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Italy U18 vs Croatia U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Aug 2019
Tip-off: 13:45
Final 68-50
14-15 16-15 17-7 21-13
Position#5
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game57.2
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals
Other2019
Meetings · Italy U18 v Croatia U18
30 Jul 2023
ITAL76
CROA61
01 Aug 2019
ITAL68
CROA50
29 Jul 2018
ITAL74
CROA67
27 Jul 2010
ITAL61
CROA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#3
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
24-13
15-15
25-19
17-18
19-35
9-9
23-28
19-24
16-19
17-20
14-16
23-16
17-20
10-23
25-16
25-14
18-23
15-19
21-13
16-23
10-14
15-26
21-17
13-18
9-10
11-13
21-21
8-17
28-12
20-18
8-11
18-12
16-22
10-17
12-12
11-7
10-15
14-24
20-21
140.7Avg total
67.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)57.262.5119.8-5.225%
Season at home (1)54.062.0116.0-8.00%
Season away (3)58.362.7121.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)67.673.1140.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)58.266.0124.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.778.3145.0-11.614%
vs Similar (7)67.463.7131.1+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)73.261.9135.1+11.381%
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy U18
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
A05/08
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Netherlands U18
#13
L
63-98
63
98
-35
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
13-24
15-15
19-25
10-25
14-16
26-14
17-21
14-16
18-15
12-18
16-24
18-18
18-17
24-12
25-15
13-32
14-17
9-29
16-11
19-24
15-12
15-13
13-13
9-12
24-18
8-7
19-18
14-36
18-17
11-25
20-20
24-24
24-20
19-20
8-18
13-18
15-8
13-12
12-24
139.9Avg total
65.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.874.2137.0-11.525%
Season at home (2)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
Season away (2)56.558.5115.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)65.674.3139.9-8.730%
Last 5 (5)65.073.8138.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.880.5148.3-12.714%
vs Similar (6)73.270.0143.2+3.267%
vs Weaker (10)73.960.5134.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
Italy U18Croatia U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#3
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
67.9Avg total
32.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.465.9+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.132.865.9+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.930.065.9+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)32.735.267.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)27.830.057.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.039.371.3-7.314%-
vs Similar (7)35.730.466.1+5.386%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)35.128.463.4+6.775%-
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy U18
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/08
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Netherlands U18
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
70.6Avg total
32.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.970.5-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.238.173.3-2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)34.033.667.6+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)32.737.970.6-5.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.872.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.040.073.0-7.043%-
vs Similar (6)32.835.067.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker (10)37.930.668.5+7.380%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Italy U18 wins
4
Croatia U18 wins
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/19ATurkey U1855-67
29/07/19ARussia U1856-63
28/07/19ALithuania U1864-58
27/07/19HMontenegro U1854-62
05/08/18HSpain U1862-80
04/08/18ATurkey U1879-69
03/08/18HBosnia & Herzegovina U1898-96 OT
01/08/18ARussia U1866-79
31/07/18HLatvia U1868-90
29/07/18HCroatia U1874-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/19AFrance U1853-62
29/07/19HSpain U1875-82
28/07/19HNetherlands U1863-98
27/07/19AFinland U1860-55
05/08/18ATurkey U1874-72 OT
04/08/18ASpain U1852-89
03/08/18HUkraine U1885-62
01/08/18AGermany U1860-73
31/07/18HGreece U1867-76
29/07/18AItaly U1867-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game57.254.058.3
Allowed / game62.562.062.7
Point differential-5.2-8.0-4.3
Avg total119.8116.0121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game62.869.056.5
Allowed / game74.290.058.5
Point differential-11.5-21.0-2.0
Avg total137.0159.0115.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18550100%86.462.8+23.6
2 France U18440100%70.255.8+14.5
3 Turkey U1843175%74.561.5+13.0
4 Greece U1843175%69.265.8+3.5
5 Russia U1853260%73.869.2+4.6
6 Serbia U1842250%72.569.5+3.0
7 Lithuania U1842250%62.562.5+0.0
8 Montenegro U1842250%65.871.5-5.8
9 Slovenia U1842250%64.570.2-5.8
10 Great Britain U1842250%72.883.8-11.0
11 Germany U1852340%73.667.2+6.4
12 Netherlands U1841325%72.074.8-2.8
13 Italy U1841325%57.262.5-5.2
14 Croatia U1841325%62.874.2-11.5
15 Finland U1841325%53.565.5-12.0
16 Latvia U185050%63.482.0-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U181416172168
Croatia U18151571350
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