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Italy U20 vs Montenegro U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2014
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 88-84 (OT)
14-20 14-15 25-27 24-15 11-7
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game76.0
Meetings · Italy U20 v Montenegro U20
12 Jul 2014
ITAL88
MONT84
22 Jul 2011
ITAL78
MONT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia U20
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A08/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
31-26
11-19
26-19
21-22
14-15
16-22
25-14
16-23
16-19
22-28
27-18
27-14
18-21
26-19
17-16
18-23
9-10
19-11
21-23
18-16
22-18
15-15
22-19
9-13
14-18
23-11
21-18
27-15
19-14
18-10
20-21
22-23
10-23
20-18
14-26
11-28
22-14
9-17
25-21
151.0Avg total
77.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.376.7149.0-4.333%
Season at home (1)66.090.0156.0-24.00%
Season away (2)75.570.0145.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)77.173.9151.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)72.271.6143.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.579.6154.2-5.138%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.070.2144.2+3.883%
vs Weaker (11)77.067.0144.0+10.082%
This opponent (Montenegro U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montenegro U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#12
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
L
51-84
51
84
-33
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
10-25
22-19
23-16
17-5
17-16
14-20
8-22
12-16
7-14
7-29
21-11
22-12
18-16
14-17
21-19
27-20
10-19
13-13
23-26
10-26
16-11
12-19
14-11
11-17
9-22
14-22
17-23
22-16
21-8
21-24
20-22
21-30
11-20
19-21
32-15
17-21
11-21
19-18
15-12
139.2Avg total
65.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.376.0152.3+0.333%
Season at home (2)73.071.0144.0+2.050%
Season away (1)83.086.0169.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)65.473.8139.2-8.420%
Last 5 (5)66.475.8142.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.875.8139.6-11.98%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.067.9139.9+4.150%
vs Weaker (8)80.570.1150.6+10.488%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
Italy U20Montenegro U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia U20
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A08/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
73.5Avg total
36.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.437.373.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.838.973.7-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)37.935.773.7+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.973.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.471.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.441.575.8-7.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.837.269.0-5.317%-
vs Weaker (11)41.232.573.7+8.682%-
This opponent (Montenegro U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montenegro U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#8
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
66.4Avg total
30.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.368.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.333.267.5+1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)35.035.670.6-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)30.535.966.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.838.468.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.238.467.7-9.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.432.869.2+3.670%-
vs Weaker (8)40.530.070.5+10.588%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U20 wins
0
Montenegro U20 wins
DateGameScore
22/07/11Italy U20 v Montenegro U2078-67
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/14ACroatia U2067-80
09/07/14HTurkey U2066-90
08/07/14ACzech Republic U2084-60
21/07/13HLatvia U2067-60
20/07/13ARussia U2077-68
19/07/13HLithuania U2075-72 OT
17/07/13HRussia U2088-70
16/07/13ALatvia U2081-88
15/07/13HSpain U2076-73
13/07/13AEstonia U2090-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/14HCroatia U2062-72
10/07/14ATurkey U2083-86
09/07/14HCzech Republic U2084-70
21/07/13ALithuania U2051-84
20/07/13HGreece U2052-67
19/07/13ALatvia U2073-78
17/07/13HGermany U2075-64
16/07/13AGreece U2047-70
15/07/13HLithuania U2056-63
13/07/13HTurkey U2071-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2014
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game72.366.075.5
Allowed / game76.790.070.0
Point differential-4.3-24.0+5.5
Avg total149.0156.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montenegro U20
EuroBasket U20 2014
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.373.083.0
Allowed / game76.071.086.0
Point differential+0.3+2.0-3.0
Avg total152.3144.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lithuania U20330100%74.356.7+17.7
2 Serbia U20330100%72.757.0+15.7
3 Turkey U20440100%81.869.8+12.0
4 France U2043175%71.066.2+4.8
5 Germany U2032167%66.057.3+8.7
6 Croatia U2032167%72.766.3+6.3
7 Israel U2032167%65.060.0+5.0
8 Russia U2032167%66.362.3+4.0
9 Great Britain U2032167%59.060.3-1.3
10 Slovenia U2042250%65.564.2+1.2
11 Greece U2042250%69.271.0-1.8
12 Montenegro U2031233%76.376.0+0.3
13 Spain U2031233%63.064.7-1.7
14 Hungary U2031233%60.062.3-2.3
15 Italy U2031233%72.376.7-4.3
16 Poland U2031233%64.773.0-8.3
17 Bulgaria U203030%72.779.7-7.0
18 Latvia U203030%60.772.3-11.7
19 Czech Republic U203030%64.783.0-18.3
20 Sweden U203030%51.375.7-24.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Italy U20141425241188
Montenegro U2020152715784
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