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Italy U18 vs Greece U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-68
8-8 23-30 25-12 14-18
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - 9th place
Other2024
Meetings · Italy U18 v Greece U18
04 Aug 2024
ITAL70
GREE68
03 Aug 2022
ITAL64
GREE55
01 Aug 2014
ITAL68
GREE85
27 Jul 2013
ITAL82
GREE62
10 Aug 2012
ITAL71
GREE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U18
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-24
23-14
11-28
16-25
21-17
24-19
32-22
20-19
15-20
24-20
20-20
18-12
14-14
21-13
23-22
17-17
19-16
14-21
22-24
20-25
27-20
18-14
24-21
18-15
22-23
23-12
27-20
21-26
18-26
12-21
34-21
23-15
24-14
23-22
20-26
13-17
9-17
30-9
15-16
159.9Avg total
82.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.276.3158.5+5.867%
Season at home (3)74.777.0151.7-2.333%
Season away (3)89.775.7165.3+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.477.5159.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.473.0136.4-9.614%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.476.1152.6+0.357%
vs Weaker (16)78.268.9147.1+9.481%
This opponent (Greece U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Greece U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland U18
#12
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#10
L
81-91 OT
81
91
-10
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#6
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
18-24
21-10
19-21
17-18
17-20
18-20
18-20
21-28
15-32
26-9
15-19
19-20
21-12
5-13
21-17
20-16
14-25
16-17
16-11
26-16
15-18
18-32
20-13
25-17
29-12
18-23
23-35
22-11
13-17
19-18
8-20
18-17
19-17
26-17
16-21
14-14
21-21
24-11
22-15
150.9Avg total
76.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.374.3151.7+3.050%
Season at home (3)75.367.3142.7+8.067%
Season away (3)79.381.3160.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)76.574.4150.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)79.675.4155.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.873.4136.2-10.518%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.377.5150.8-4.233%
vs Weaker (13)79.370.4149.7+8.977%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Italy U18Greece U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U18
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
75.6Avg total
37.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.170.0+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.432.466.8+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)37.235.672.8+1.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.275.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.678.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.134.466.6-2.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.036.674.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker (16)36.632.969.5+3.862%-
This opponent (Greece U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Greece U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland U18
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
76.4Avg total
39.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.772.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.373.6+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)33.837.170.9-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.076.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.072.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.736.767.5-6.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.740.273.8-6.533%-
vs Weaker (13)40.535.275.6+5.362%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Italy U18 wins
5
Greece U18 wins
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/24HLatvia U1867-59
01/08/24ADenmark U1890-77
31/07/24HLithuania U1885-94
29/07/24ALatvia U1890-70
28/07/24AIsrael U1889-80
27/07/24HSerbia U1872-78
30/07/23HCroatia U1876-61
29/07/23HLithuania U1889-87 OT
27/07/23APoland U1893-83
26/07/23ASlovenia U1873-86
Greece U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/24HTurkey U1881-61
01/08/24HFinland U1879-72
31/07/24ABelgium U1862-66
29/07/24ADenmark U1895-87
28/07/24ASweden U1881-91 OT
27/07/24HFrance U1866-69
30/07/23ASlovenia U1866-62
29/07/23AIsrael U1877-88
27/07/23AGermany U1870-78
26/07/23HFinland U1888-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game82.274.789.7
Allowed / game76.377.075.7
Point differential+5.8-2.3+14.0
Avg total158.5151.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece U18
EuroBasket U18 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game77.375.379.3
Allowed / game74.367.381.3
Point differential+3.0+8.0-2.0
Avg total151.7142.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany U18660100%85.270.8+14.3
2 Serbia U18660100%92.780.7+12.0
3 France U1865183%85.069.8+15.2
4 Slovenia U1865183%85.574.5+11.0
5 Italy U1864267%82.276.3+5.8
6 Greece U1863350%77.374.3+3.0
7 Lithuania U1863350%88.085.7+2.3
8 Israel U1863350%90.792.0-1.3
9 Sweden U1863350%80.782.3-1.7
10 Belgium U1863350%72.275.0-2.8
11 Spain U1873443%79.377.9+1.4
12 Turkey U1872529%73.978.9-5.0
13 Croatia U1872529%75.385.6-10.3
14 Finland U1872529%68.480.3-11.9
15 Latvia U1871614%74.382.9-8.6
16 Denmark U187070%81.696.9-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U18823251470
Greece U18830121868
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