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Iraklis vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 80-73
Projected total 152.8
Final 81-64
21-23 27-11 14-11 19-19
Position#16
Record2-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game79.8
Iraklis 🏆
Vs
69%
31%
■ IRA 69%■ ALA 31%
Pythia win probability
AEK Larnaca
Position#24
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Ivanofeio Sports Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Iraklis will host AEK Larnaca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 4 November 2026, a contest that the model predicts to be low-scoring with a tight defensive focus, as both sides have allowed roughly 80 points per game over the season. Iraklis sits 22nd in the league with a 2-2 record, averaging 84.8 points and conceding 79.8, while at home they are 1-1, scoring 87.5 and allowing 79.5; their last five games include a 53-63 loss to PAOK at home, a 100-101 defeat to Tartu Ulikool away and an 86-94 loss to Lefkadas away. AEK Larnaca, 13th in the standings, boasts a 3-1 record, 84.2 points scored and 80.2 points allowed, and a perfect 5-0 run in their last five games, highlighted by a 87-61 win over ETHA Engomi at home, an 85-69 victory over MZT Skopje away and an 85-74 win over Paralimni away. The Pythia model favours Iraklis with a 69% chance of victory over AEK Larnaca's 31%, projecting a 80-73 scoreline and 152.8 total points; the home team must win by 13 or more to cover the -12.5 line, with only a 32% chance of doing so, while the over on the 168.0 line has a 17% probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Iraklis can keep the defence tight enough to hold AEK Larnaca to their season average of 84.2 points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraklis winWon
69.3%fair 1.44
Best odds1.21
Implied81.2%
Edge-11.9pp
AEK Larnaca winLost
30.7%fair 3.26
Best odds5.02
Implied18.8%
Edge+11.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraklisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
L
85-97
85
97
-12
72avg 76
A25/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
34avg 76
H04/10
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
64-59
64
59
+5
61avg 76
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#7
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
82avg 76
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 76
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 76
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 76
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#36
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 76
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
20-25
18-24
20-27
25-15
11-31
14-18
18-14
26-21
14-18
15-12
9-8
21-19
31-16
18-24
9-20
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
158.6Avg total
79.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.879.8164.5+5.050%
Season at home (2)87.579.5167.0+8.050%
Season away (2)82.080.0162.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.179.5158.6-0.430%
Last 5 (5)79.079.4158.4-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.082.6155.6-9.612%
vs Similar (15)81.181.5162.6-0.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.381.4173.7+10.957%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 80
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#12
L
87-95
87
95
-8
75avg 80
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#13
W
73-65
73
65
+8
65avg 80
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
90-56
90
56
+34
92avg 80
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
69avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 80
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#36
W
99-93
99
93
+6
100avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
65avg 80
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#46
W
85-69
85
69
+16
78avg 80
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
87-61
87
61
+26
94avg 80
H31/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-16
21-11
13-19
18-31
19-13
24-32
26-19
22-17
18-23
15-19
18-6
26-14
23-12
18-13
23-17
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
32-21
25-30
22-20
20-22
18-16
30-22
15-21
22-15
23-20
26-22
22-11
14-16
27-10
17-16
30-14
13-21
158.7Avg total
83.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.280.2164.5+4.075%
Season at home (2)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)82.581.5164.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.775.0158.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)87.875.2163.0+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
vs Similar (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
vs Weaker (20)86.774.8161.5+11.990%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1101%1152%1204%1255%1308%13510%14011%14512%15012%15510%1609%1656%1704%1752%1801%1851%1901%195
1%1154%1258%13511%14512%1559%1654%1751%1851%195
Pythia expects about 153 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%). The market's main line is 162.
Over/Under 157Actual: Under 157
Over 157
38.9%
@ 1.48
Under 157
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162 · main lineActual: Under 162
Over 162
27.6%
@ 1.91-22.4pp
Under 162
72.4%
@ 2.05+22.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.86
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.68
Under
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.80
Over/Under 167Actual: Under 167
Over 167
18.3%
@ 2.12-27.6pp
Under 167
81.7%
@ 1.92+27.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
1.79
Marathon Be
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.92
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Iraklis total 83.5Actual: Iraklis under 83.5
Over 83.5
36.0%
Under 83.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 87.5 · main lineActual: Iraklis under 87.5
Over 87.5
23.1%
@ 1.88-26.0pp
Under 87.5
76.9%
@ 1.83+26.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Iraklis total 91.5Actual: Iraklis under 91.5
Over 91.5
13.4%
Under 91.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca total 73.5Actual: AEK Larnaca under 73.5
Over 73.5
48.2%
Under 73.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca total 77.5 · main lineActual: AEK Larnaca under 77.5
Over 77.5
33.6%
@ 1.86-17.6pp
Under 77.5
66.4%
@ 1.93+17.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Under
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
AEK Larnaca total 81.5Actual: AEK Larnaca under 81.5
Over 81.5
21.3%
Under 81.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+010%+310%+610%+98%+127%+155%+184%+213%+242%+271%+301%+330%+36
0%-271%-213%-155%-98%-310%+310%+97%+154%+212%+271%+33
Margin from Iraklis's side (positive = Iraklis win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.5; Iraklis win by 1+ in 63% of simulations.
