Italy vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Nov 2021

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 75-73

22-18 25-21 13-11 15-23

Position#17

Record0-1

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game92.0

Italy 🏆

Netherlands

Position#77

Record0-1

FormWLWLL

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game79.0

World CupRound 2

Other2023

Meetings · Italy v Netherlands

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Netherlands winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estonia

#34

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

H19/02

EuroBasket

North Macedonia

#15

78-87

-9

A21/02

EuroBasket

Puerto Rico

#24

90-83

H01/07

Olympic Games

Dominican Republic

#14

79-59

+20

H03/07

Olympic Games

Serbia

102-95

102

A04/07

Olympic Games

Germany

#12

92-82

+10

A25/07

Olympic Games

Australia

83-86

-3

H28/07

Olympic Games

Nigeria

#22

80-71

H31/07

Olympic Games

France

75-84

-9

H03/08

Olympic Games

Russia

78-92

-14

A26/11

World Cup

21-20

23-34

22-28

28-12

30-20

22-21

13-26

13-20

18-24

19-20

27-14

26-25

22-14

20-16

24-8

13-21

28-22

29-23

23-18

22-32

21-14

25-26

24-10

25-25

20-19

17-21

21-21

29-17

11-22

16-24

24-8

25-20

17-23

12-21

21-20

14-15

23-22

22-27

19-28

170.2Avg total

85.8Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	78.0	92.0	170.0	-14.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	78.0	92.0	170.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	84.4	170.2	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	83.0	164.6	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.0	84.2	160.2	-8.2	17%
vs Similar (4)	78.8	73.0	151.8	+5.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	85.8	74.0	159.7	+11.8	75%

This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hungary

#33

86-91 OT

-5

A02/12

World Cup

Lithuania

69-78

-9

H22/02

World Cup

Poland

#19

76-85

-9

A25/02

World Cup

Turkey

#22

72-65

A21/02

EuroBasket

Croatia

#12

59-69

-10

H24/02

EuroBasket

Sweden

#27

78-76

H27/11

EuroBasket

Turkey

#22

71-73

-2

H29/11

EuroBasket

Croatia

#12

65-57

A20/02

EuroBasket

Sweden

#27

59-74

-15

A22/02

EuroBasket

Iceland

#31

77-79

-2

H26/11

World Cup

15-12

14-22

24-22

25-22

20-25

15-20

14-17

20-16

16-26

20-20

14-20

26-19

18-17

23-21

13-16

18-11

21-18

14-20

16-9

8-22

15-18

23-24

18-12

22-22

14-24

23-17

18-14

16-18

11-19

16-16

22-13

16-9

17-23

20-16

16-18

6-17

19-23

22-21

17-18

19-17

145.9Avg total

71.2Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	77.0	79.0	156.0	-2.0	0%
Season at home (1)	77.0	79.0	156.0	-2.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	71.2	74.7	145.9	-3.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	71.8	141.8	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	71.5	73.8	145.3	-2.4	36%
vs Similar (4)	74.8	88.8	163.5	-14.0	0%
vs Weaker (8)	80.4	66.8	147.1	+13.6	62%

This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ItalyNetherlands

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.9	43.1	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.9	44.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	18.9	41.5	+3.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	14.8	20.2	35.0	-5.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.5	37.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.4	36.6	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.6	21.1	37.7	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	21.5	37.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.2	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.7	37.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	15.0	34.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.9	18.5	38.5	+1.4	64%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	17.2	36.9	+2.4	38%	-

ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estonia

#34

44-54

-10

H19/02

EuroBasket

North Macedonia

#15

52-41

+11

A21/02

EuroBasket

Puerto Rico

#24

37-44

-7

H01/07

Olympic Games

Dominican Republic

#14

42-30

+12

H03/07

Olympic Games

Serbia

57-45

+12

A04/07

Olympic Games

Germany

#12

43-46

-3

A25/07

Olympic Games

Australia

45-44

H28/07

Olympic Games

Nigeria

#22

40-39

H31/07

Olympic Games

France

42-43

-1

H03/08

Olympic Games

Russia

37-37

A26/11

World Cup

86.2Avg total

43.9Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.2	79.5	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.5	80.7	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	37.9	78.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	42.3	86.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.5	42.7	82.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.2	34.8	76.0	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.8	37.6	79.4	+4.2	55%	-

