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Italy U18 vs Croatia U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-61
18-12 14-14 21-13 23-22
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - 9th place
Other2023
Meetings · Italy U18 v Croatia U18
30 Jul 2023
ITAL76
CROA61
01 Aug 2019
ITAL68
CROA50
29 Jul 2018
ITAL74
CROA67
27 Jul 2010
ITAL61
CROA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U18
#11
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A07/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-9
18-8
13-22
21-20
14-21
11-14
13-17
14-11
21-20
18-19
22-17
12-17
14-13
9-16
21-20
26-15
12-23
16-20
29-30
26-12
22-18
24-19
21-28
24-18
12-18
12-21
24-21
21-20
18-24
23-14
11-28
16-25
21-17
24-19
32-22
20-19
15-20
24-20
20-20
151.6Avg total
75.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.883.2167.0+0.750%
Season at home (2)91.082.0173.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)80.283.8164.0-3.525%
Last 10 (10)75.775.9151.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)84.082.2166.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.376.1140.4-11.810%
vs Similar (9)75.972.2148.1+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.665.5141.1+10.282%
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U18
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#14
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H06/08
EuroBasket U18
North Macedonia U18
#15
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H07/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-25
18-22
25-19
16-21
14-28
21-13
24-26
22-14
23-15
19-12
21-11
15-19
20-7
19-20
18-13
10-29
21-19
12-20
10-13
15-19
17-12
23-23
14-27
14-15
17-12
23-13
19-16
18-19
17-19
19-27
12-19
21-21
25-10
17-16
27-19
21-15
15-9
20-32
22-22
149.0Avg total
75.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.075.5148.5-2.550%
Season at home (4)75.872.0147.8+3.875%
Season away (2)67.582.5150.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)75.373.7149.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)77.074.4151.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.278.6141.8-15.515%
vs Similar (6)73.873.7147.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)77.064.9141.9+12.191%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Italy U18Croatia U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U18
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#10
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A07/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
71.8Avg total
36.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.469.5+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.733.167.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.535.470.9+0.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.671.8+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.277.2+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.837.470.2-4.610%-
vs Similar (9)37.036.473.4+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.729.965.6+5.864%-
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U18
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#14
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H06/08
EuroBasket U18
North Macedonia U18
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
70.8Avg total
36.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.870.2-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.935.971.8-0.167%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.768.5-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)36.134.770.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.030.266.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.639.371.9-6.738%-
vs Similar (6)32.837.870.7-5.017%-
vs Weaker (11)37.330.567.8+6.791%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Italy U18 wins
4
Croatia U18 wins
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/23HLithuania U1889-87 OT
27/07/23APoland U1893-83
26/07/23ASlovenia U1873-86
24/07/23ASpain U1872-78
23/07/23HDenmark U1893-77
22/07/23AGreece U1883-88
07/08/22AFrance U1856-66
06/08/22AIsrael U1875-67
04/08/22ASpain U1859-72
03/08/22HGreece U1864-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/23HSweden U1887-85 OT
27/07/23HDenmark U1890-66
26/07/23AIsrael U1866-84
24/07/23HPoland U1873-56
23/07/23ATurkey U1869-81
22/07/23HGermany U1853-81
07/08/22HNorth Macedonia U1872-59
06/08/22HGreat Britain U1885-52
04/08/22AGermany U1875-88
03/08/22ASlovenia U1883-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game83.891.080.2
Allowed / game83.282.083.8
Point differential+0.7+9.0-3.5
Avg total167.0173.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Croatia U18
EuroBasket U18 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game73.075.867.5
Allowed / game75.572.082.5
Point differential-2.5+3.8-15.0
Avg total148.5147.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia U18660100%89.862.2+27.7
2 Spain U18660100%78.564.0+14.5
3 France U1865183%82.362.2+20.2
4 Germany U1865183%77.365.7+11.7
5 Turkey U1875271%77.673.4+4.1
6 Greece U1874357%79.377.0+2.3
7 Israel U1874357%83.181.3+1.9
8 Italy U1863350%83.883.2+0.7
9 Croatia U1863350%73.075.5-2.5
10 Lithuania U1873443%86.082.3+3.7
11 Slovenia U1873443%73.471.7+1.7
12 Finland U1872529%69.780.9-11.1
13 Denmark U1872529%76.991.7-14.9
14 Sweden U1871614%73.384.4-11.1
15 Poland U1871614%67.782.0-14.3
16 Czech Republic U187070%61.385.4-24.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U181814212376
Croatia U181214132261
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