Spread Iraklis -15.5Actual: Iraklis -15.5
IRA -15.5
24.3%
@ 2.70-10.0pp
ALA +15.5
75.7%
@ 1.41+10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
IRA
Bet365
2.70
ALA
Bet365
1.41
Marathon Be
1.35
Spread Iraklis -12.5 · main lineActual: Iraklis -12.5
IRA -12.5
32.1%
@ 2.15-11.6pp
ALA +12.5
67.9%
@ 1.83+11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
IRA
Marathon Be
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Bet365
2.12
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.83
ALA
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Be
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Spread Iraklis -9.5Actual: Iraklis -9.5
IRA -9.5
40.9%
@ 1.87-10.1pp
ALA +9.5
59.1%
@ 1.95+10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
IRA
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.80
ALA
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.91
BetVictor
1.91

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
IraklisAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H04/10
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#36
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
78.1Avg total
39.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.243%43%
Last 30 at home (16)38.737.275.9+1.438%12%
Last 30 away (14)43.644.988.5-1.250%79%
Last 10 (10)39.039.178.1-0.150%30%
Last 5 (5)35.237.672.8-2.420%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.644.083.6-4.438%38%
vs Similar (15)39.240.279.4-1.027%40%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.438.484.9+8.086%57%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#36
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#46
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H31/10
Division A
82.8Avg total
44.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83
Last 30 (30)43.739.883.6+3.953%50%
Last 30 at home (16)45.438.884.1+6.662%50%
Last 30 away (14)41.941.182.9+0.843%50%
Last 10 (10)44.138.782.8+5.460%40%
Last 5 (5)49.439.088.4+10.4100%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.044.081.0-7.00%0%
vs Similar (7)40.339.179.4+1.129%43%
vs Weaker (20)46.039.585.4+6.570%60%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Iraklis win
IRA win
65.1%
@ 1.33-9.7pp
ALA win
34.9%
@ 3.73+9.7pp
1st half Spread Iraklis -5.5 · main lineActual: Iraklis -5.5
IRA -5.5
41.6%
@ 1.92-8.1pp
ALA +5.5
58.4%
@ 1.90+8.1pp
1st half Over/Under 83 · main lineActual: Under 83
Over
25.9%
@ 1.85-24.1pp
Under
74.1%
@ 1.85+24.1pp
Iraklis 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Iraklis over 43
Over
32.7%
@ 1.85-17.3pp
Under
67.3%
@ 1.85+17.3pp
AEK Larnaca 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: AEK Larnaca under 37.5
Over
44.3%
@ 1.85-5.7pp
Under
55.7%
@ 1.85+5.7pp
1st half: IRA + total 82.5
IRA & over
18.2%
@ 2.70-14.1pp
IRA & under
44.4%
@ 2.60+10.9pp
1st half: Draw + total 82.5
Draw & over
1.0%
@ 31.00-1.8pp
Draw & under
2.9%
@ 29.00-0.1pp
1st half: ALA + total 82.5
ALA & over
9.1%
@ 6.25-4.9pp
ALA & under
24.5%
@ 6.00+10.0pp
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5
Over
31.7%
@ 2.01-15.7pp
Under
68.3%
@ 1.91+15.7pp
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5
Over
22.3%
@ 2.20-19.8pp
Under
77.7%
@ 1.60+19.8pp
1st half Spread Iraklis -6.5Actual: Iraklis -6.5
IRA -6.5
37.5%
@ 2.10-7.8pp
ALA +6.5
62.5%
@ 1.80+7.8pp
1st half Spread Iraklis -4.5Actual: Iraklis -4.5
IRA -4.5
46.2%
@ 1.75-8.1pp
ALA +4.5
53.8%
@ 2.08+8.1pp
1st half Over/Under 80Actual: Over 80
Over
36.3%
@ 1.92-13.4pp
Under
63.7%
@ 1.93+13.4pp
1st half Spread Iraklis -7.5Actual: Iraklis -7.5
IRA -7.5
33.5%
@ 2.22-8.0pp
ALA +7.5
66.5%
@ 1.58+8.0pp
1st half Spread Iraklis -3.5Actual: Iraklis -3.5
IRA -3.5
50.4%
@ 1.62-6.6pp
ALA +3.5
49.6%
@ 2.15+6.6pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Iraklis (regulation)
IRA
62.6%
@ 1.37-5.6pp
Draw
3.9%
@ 17.50-1.4pp
ALA
33.5%
@ 3.50+7.1pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
IRA win + total 162.5
🔒 Pro
ALA win + total 162.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: IRA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ALA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (IRA:ALA): IRA wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Iraklis under 8981.7%1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87		---+32.2ppWon
Under 17086.1%1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.67		---+31.7ppWon
2nd half: Under 8581.5%1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		---+31.5ppWon
Iraklis under 88.579.6%1.88
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.93
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.80		-+31.4ppWon
Iraklis under 89.582.2%1.81
1xBet
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.81		---+31.4ppWon
Under 170.586.3%1.64
1xBet
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.64		---+31.1ppWon
Iraklis under 8879.0%1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.90		---+30.7ppWon
2nd half: Under 85.582.0%1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80		---+30.7ppWon
2nd half: Under 8479.0%1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		---+29.0ppWon
Under 16984.7%1.61
1xBet
1.76
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.48		--+28.4ppWon
2nd half: Under 83.576.9%1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.90		---+28.2ppWon
2nd half: Under 84.579.5%1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80		---+28.2ppWon
Under 169.585.0%1.56
1xBet
1.71
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.46		--+27.8ppWon
Q3: Under 4380.5%1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.75		---+27.6ppWon
Under 16781.7%1.69
1xBet
1.92
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.52		--+27.6ppWon
Under 16883.3%1.63
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.47		--+27.4ppWon
Under 167.582.0%1.66
1xBet
1.89
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.50		--+27.0ppWon
