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Izhevsk vs University-Ugra Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 83-80
Projected total 162.9
Final 84-82
23-22 17-20 28-18 16-22
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.0
Izhevsk 🏆
Russia
Vs
60%
40%
■ IZHE 60%■ UNIV 40%
Pythia win probability
University-Ugra
Russia
Position#11
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.6
RussiaSuper League· Sports Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Izhevsk v University-Ugra
15 Nov 2026
IZHE84
UNIV82
02 Oct 2025
IZHE75
UNIV78
04 Apr 2025
IZHE68
UNIV53
03 Feb 2025
IZHE95
UNIV80
04 Nov 2023
IZHE70
UNIV75
18 Dec 2022
IZHE87
UNIV84
14 Oct 2022
IZHE69
UNIV106
07 Oct 2021
IZHE65
UNIV76
13 Dec 2020
IZHE92
UNIV79
18 Mar 2020
IZHE107
UNIV73
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Izhevsk faces University-Ugra on 15 November 2026 in the Super League, with the model favouring Izhevsk at 60% versus 40% for the visitors; the projected score is 83-80 and the total 162.9 points. Izhevsk, 1-7 overall, has scored 77.5 and allowed 87.0 per game, sits 12th in the league, and has gone 0-3 at home, averaging 77.7 to 87.3, with five straight losses and recent defeats to Khimki M. 69-86, Barnaul 74-90, and Novosibirsk 85-103. University-Ugra, 3-6 overall, has 73.9 points for and 82.6 against, occupies 11th, and is 2-3 on the road, 71.2 to 78.0, with a five-game stretch of 2-3 and recent results of a 78-88 loss to Tambov, a 79-94 defeat to Chelyabinsk, and a 78-76 win over Metallurg. In their ten prior meetings, University-Ugra leads 6-4, most recently beating Izhevsk 89-83 on 14 January 2026. The spread is -4.0 for Izhevsk with a 47% chance to cover, the over line is 160.5 with a 55% probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Izhevsk winWon
59.9%fair 1.67
Best odds1.49
Implied62.4%
Edge-2.5pp
University-Ugra winLost
40.1%fair 2.49
Best odds2.47
Implied37.6%
Edge+2.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IzhevskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barnaul
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A15/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A16/04
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A01/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A04/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H12/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H15/10
Super League
Tambov
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A25/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#8
L
85-103
85
103
-18
A02/11
Super League
Barnaul
#10
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A05/11
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H12/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
24-17
18-16
19-15
14-18
16-19
30-21
23-23
22-18
17-26
13-17
23-26
18-16
14-15
19-25
26-15
24-20
22-20
15-29
17-18
28-28
16-24
13-16
29-21
21-20
14-24
19-21
22-18
21-25
21-27
16-26
27-25
16-24
10-20
23-22
25-24
17-20
12-17
20-21
20-28
162.1Avg total
78.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.587.0164.5-9.512%
Season at home (3)77.787.3165.0-9.70%
Season away (5)77.486.8164.2-9.420%
Last 10 (10)78.184.0162.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.090.2168.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.284.0160.2-7.812%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.081.0157.0-5.025%
vs Weaker (6)84.771.3156.0+13.383%
This opponent (University-Ugra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
University-UgraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ufa
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A29/04
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A02/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A05/10
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H12/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H15/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A22/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A25/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H02/11
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H05/11
Super League
Tambov
#9
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A12/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
19-29
20-22
16-24
18-15
16-25
22-18
22-18
13-17
22-30
13-18
20-16
16-22
27-21
18-29
15-19
23-31
18-26
17-14
18-21
17-24
20-18
14-19
12-17
18-10
24-23
11-14
16-20
22-18
9-27
28-17
19-14
18-26
18-27
25-21
18-20
20-20
17-21
17-24
24-23
157.7Avg total
74.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.982.6156.4-8.733%
Season at home (4)77.288.2165.5-11.025%
Season away (5)71.278.0149.2-6.840%
Last 10 (10)74.483.3157.7-8.930%
Last 5 (5)73.480.6154.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.185.7160.8-10.720%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.877.8159.6+4.167%
vs Weaker (3)87.782.3170.0+5.367%
This opponent (Izhevsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Over 155.5
Over 155.5
66.5%
@ 1.53
Under 155.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.53
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
54.8%
@ 1.85+4.4pp
Under 160.5
45.2%
@ 1.88-4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5
Over 165.5
42.8%
Under 165.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Izhevsk total 78Actual: Izhevsk over 78
Over 78
68.6%
Under 78
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Izhevsk total 82 · main lineActual: Izhevsk over 82
Over 82
53.2%
@ 1.83+3.2pp
Under 82
46.8%
@ 1.83-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Izhevsk total 86Actual: Izhevsk under 86
Over 86
37.3%
Under 86
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
University-Ugra total 72.5Actual: University-Ugra over 72.5
Over 72.5
76.4%
Under 72.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
University-Ugra total 76.5 · main lineActual: University-Ugra over 76.5
Over 76.5
62.9%
@ 1.83+12.9pp
Under 76.5
37.1%
@ 1.83-12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
University-Ugra total 80.5Actual: University-Ugra over 80.5
Over 80.5
47.7%
Under 80.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Izhevsk -7Actual: University-Ugra +7
IZHE -7
35.7%
UNIV +7
64.3%
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
IZHE
No market prices yet.