This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hungary

#33

29-34

-5

A02/12

World Cup

Lithuania

35-45

-10

H22/02

World Cup

Poland

#19

36-46

-10

A25/02

World Cup

Turkey

#22

41-38

A21/02

EuroBasket

Croatia

#12

35-38

-3

H24/02

EuroBasket

Sweden

#27

38-42

-4

H27/11

EuroBasket

Turkey

#22

37-41

-4

H29/11

EuroBasket

Croatia

#12

27-35

-8

A20/02

EuroBasket

Sweden

#27

37-39

-2

A22/02

EuroBasket

Iceland

#31

41-44

-3

H26/11

World Cup

75.8Avg total

35.6Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	36.3	38.7	75.1	-2.4	26%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.4	40.1	77.5	-2.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (11)	35.2	37.3	72.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	40.2	75.8	-4.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.2	76.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.5	39.6	76.2	-3.1	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.0	43.5	77.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.2	35.1	72.4	+2.1	50%	-

This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.7	39.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.8	42.2	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	20.2	36.7	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.7	15.8	34.6	+2.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	15.2	33.2	+2.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.2	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	15.9	33.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.0	33.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.7	15.6	32.4	+1.1	45%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	20.2	38.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.8	13.9	35.6	+7.9	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.3	39.5	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	16.3	38.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	16.8	39.0	+5.3	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	16.7	33.3	-0.2	55%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	21.8	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	17.8	39.1	+3.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	35.2	75.9	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	38.9	80.2	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.0	82.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.2	81.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.5	41.5	78.0	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	38.2	75.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.0	35.5	78.5	+7.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	37.7	33.8	71.4	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.8	33.9	69.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.6	33.6	73.3	+6.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	33.2	68.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	31.6	65.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	33.3	32.4	65.6	+0.9	64%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.1	31.6	74.8	+11.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Italy wins

Netherlands wins

Date	Game	Score
01/07/18	Netherlands v Italy	81-66
23/02/18	Italy v Netherlands	80-62

Italylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/21	A	Russia	78-92
03/08/21	H	France	75-84
31/07/21	H	Nigeria	80-71
28/07/21	H	Australia	83-86
25/07/21	A	Germany	92-82
04/07/21	A	Serbia	102-95
03/07/21	H	Dominican Republic	79-59
01/07/21	H	Puerto Rico	90-83
21/02/21	A	North Macedonia	78-87
19/02/21	H	Estonia	101-105 OT

Netherlandslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/21	H	Iceland	77-79
22/02/21	A	Sweden	59-74
20/02/21	A	Croatia	65-57
29/11/20	H	Turkey	71-73
27/11/20	H	Sweden	78-76
24/02/20	H	Croatia	59-69
21/02/20	A	Turkey	72-65
25/02/19	A	Poland	76-85
22/02/19	H	Lithuania	69-78
02/12/18	A	Hungary	86-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy

World Cup 2023

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	78.0	-	78.0
Allowed / game	92.0	-	92.0
Point differential	-14.0	-	-14.0
Avg total	170.0	-	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Netherlands