Under 168.583.5%1.60
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.45		--+26.9ppWon
Iraklis under 8776.2%1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87		---+26.7ppWon
2nd half: Iraklis under 4475.6%1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87		---+26.1ppWon
Q3: Under 4276.3%1.84
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.84		---+26.1ppWon
Iraklis under 87.576.9%1.81
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80		+26.0ppWon
2nd half: Iraklis under 44.576.7%1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80		---+25.3ppWon
Q3: Under 42.577.4%1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.77		---+25.1ppWon
Q3: Under 41.572.9%1.92
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.92		---+24.6ppWon
Under 166.580.4%1.66
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.66
1xBet
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.55		-+24.5ppWon
1st half: Under 8374.1%1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		---+24.1ppWon
Under 16578.3%1.71
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.63
Marathon Bet
1.63		-+24.0ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 4577.1%1.74
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.74		---+23.9ppLost
Under 164.576.9%1.75
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
1xBet
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.68		-+23.9ppWon
Iraklis under 8673.1%1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87		---+23.6ppWon
1st half: Under 83.574.9%1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80		--+23.5ppWon
Under 16680.0%1.65
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.57		-+23.3ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 44.573.9%1.85
Betano
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83		--+23.3ppLost
Under 165.578.7%1.70
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.60		+23.2ppWon
Under 16170.3%2.00
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.94
SBO
1.91		+23.1ppWon
2nd half: AEK Larnaca under 4175.1%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
1xBet
1.78		---+23.1ppWon
Iraklis under 86.573.9%1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80		--+22.8ppWon
Iraklis under 85.570.8%1.91
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88		-+22.8ppWon
Q1: Under 4375.2%1.76
1xBet
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76		---+22.6ppLost
Under 16272.4%1.90
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
SBO
1.80		+22.4ppWon
Under 161.571.0%1.93
Bet365
2.12
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.91
BetVictor
1.88		+22.4ppWon
2nd half: Under 8273.1%1.81
1xBet
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.81		---+22.1ppWon
1st half: Under 82.571.7%1.85
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80		+22.0ppWon
Under 16374.5%1.84
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.81		-+21.7ppWon
Q4: Under 4374.2%1.76
1xBet
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76		---+21.7ppWon
Q3: Iraklis under 2271.1%1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87		---+21.6ppWon
Under 162.573.0%1.85
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85		+21.6ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 79.572.9%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
1xBet
1.78		---+21.3ppWon
Under 16476.4%1.76
Bet365
1.86
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.72		-+21.2ppWon
Under 163.575.0%1.81
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77		+21.1ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 7972.1%1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80		---+21.0ppWon
Q1: Under 42.571.8%1.81
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.79		---+20.7ppLost
Q3: Iraklis under 22.573.1%1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76
1xBet
1.76		---+20.5ppWon
2nd half: Iraklis under 43.572.1%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
1xBet
1.78		---+20.1ppWon
Q1: Iraklis under 2373.2%1.73
Marathon Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.72		---+19.9ppWon
1st half: Under 84.577.7%1.60
Bet365
1.60		----+19.8ppWon
2nd half: AEK Larnaca under 40.571.8%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
1xBet
1.78		---+19.8ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 4472.5%1.75
Marathon Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.75		---+19.7ppLost
Q3: AEK Larnaca under 2174.6%1.68
Marathon Bet
1.68
1xBet
1.68		---+19.6ppWon
2nd half: AEK Larnaca under 4070.4%1.81
Marathon Bet
1.81
1xBet
1.81		---+19.4ppWon
2nd half: Under 81.570.9%1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78		---+18.9ppWon
2nd half: Iraklis under 4370.8%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
1xBet
1.78		---+18.7ppWon
Q4: Under 42.571.1%1.76
1xBet
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76		---+18.6ppWon
Under 174.590.8%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+18.4ppWon
Q1: Under 4270.4%1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78		---+18.3ppLost
1st half: Under 86.582.9%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+17.9ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 45.578.1%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+17.7ppLost
1st half: Under 88.587.3%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+16.4ppWon
1st half: Under 8270.7%1.83
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.74		--+15.9ppPush
1st half: Iraklis under 47.585.4%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+15.9ppLost
Iraklis under 97.595.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+15.7ppWon
Under 179.594.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+15.2ppWon
Q1: Iraklis under 24.581.0%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+14.8ppWon
1st half: Under 90.590.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+14.6ppWon
