163.9-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.367.8-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.463.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.038.059.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.534.972.5+2.647%-
vs Weaker (10)37.931.169.0+6.860%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/02
NCAA
57.9Avg total
29.9Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.561.7+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.428.161.5+5.478%-
Last 30 away (12)30.331.862.1-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)29.928.057.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)30.823.454.2+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.731.962.6-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.428.561.8+4.976%-
vs Weaker (3)30.727.758.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Iowa wins
2
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Michigan State v Iowa63-61
23/02/22Iowa v Michigan State86-60
13/02/21Michigan State v Iowa58-88
03/02/21Iowa v Michigan State84-78
26/02/20Michigan State v Iowa78-70
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AWisconsin52-64
19/02/23ANorthwestern60-80
17/02/23HOhio State92-75
12/02/23AMinnesota68-56
10/02/23APurdue73-87
04/02/23HIllinois81-79
01/02/23HNorthwestern86-70
29/01/23HRutgers93-82
27/01/23AMichigan State61-63
21/01/23AOhio State77-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/23HIndiana80-65
19/02/23AMichigan72-84
12/02/23AOhio State62-41
08/02/23HMaryland63-58
04/02/23ARutgers55-61
29/01/23APurdue61-77
27/01/23HIowa63-61
22/01/23AIndiana69-82
19/01/23HRutgers70-57
16/01/23HPurdue63-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL61%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %61%87%31%
Points / game79.289.267.8
Allowed / game73.373.772.9
Point differential+5.9+15.5-5.2
Avg total152.6162.9140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %63%82%30%
Points / game68.571.463.6
Allowed / game65.363.967.7
Point differential+3.1+7.4-4.1
Avg total133.8135.3131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%41%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA2824486%74.259.8+14.4
2 Purdue2824486%73.561.6+11.9
3 Northwestern2820871%68.262.0+6.2
4 USC2820871%73.166.9+6.1
5 Illinois2819968%74.765.3+9.4
6 Maryland2819968%71.163.0+8.1
7 Indiana2819968%75.467.4+8.0
8 Michigan State27171063%68.565.3+3.1
9 Rutgers28171161%68.859.8+9.0
10 Iowa28171161%79.273.3+5.9
11 Penn State28171161%73.468.8+4.6
12 Wisconsin27161159%64.662.8+1.8
13 Michigan28161257%72.968.4+4.6
14 Washington29161355%68.769.0-0.3
15 Oregon28151354%70.567.2+3.3
16 Nebraska28141450%66.969.1-2.1
17 Ohio State28111739%73.069.4+3.5
18 Minnesota2671927%61.870.5-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Iowa425911112
Michigan State42595106
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