UNIV
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Izhevsk -4 · main lineActual: University-Ugra +4
IZHE -4
47.2%
@ 1.87-2.8pp
UNIV +4
52.8%
@ 1.87+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
IZHE
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
UNIV
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
SBO
1.84
Spread Izhevsk -1Actual: Izhevsk -1
IZHE -1
58.7%
UNIV +1
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
IZHE
No market prices yet.
UNIV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
IzhevskUniversity-Ugra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IzhevskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barnaul
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/04
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H15/10
Super League
Tambov
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A02/11
Super League
Barnaul
#10
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A05/11
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H12/11
Super League
77.7Avg total
36.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79
Last 30 (30)37.439.777.2-2.337%43%
Last 30 at home (11)39.838.678.5+1.245%45%
Last 30 away (19)36.140.476.4-4.332%42%
Last 10 (10)36.441.377.7-4.930%40%
Last 5 (5)35.245.881.0-10.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.441.277.7-4.825%44%
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.139.174.2-4.038%38%
vs Weaker (6)43.236.579.7+6.767%50%
This opponent (University-Ugra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
University-UgraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ufa
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/10
Super League
Ufa
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H15/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A22/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H02/11
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H05/11
Super League
Tambov
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A12/11
Super League
82.4Avg total
37.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79
Last 30 (30)38.742.080.7-3.323%57%
Last 30 at home (13)40.243.283.4-3.131%77%
Last 30 away (17)37.541.178.6-3.518%41%
Last 10 (10)37.944.582.4-6.610%50%
Last 5 (5)36.642.879.4-6.220%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.844.482.2-6.613%53%
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.539.077.5-0.533%50%
vs Weaker (3)43.742.085.7+1.733%100%
This opponent (Izhevsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Izhevsk -2.5 · main lineActual: University-Ugra +2.5
IZHE -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
UNIV +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 79 · main lineActual: Over 79
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Izhevsk 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Izhevsk under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Izhevsk (regulation)
IZHE
no forecast
@ 1.60
Draw
no forecast
@ 15.25
UNIV
no forecast
@ 2.42

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 15470.2%1.58
Marathon Bet
1.58		-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Izhevsk wins
6
University-Ugra wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26University-Ugra v Izhevsk89-83
02/10/25Izhevsk v University-Ugra75-78
16/04/25University-Ugra v Izhevsk72-71
04/04/25Izhevsk v University-Ugra68-53
03/02/25Izhevsk v University-Ugra95-80
29/10/24University-Ugra v Izhevsk65-55
24/01/24University-Ugra v Izhevsk75-82
04/11/23Izhevsk v University-Ugra70-75
23/03/23University-Ugra v Izhevsk74-60
18/12/22Izhevsk v University-Ugra87-84
Izhevsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKhimki M.69-86
05/11/26ABarnaul74-90
02/11/26ANovosibirsk85-103
25/10/26ATambov76-83
15/10/26HMetallurg86-89
12/10/26HChelyabinsk78-87
04/10/26ACSKA Moscow 277-71
01/10/26ADynamo Grozny75-87
16/04/26AMetallurg83-81
15/04/26ABarnaul78-63
University-Ugralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ATambov78-88
05/11/26HChelyabinsk79-94
02/11/26HMetallurg78-76
25/10/26ADynamo Grozny69-67
22/10/26ACSKA Moscow 263-78
15/10/26HTemp Sumz Revda76-92
12/10/26HUfa76-91
05/10/26ARusichi Kursk68-81
02/10/26ADesna Bryansk78-76
29/04/26AUfa79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Izhevsk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%0%20%
Points / game77.577.777.4
Allowed / game87.087.386.8
Point differential-9.5-9.7-9.4
Avg total164.5165.0164.2
Over 160.562%67%60%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
University-Ugra
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game73.977.271.2
Allowed / game82.688.278.0
Point differential-8.7-11.0-6.8
Avg total156.4165.5149.2
Over 160.544%75%20%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chelyabinsk98189%91.384.6+6.8
2 Ufa87188%88.870.4+18.4
3 Temp Sumz Revda97278%87.977.8+10.1
4 Dynamo Grozny97278%84.074.9+9.1
5 Khimki M.107370%83.474.0+9.4
6 CSKA Moscow 2107370%71.768.2+3.5
7 Metallurg94544%74.977.9-3.0
8 Novosibirsk94544%81.786.4-4.8
9 Tambov93633%74.477.7-3.2
10 Barnaul93633%78.482.2-3.8
11 University-Ugra93633%73.982.6-8.7
12 Izhevsk81712%77.587.0-9.5
13 Desna Bryansk91811%68.778.8-10.1
14 Rusichi Kursk91811%71.085.7-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Izhevsk2317281684
University-Ugra2220182282
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