Q1: Under 43.576.3%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+13.8ppLost
Q1: Under 45.584.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+13.6ppWon
1st half: Under 92.593.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+13.0ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 49.590.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+12.9ppWon
Q1: Iraklis under 26.589.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+11.9ppWon
Q1: Under 47.589.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+11.9ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 51.594.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+11.5ppWon
AEK Larnaca +1472.5%1.48
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.44		---+11.3ppLost
AEK Larnaca +14.573.2%1.46
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.41		---+10.7ppLost
AEK Larnaca under 87.591.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+10.5ppWon
Under 184.597.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+10.4ppWon
AEK Larnaca +15.575.7%1.38
Bet365
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.35		---+10.0ppLost
Q1: Iraklis under 28.595.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+9.1ppWon
1st half: Iraklis under 53.597.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+9.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 42.580.7%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+8.8ppWon
Under 189.598.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.8ppWon
AEK Larnaca +13.570.7%1.50
Bet365
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.44		--+8.6ppLost
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 40.571.9%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+8.4ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 44.587.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.2ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca +9.573.8%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+8.1ppLost
Iraklis under 107.599.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+8.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca +11.580.3%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+8.0ppLost
1st half: AEK Larnaca +13.585.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+8.0ppLost
AEK Larnaca +20.585.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+7.9ppWon
Q1: Iraklis under 30.598.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.6ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca +6.574.9%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+7.3ppWon
AEK Larnaca +25.593.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+6.9ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 21.573.8%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+6.8ppLost
AEK Larnaca +30.597.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.8ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca +15.589.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+6.8ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca +8.582.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.7ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 48.595.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.5ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 46.592.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+6.5ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 23.585.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+6.2ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 97.598.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.1ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 27.596.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.7ppWon
Q1: Iraklis under 32.599.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.6ppWon
AEK Larnaca +35.599.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.4ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 25.592.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+5.1ppWon
Overtime: no95.9%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.0pp-
Q1: Iraklis over 12.594.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.5ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 9.596.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.4ppWon
Q2: Iraklis or AEK Larnaca94.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.5pp-
AEK Larnaca over 57.593.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.4ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 11.591.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+1.3ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 56.594.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.1ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 58.592.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+0.7ppWon
Iraklis +14.593.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.2ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 28.587.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----0.4ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 60.589.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----1.1ppWon
Q1: Iraklis +3.577.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----1.1ppWon
1st half: Iraklis +4.580.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----1.2ppWon
Q1: Iraklis over 14.587.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----1.7ppWon
Iraklis +9.588.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----2.1ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 30.580.9%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----2.2ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 13.583.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----2.3ppWon
Iraklis over 66.589.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.6ppWon
Iraklis over 67.588.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----3.6ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 62.585.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----3.6ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 15.571.3%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----4.0ppWon
