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Italy U20 vs Latvia U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jul 2013
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 67-60
9-13 14-18 23-11 21-18
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Final
Other2013
Meetings · Italy U20 v Latvia U20
24 Jul 2016
ITAL86
LATV79
21 Jul 2013
ITAL67
LATV60
18 Jul 2012
ITAL78
LATV94
16 Jul 2010
ITAL78
LATV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Estonia U20
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-14
12-16
7-16
17-26
19-16
18-12
22-16
23-13
27-19
23-22
16-21
14-11
22-18
13-21
12-15
22-14
31-26
11-19
26-19
21-22
14-15
16-22
25-14
16-23
16-19
22-28
27-18
27-14
18-21
26-19
17-16
18-23
9-10
19-11
21-23
18-16
22-18
15-15
22-19
149.8Avg total
77.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.273.2152.4+6.078%
Season at home (5)75.270.0145.2+5.280%
Season away (4)84.277.2161.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)77.472.4149.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)79.474.2153.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.878.2152.9-3.438%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.471.3147.7+5.186%
vs Weaker (10)76.367.7144.0+8.680%
This opponent (Latvia U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany U20
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Bulgaria U20
#11
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#2
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
16-18
13-26
18-23
20-18
21-18
23-9
23-14
19-16
21-23
18-20
17-16
18-16
16-14
25-18
23-21
17-19
21-21
20-5
17-22
20-20
20-11
17-19
21-22
23-16
19-16
28-22
18-27
19-27
21-21
11-18
23-13
20-27
19-10
13-13
26-23
13-21
22-15
16-13
13-14
150.6Avg total
77.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.472.0151.4+7.489%
Season at home (5)79.869.0148.8+10.8100%
Season away (4)79.075.8154.8+3.275%
Last 10 (10)77.872.8150.6+5.080%
Last 5 (5)76.473.6150.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.872.6137.4-7.831%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.072.0143.0-1.040%
vs Weaker (7)84.370.1154.4+14.1100%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
Italy U20Latvia U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Estonia U20
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
75.3Avg total
39.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.873.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.439.175.4-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)37.134.972.0+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.775.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.272.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.439.573.9-5.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.637.473.0-1.943%-
vs Weaker (10)40.732.973.6+7.880%-
This opponent (Latvia U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany U20
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Bulgaria U20
#11
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
74.1Avg total
38.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.470.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.534.270.7+2.462%-
Last 30 away (17)34.836.371.1-1.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.074.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.435.968.3-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.235.771.9+0.540%-
vs Weaker (7)40.633.974.4+6.786%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U20 wins
2
Latvia U20 wins
DateGameScore
16/07/13Latvia U20 v Italy U2088-81
18/07/12Italy U20 v Latvia U2078-94
16/07/10Italy U20 v Latvia U2078-73
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/13ARussia U2077-68
19/07/13HLithuania U2075-72 OT
17/07/13HRussia U2088-70
16/07/13ALatvia U2081-88
15/07/13HSpain U2076-73
13/07/13AEstonia U2090-78
12/07/13HSlovenia U2061-65
10/07/13ACzech Republic U2089-75
09/07/13HFrance U2076-70
21/07/12HTurkey U2061-65
Latvia U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/13HSpain U2064-63
19/07/13HMontenegro U2078-73
17/07/13AFrance U2074-79
16/07/13HItaly U2088-81
15/07/13ASlovenia U2078-72
12/07/13ASpain U2075-67
11/07/13HBulgaria U2082-69
10/07/13ARussia U2089-85 OT
09/07/13HIsrael U2087-59
22/07/12HGermany U2063-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game79.275.284.2
Allowed / game73.270.077.2
Point differential+6.0+5.2+7.0
Avg total152.4145.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Latvia U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game79.479.879.0
Allowed / game72.069.075.8
Point differential+7.4+10.8+3.2
Avg total151.4148.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Latvia U2098189%79.472.0+7.4
2 Greece U20108280%71.464.5+6.9
3 Italy U2097278%79.273.2+6.0
4 Serbia U2096367%74.766.3+8.3
5 France U2096367%68.663.9+4.7
6 Lithuania U20106460%72.862.1+10.7
7 Spain U20106460%71.464.4+7.0
8 Turkey U20106460%69.970.4-0.5
9 Slovenia U2095456%72.273.0-0.8
10 Russia U20105550%72.872.7+0.1
11 Bulgaria U2094544%69.667.4+2.1
12 Germany U2094544%67.468.0-0.6
13 Israel U2094544%69.173.9-4.8
14 Montenegro U20104640%67.868.9-1.1
15 Ukraine U2093633%72.274.7-2.4
16 Estonia U2093633%68.272.7-4.4
17 Croatia U2093633%70.675.2-4.7
18 Sweden U2093633%70.676.0-5.4
19 Czech Republic U2092722%73.479.3-5.9
20 Georgia U209090%56.982.1-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U20914232167
Latvia U201318111860
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