World Cup 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	77.0	77.0	-
Allowed / game	79.0	79.0	-
Point differential	-2.0	-2.0	-
Avg total	156.0	156.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Lebanon	2	2	0	100%	103.0	51.0	+52.0
2	Canada	1	1	0	100%	115.0	73.0	+42.0
3	Argentina	2	2	0	100%	87.5	55.0	+32.5
4	Spain	1	1	0	100%	94.0	65.0	+29.0
5	Iran	2	2	0	100%	91.0	65.0	+26.0
6	Brazil	2	2	0	100%	79.0	54.0	+25.0
7	China	2	2	0	100%	92.5	68.0	+24.5
8	Dominican Republic	1	1	0	100%	87.0	65.0	+22.0
9	Venezuela	2	2	0	100%	74.0	54.5	+19.5
10	Russia	2	2	0	100%	90.5	71.5	+19.0
11	Belgium	2	2	0	100%	78.0	63.0	+15.0
12	France	2	2	0	100%	75.5	60.5	+15.0
13	Lithuania	2	2	0	100%	81.5	67.5	+14.0
14	Ivory Coast	3	3	0	100%	76.3	63.0	+13.3
15	Uruguay	2	2	0	100%	82.5	72.0	+10.5
16	Kazakhstan	2	2	0	100%	82.5	72.5	+10.0
17	Israel	2	2	0	100%	74.0	65.0	+9.0
18	Bosnia & Herzegovina	2	2	0	100%	91.0	82.5	+8.5
19	Georgia	1	1	0	100%	88.0	83.0	+5.0
20	Mexico	1	1	0	100%	90.0	86.0	+4.0
21	Slovenia	2	2	0	100%	85.0	81.5	+3.5
22	Latvia	6	5	1	83%	90.7	76.5	+14.2
23	Montenegro	6	5	1	83%	78.8	71.0	+7.8
24	Sweden	6	4	2	67%	90.0	71.5	+18.5
25	Angola	3	2	1	67%	69.7	54.7	+15.0
26	Belarus	12	8	4	67%	80.2	67.2	+13.0
27	Nigeria	3	2	1	67%	79.3	72.7	+6.7
28	Iceland	12	8	4	67%	82.5	77.4	+5.1
29	Mali	3	2	1	67%	70.0	65.3	+4.7
30	Portugal	12	8	4	67%	74.4	69.8	+4.7
31	Ukraine	2	1	1	50%	80.5	74.5	+6.0
32	Turkey	2	1	1	50%	77.0	75.5	+1.5
33	Greece	2	1	1	50%	73.0	72.5	+0.5
34	Saudi Arabia	2	1	1	50%	66.5	66.0	+0.5
35	Germany	2	1	1	50%	69.0	69.0	+0.0
36	Jordan	2	1	1	50%	66.0	66.5	-0.5
37	Switzerland	4	2	2	50%	62.2	63.2	-1.0
38	Serbia	2	1	1	50%	85.0	86.5	-1.5
39	Finland	2	1	1	50%	69.5	71.5	-2.0
40	Estonia	2	1	1	50%	69.0	72.5	-3.5
41	Great Britain	2	1	1	50%	72.5	76.5	-4.0
42	Hungary	2	1	1	50%	67.5	76.5	-9.0
43	Slovakia	12	5	7	42%	71.4	73.8	-2.4
44	Cape Verde	3	1	2	33%	70.3	70.7	-0.3
45	North Macedonia	6	2	4	33%	66.0	72.5	-6.5
46	Guinea	3	1	2	33%	68.0	75.3	-7.3
47	Kosovo	6	2	4	33%	75.8	85.2	-9.3
48	Uganda	3	1	2	33%	70.7	81.7	-11.0
49	Luxembourg	10	2	8	20%	76.3	88.1	-11.8
50	Albania	6	1	5	17%	65.2	82.2	-17.0
51	Cyprus	6	1	5	17%	59.0	80.2	-21.2
52	Netherlands	1	0	1	0%	77.0	79.0	-2.0
53	Croatia	2	0	2	0%	72.5	76.5	-4.0
54	Puerto Rico	1	0	1	0%	86.0	90.0	-4.0
55	Poland	2	0	2	0%	65.0	70.5	-5.5
56	Czech Republic	2	0	2	0%	78.0	85.5	-7.5
57	Syria	2	0	2	0%	72.5	82.5	-10.0
58	Colombia	2	0	2	0%	72.0	82.5	-10.5
59	Italy	1	0	1	0%	78.0	92.0	-14.0
60	Bulgaria	2	0	2	0%	72.0	87.0	-15.0
61	Denmark	4	0	4	0%	69.5	84.5	-15.0
62	Panama	2	0	2	0%	54.5	74.0	-19.5
63	Romania	4	0	4	0%	69.8	89.5	-19.8
64	Central African Republic	3	0	3	0%	61.0	82.0	-21.0
65	United States Virgin Islands	1	0	1	0%	65.0	87.0	-22.0
66	Japan	2	0	2	0%	68.0	92.5	-24.5
67	Chile	2	0	2	0%	54.0	79.0	-25.0
68	Bahrain	2	0	2	0%	65.0	91.0	-26.0
69	Paraguay	2	0	2	0%	55.0	87.5	-32.5
70	Bahamas	1	0	1	0%	73.0	115.0	-42.0
71	Indonesia	2	0	2	0%	51.0	103.0	-52.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 71 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Italy	22	25	13	15	75
Netherlands	18	21	11	23	73

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Italy vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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