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Italy U20 vs Great Britain U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Jul 2014
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-67
22-23 16-18 16-14 22-12
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game59.7
Allowed / game69.6
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Semi-finals
Other2014
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Great Britain U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U20
#6
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A08/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#16
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#10
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#12
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#8
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
9-10
19-11
21-23
18-16
22-18
15-15
22-19
9-13
14-18
23-11
21-18
27-15
19-14
18-10
20-21
22-23
10-23
20-18
14-26
11-28
22-14
9-17
25-21
14-20
14-15
25-27
24-15
16-15
10-16
21-19
18-16
15-11
15-12
27-12
4-17
21-19
11-15
21-22
14-23
142.8Avg total
71.7Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.173.0144.1-1.943%
Season at home (3)73.080.0153.0-7.033%
Season away (4)69.867.8137.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)71.771.1142.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)69.672.2141.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.579.6154.2-5.138%
vs Similar (9)72.271.1143.3+1.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.967.8146.6+11.188%
This opponent (Great Britain U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Great Britain U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands U20
#10
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H19/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Hungary U20
#4
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H20/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Poland U20
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H21/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Latvia U20
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H08/07
EuroBasket U20
Hungary U20
#17
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#9
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#14
L
52-75
52
75
-23
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#2
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#5
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
23-12
24-14
23-14
24-17
15-16
10-18
21-10
18-23
24-19
11-20
18-21
25-17
7-16
12-18
20-11
10-10
17-15
8-16
9-12
21-18
16-19
20-17
12-12
20-18
15-14
20-21
18-28
10-19
14-16
13-20
15-20
19-22
7-17
17-20
14-15
8-10
23-19
16-30
12-17
134.2Avg total
65.4Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)59.769.6129.3-9.929%
Season at home (4)62.269.5131.8-7.250%
Season away (3)56.369.7126.0-13.30%
Last 10 (10)65.468.8134.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)62.074.4136.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.275.0143.2-6.840%
vs Similar (2)80.569.0149.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker (13)83.064.2147.2+18.892%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Italy U20Great Britain U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U20
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A08/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#10
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#12
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
65.5Avg total
31.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.137.172.2-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.638.271.8-4.625%-
Last 30 away (14)36.935.972.8+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)31.733.865.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.062.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.441.575.8-7.115%-
vs Similar (9)29.735.064.7-5.311%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.432.574.9+9.988%-
This opponent (Great Britain U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Great Britain U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands U20
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H19/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Hungary U20
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H20/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Poland U20
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H21/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Latvia U20
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/07
EuroBasket U20
Hungary U20
#17
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#14
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#5
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
67.5Avg total
34.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.572.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.435.075.4+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)36.831.668.5+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.467.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.465.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.936.070.9-1.147%-
vs Similar (2)37.533.571.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (13)43.630.774.3+12.992%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy U20 wins
0
Great Britain U20 wins
No previous meetings.
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/14AIsrael U2067-79
15/07/14APoland U2061-52
14/07/14HFrance U2065-66
12/07/14HMontenegro U2088-84 OT
10/07/14ACroatia U2067-80
09/07/14HTurkey U2066-90
08/07/14ACzech Republic U2084-60
21/07/13HLatvia U2067-60
20/07/13ARussia U2077-68
19/07/13HLithuania U2075-72 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/14HSpain U2059-76
15/07/14HSerbia U2057-74
14/07/14ASlovenia U2052-75
12/07/14ALithuania U2073-81
11/07/14HGreece U2069-66
09/07/14AHungary U2044-53
08/07/14HLatvia U2064-62
21/07/13HPoland U2071-83
20/07/13HHungary U2070-61
19/07/13HNetherlands U2095-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2014
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game71.173.069.8
Allowed / game73.080.067.8
Point differential-1.9-7.0+2.0
Avg total144.1153.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
Great Britain U20
EuroBasket U20 2014
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game59.762.256.3
Allowed / game69.669.569.7
Point differential-9.9-7.2-13.3
Avg total129.3131.8126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia U2087188%75.063.2+11.8
2 Turkey U2087188%76.066.1+9.9
3 Croatia U2076186%72.661.7+10.9
4 Spain U2086275%63.559.8+3.8
5 Germany U2085362%66.559.4+7.1
6 Russia U2085362%67.662.4+5.2
7 Lithuania U2085362%68.565.2+3.2
8 France U2085362%64.963.4+1.5
9 Greece U2074357%69.968.6+1.3
10 Israel U2084450%73.070.5+2.5
11 Italy U2073443%71.173.0-1.9
12 Latvia U2083538%66.467.2-0.9
13 Slovenia U2083538%65.866.9-1.1
14 Montenegro U2083538%71.472.6-1.2
15 Hungary U2083538%61.465.8-4.4
16 Poland U2083538%63.468.1-4.8
17 Great Britain U2072529%59.769.6-9.9
18 Bulgaria U2082625%71.574.4-2.9
19 Sweden U2081712%57.172.0-14.9
20 Czech Republic U2081712%60.575.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U202216162276
Great Britain U202318141267
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