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Israel vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-78
18-18 29-14 18-21 19-25
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game76.5
Israel 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record7-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Arena Riga
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Israel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#24
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 75
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 75
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 75
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 75
H25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
20-26
20-15
20-24
17-26
20-27
25-14
15-21
18-15
16-23
17-18
11-19
16-17
24-20
8-16
20-18
28-13
18-22
24-25
13-23
22-16
20-22
13-25
32-16
19-19
19-17
18-17
16-17
20-8
17-32
16-25
26-23
16-19
20-18
29-18
21-18
11-16
18-24
27-17
32-18
159.7Avg total
79.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.276.5157.8+4.875%
Season at home (1)88.075.0163.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)79.077.0156.0+2.067%
Last 10 (10)79.280.5159.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)82.477.0159.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.983.2161.1-5.322%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.079.7157.7-1.740%
vs Weaker (11)81.473.7155.1+7.682%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Romania
#16
W
75-59
75
59
+16
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
102-69
102
69
+33
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
92-62
92
62
+30
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 65
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 65
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 65
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 65
A25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
25-16
19-19
14-10
35-17
23-22
23-18
21-12
21-20
23-32
23-12
21-14
27-14
27-27
18-10
20-11
21-9
17-27
26-22
11-8
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
155.7Avg total
82.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.773.0155.7+9.770%
Season at home (5)86.871.0157.8+15.880%
Season away (5)78.675.0153.6+3.660%
Last 10 (10)82.773.0155.7+9.770%
Last 5 (5)79.079.2158.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.176.0140.1-11.925%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.779.7158.3-1.044%
vs Weaker (13)80.467.0147.4+13.485%
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
IsraelPortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A08/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#24
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/11
EuroBasket
78.1Avg total
37.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.976.9-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.939.877.8-1.946%-
Last 30 away (17)36.339.976.2-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.478.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.274.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.443.478.9-8.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.137.774.8-0.640%-
vs Weaker (11)38.239.077.2-0.845%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
83.6Avg total
45.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.977.2+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.336.976.3+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.983.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.280.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.034.668.6-0.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.340.281.6+1.144%-
vs Weaker (13)43.534.878.4+8.777%-
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.2
56.3%
50.6%44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.214.2
67.1%
71.4%14.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
50.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.6
34.1%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.5
68.4%
71.4%14.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Israel
WWLWWLLLLL
Portugal
LWWLLWWWWW
#5
League position
#14
+5.1
Net rating
+12.6
108.9
Offensive rating
111.1
103.8
Defensive rating
98.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.6%
3-point %
34.1%
59.8%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 111.1Defence103.8 · 98.4Shooting53.7% · 51.9%3-point %32.6% · 34.1%Ball care16.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 38.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Israel   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Israel wins
0
Portugal wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Portugal v Israel70-72
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HUkraine88-75
23/11/24AUkraine86-73
25/02/24ASlovenia79-88
22/02/24APortugal72-70
27/02/23ASlovenia87-79
24/02/23HFinland95-97 OT
14/11/22ASweden68-71
11/11/22HSlovenia62-75
08/09/22ACzech Republic77-88
06/09/22HSerbia78-89
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74
25/02/24AUkraine79-77
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
23/02/23ACyprus75-66
13/11/22HRomania92-62
10/11/22HBulgaria88-78
28/08/22HCyprus102-69
25/08/22ARomania75-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Israel
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game81.288.079.0
Allowed / game76.575.077.0
Point differential+4.8+13.0+2.0
Avg total157.8163.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portugal
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game82.786.878.6
Allowed / game73.071.075.0
Point differential+9.7+15.8+3.6
Avg total155.7157.8153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia550100%85.664.4+21.2
2 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
3 Latvia550100%77.269.6+7.6
4 Lithuania54180%80.063.2+16.8
5 Italy54180%83.872.2+11.6
6 Estonia54180%78.271.8+6.4
7 Slovenia54180%83.277.4+5.8
8 Greece54180%77.673.0+4.6
9 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
10 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
11 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
12 Bulgaria1510567%78.874.6+4.2
13 Germany53260%78.867.6+11.2
14 Belgium53260%76.267.2+9.0
15 Turkey53260%79.276.8+2.4
16 Montenegro53260%81.479.6+1.8
17 Georgia53260%73.071.6+1.4
18 Great Britain53260%78.680.4-1.8
19 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
20 North Macedonia116555%73.270.9+2.3
21 Poland116555%76.576.5+0.1
22 Slovakia158753%72.371.9+0.4
23 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
24 Denmark1991047%73.673.0+0.6
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Czech Republic52340%81.879.6+2.2
27 Spain52340%70.872.6-1.8
28 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
29 Sweden52340%73.079.6-6.6
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands51420%77.282.2-5.0
35 Finland51420%78.487.6-9.2
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
40 Ukraine5050%73.884.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Israel1829181984
Portugal1814212578
← all games of the day
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