1st half: Iraklis +2.573.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----4.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 32.572.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.1ppWon
Iraklis over 68.585.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----4.8ppWon
1st half: Iraklis over 33.582.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----5.4ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 64.580.4%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----5.7ppLost
Q1: Iraklis over 16.576.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----6.3ppWon
Iraklis +4.579.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----7.6ppWon
1st half: Iraklis over 35.573.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----8.6ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 66.573.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----8.9ppLost
Iraklis over 70.580.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----9.1ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 67.570.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----9.4ppLost
Over 139.579.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----11.0ppWon
Iraklis over 72.574.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----12.7ppWon
Under 173.589.8%1.48
Marathon Bet
1.48		-----Won
Under 17389.7%1.50
Marathon Bet
1.50		-----Won
Under 172.588.7%1.53
Marathon Bet
1.53		-----Won
Under 17288.6%1.55
Marathon Bet
1.55		-----Won
Under 171.587.6%1.58
Marathon Bet
1.58		-----Won
Under 17187.4%1.61
Marathon Bet
1.61		-----Won
AEK Larnaca +16.578.0%1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28		-----Lost
AEK Larnaca +1677.5%1.29
Marathon Bet
1.29		-----Lost
AEK Larnaca +1575.1%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.37		-----Lost
Iraklis or draw71.4%1.13
Marathon Bet
1.13		------
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
72.8%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.7
51.9%
53.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.4
35.2%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
72.8%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraklis
LLLLWWLWLL
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWLWWLW
#16
League position
#24
-2.2
Net rating
+10.3
88.3
Offensive rating
99.1
90.5
Defensive rating
88.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.7%
3-point %
35.2%
59.7%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 99.1Defence90.5 · 88.8Shooting50.2% · 52.2%3-point %30.7% · 35.2%Ball care17.5% · 12.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Iraklis   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iraklis wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
No previous meetings.
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73
10/10/26APeristeri89-91 OT
06/10/26AMZT Skopje64-59
04/10/26HOlympiacos68-78
25/04/26APromitheas85-97
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HETHA Engomi87-61
27/10/26AMZT Skopje85-69
24/10/26AParalimni85-74
21/10/26HTartu Ulikool99-93
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
11/10/26AApollon90-56
07/10/26HWurzburg73-65
16/09/26ACSM Oradea87-95
25/05/26HKeravnos68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraklis
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.887.582.0
Allowed / game79.879.580.0
Point differential+5.0+8.0+2.0
Avg total164.5167.0162.0
Over 16275%100%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.286.082.5
Allowed / game80.279.081.5
Point differential+4.0+7.0+1.0
Avg total164.5165.0164.0
Over 16250%50%50%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
2 Trier440100%95.575.5+20.0
3 Mykonos550100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Basquet Girona54180%91.273.2+18.0
5 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
6 Korfez Basket54180%84.673.4+11.2
7 Szczecin54180%86.279.6+6.6
8 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
9 Chalon/Saone43175%86.872.2+14.5
10 Benfica43175%93.887.0+6.8
11 Trepca43175%83.877.5+6.2
12 AEK Larnaca43175%84.280.2+4.0
13 Dziki Warszawa43175%86.283.0+3.2
14 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
15 Kolossos Rhodes53260%77.467.8+9.6
16 Promitheas53260%91.884.0+7.8
17 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
18 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
19 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
20 Lok. Plovdiv53260%83.483.2+0.2
21 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
22 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
23 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
24 VEF Riga42250%97.090.0+7.0
25 Iraklis42250%84.879.8+5.0
26 Geneva Lions42250%86.882.8+4.0
27 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%82.883.2-0.5
28 Oostende42250%78.280.0-1.8
29 Szolnoki Olaj42250%80.585.2-4.8
30 Zielona Gora42250%77.285.0-7.8
31 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
32 Vienna Basket52340%79.482.0-2.6
33 Valmiera Glass Via52340%80.284.6-4.4
34 SCM Craiova52340%89.294.8-5.6
35 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
36 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
37 Parnu72529%72.378.0-5.7
38 Bashkimi41325%72.882.8-10.0
39 Absheron Lions41325%87.297.5-10.2
40 Fribourg Olympic41325%73.285.2-12.0
41 Manchester Basketball41325%76.589.0-12.5
42 Gence41325%72.586.0-13.5
43 Opava51420%84.488.0-3.6
44 Nitra Blue Wings51420%76.287.8-11.6
45 Neftchi IK71614%74.483.0-8.6
46 MZT Skopje4040%73.282.8-9.5
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Batumi5050%68.894.6-25.8
49 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraklis2127141981
AEK Larnaca2311111964
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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