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Michigan State vs Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 58-88
27-46 31-42
Position#159
Record10-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Iowa 🏆
USA
Position#47
Record14-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Iowa
02 Dec 2025
MICH71
IOWA52
20 Feb 2024
MICH71
IOWA78
26 Jan 2023
MICH63
IOWA61
13 Feb 2021
MICH58
IOWA88
25 Feb 2020
MICH78
IOWA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-42
34-43
16-36
40-45
40-33
44-44
28-22
40-23
31-16
23-39
20-26
17-41
30-42
32-37
43-48
35-36
34-22
32-34
32-24
28-34
132.8Avg total
64.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.570.6142.1+0.959%
Season at home (10)75.866.4142.2+9.480%
Season away (7)65.376.6141.9-11.329%
Last 10 (10)64.168.7132.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)60.668.8129.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.374.7146.0-3.333%
vs Similar (12)68.167.9136.0+0.267%
vs Weaker (12)76.266.6142.8+9.667%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A02/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
89-67
89
67
+22
A08/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
42-40
44-26
45-41
39-37
47-34
49-37
47-36
37-31
32-50
41-43
34-37
48-43
36-35
45-42
40-47
31-33
34-34
34-25
45-41
155.2Avg total
80.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.474.3161.7+13.170%
Season at home (13)89.571.0160.5+18.585%
Season away (7)83.680.4164.0+3.143%
Last 10 (10)80.574.7155.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)77.676.0153.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.088.5167.5-9.50%
vs Similar (8)72.475.4147.8-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.973.4161.3+14.575%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
Michigan StateIowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
62.7Avg total
31.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.766.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.530.566.1+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)31.534.966.4-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.162.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.832.464.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.336.072.3+0.333%-
vs Similar (12)31.728.360.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker (12)34.035.469.4-1.450%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A08/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H11/02
NCAA
75.5Avg total
40.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.875.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.133.475.6+8.789%-
Last 30 away (12)36.739.376.0-2.725%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.275.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.277.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.039.074.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (8)35.039.874.8-4.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.433.976.3+8.580%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
1
Iowa wins
DateGameScore
03/02/21Iowa v Michigan State84-78
26/02/20Michigan State v Iowa78-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/21HPenn State60-58
06/02/21HNebraska66-56
03/02/21AIowa78-84
31/01/21AOhio State62-79
29/01/21ARutgers37-67
09/01/21HPurdue54-55
06/01/21HRutgers68-45
03/01/21ANebraska84-77
29/12/20AMinnesota56-81
25/12/20HWisconsin76-85
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21HRutgers79-66
07/02/21AIndiana65-67
05/02/21HOhio State85-89
03/02/21HMichigan State84-78
30/01/21AIllinois75-80
22/01/21HIndiana69-81
17/01/21ANorthwestern96-73
10/01/21HMinnesota86-71
08/01/21AMaryland89-67
02/01/21ARutgers77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW59%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%80%29%
Points / game71.575.865.3
Allowed / game70.666.476.6
Point differential+0.9+9.4-11.3
Avg total142.1142.2141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iowa
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeWLWLW85%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %70%85%43%
Points / game87.489.583.6
Allowed / game74.371.080.4
Point differential+13.1+18.5+3.1
Avg total161.7160.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%77%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1413193%79.765.4+14.4
2 USC1916384%75.463.2+12.2
3 Ohio State2117481%77.568.0+9.5
4 Oregon1612475%75.467.0+8.4
5 Illinois1914574%81.669.0+12.6
6 UCLA1813572%73.567.8+5.7
7 Wisconsin2115671%70.862.4+8.4
8 Iowa2014670%87.474.3+13.1
9 Minnesota2013765%75.872.2+3.5
10 Purdue2113862%70.466.7+3.7
11 Rutgers1811761%72.368.9+3.4
12 Michigan State1710759%71.570.6+0.9
13 Indiana2011955%72.269.2+3.0
14 Maryland20101050%69.566.4+3.0
15 Penn State167944%73.273.4-0.2
16 Northwestern1761135%74.572.5+2.0
17 Nebraska1641225%71.173.4-2.4
18 Washington1831517%66.978.1-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State273158
Iowa464288
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