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Michigan State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 63-64
25-27 38-37
Position#108
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game65.5
Michigan State
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record16-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game61.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan State v Purdue
30 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
18 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD66
16 Jan 2023
MICH63
PURD64
26 Feb 2022
MICH68
PURD65
08 Jan 2021
MICH54
PURD55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-42
28-28
37-38
26-32
35-35
32-23
32-18
36-32
29-24
38-30
41-30
48-38
39-17
35-39
27-18
32-35
33-31
36-34
37-33
29-42
129.3Avg total
67.4Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.165.5135.6+4.571%
Season at home (12)72.865.2138.0+7.783%
Season away (5)63.466.4129.8-3.040%
Last 10 (10)67.461.9129.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)71.463.4134.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.475.5143.9-7.125%
vs Similar (19)72.067.6139.6+4.474%
vs Weaker (3)64.360.0124.3+4.367%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H08/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H17/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H29/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-27
47-43
54-34
31-32
34-24
22-32
28-27
41-34
41-21
33-32
42-29
40-20
24-34
40-31
33-36
38-33
31-37
45-26
35-24
38-31
136.1Avg total
74.8Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.861.1136.9+14.694%
Season at home (11)75.758.4134.1+17.491%
Season away (6)75.866.2142.0+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)74.861.3136.1+13.590%
Last 5 (5)73.260.2133.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)75.767.0142.7+8.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)72.463.2135.7+9.283%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +6.1+6.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +6.1+6.1
Michigan StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A14/01
NCAA
62.0Avg total
33.4Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.464.4+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.929.264.1+5.778%-
Last 30 away (12)30.234.865.0-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.428.662.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.425.861.2+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.235.268.5-2.050%-
vs Similar (19)33.330.463.7+2.963%-
vs Weaker (3)30.727.758.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H14/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
36.4Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.229.764.9+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.428.464.7+8.085%-
Last 30 away (10)33.032.365.3+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.429.365.7+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.065.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)36.732.969.6+3.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)34.828.763.5+6.178%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
4
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Purdue v Michigan State75-70
26/02/22Michigan State v Purdue68-65
17/02/21Purdue v Michigan State75-65
09/01/21Michigan State v Purdue54-55
12/01/20Purdue v Michigan State71-42
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AIllinois66-75
11/01/23AWisconsin69-65
07/01/23HMichigan59-53
04/01/23HNebraska74-56
30/12/22HBuffalo89-68
21/12/22HOakland67-54
10/12/22HBrown68-50
07/12/22APenn State67-58
05/12/22HNorthwestern63-70
01/12/22ANotre Dame52-70
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HNebraska73-55
08/01/23APenn State76-63
06/01/23AOhio State71-69
03/01/23HRutgers64-65
29/12/22HFlorida A&M82-49
22/12/22HNew Orleans74-53
17/12/22HDavidson69-61
10/12/22ANebraska65-62 OT
08/12/22HHofstra85-66
04/12/22HMinnesota89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %71%83%40%
Points / game70.172.863.4
Allowed / game65.565.266.4
Point differential+4.5+7.7-3.0
Avg total135.6138.0129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW94%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %94%91%100%
Points / game75.875.775.8
Allowed / game61.158.466.2
Point differential+14.6+17.4+9.7
Avg total136.9134.1142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%73%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1716194%75.861.1+14.6
2 UCLA1816289%76.759.8+16.9
3 Rutgers1813572%70.956.9+14.0
4 USC1813572%71.265.4+5.8
5 Illinois1712571%76.863.9+12.9
6 Northwestern1712571%68.960.8+8.1
7 Penn State1712571%75.467.4+8.0
8 Michigan State1712571%70.165.5+4.5
9 Wisconsin1611569%66.862.9+3.9
10 Iowa1812667%82.072.4+9.6
11 Indiana1711665%78.967.9+11.1
12 Maryland1711665%71.564.9+6.6
13 Ohio State1710759%78.066.3+11.7
14 Michigan1710759%76.170.6+5.4
15 Washington1911858%70.168.6+1.5
16 Oregon1810856%69.666.5+3.1
17 Nebraska189950%66.467.2-0.8
18 Minnesota157847%64.767.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State253863
Purdue273764
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