PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tambov vs University-Ugra Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 80-77
Projected total 156.8
Final 88-78
20-20 21-17 24-17 23-24
Position#8
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game76.1
Tambov 🏆
Russia
Vs
58%
42%
■ TAMB 58%■ UNIV 42%
Pythia win probability
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game81.9
RussiaSuper League· STC Tambov
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tambov v University-Ugra
12 Nov 2026
TAMB88
UNIV78
06 Nov 2025
TAMB82
UNIV85
15 Apr 2025
TAMB84
UNIV80
27 Feb 2025
TAMB64
UNIV76
22 Apr 2024
TAMB76
UNIV83
02 Feb 2024
TAMB79
UNIV86
01 Feb 2023
TAMB79
UNIV58
14 Oct 2020
TAMB78
UNIV74
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Super League clash on 12 November 2026 pits Tambov against University-Ugra, with Tambov the model favourite and a projected 58% chance to win, while the odds for a Ugra victory sit at 42%. Tambov has gone 2-5 in all seven games this season, averaging 73.7 points and conceding 76.1, and sits 11th in the league; at home they are 2-1, 80.3 points for and 74.0 against, and have won two of their last five. Their recent outings include a 88-90 loss to Novosibirsk, a 67-78 defeat to Barnaul, and a 83-76 home win over Izhevsk. University-Ugra is 3-5 in eight games, 73.4 points scored and 81.9 allowed, positioned 10th; on the road they are 2-2, 69.5 points for and 75.5 against, and have also won two of their last five, highlighted by a 78-76 home win over Metallurg and a 69-67 away victory over Dynamo Grozny, but a 79-94 home loss to Chelyabinsk. Head-to-head, Ugra leads 6-4, most recently beating Tambov 103-78 on 12 February 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 80-77, with a total of 156.8 points; the home line is 1.0, with a 59% chance of covering, and the over/under line is 157.5, with a 48% probability of the over, while the chance of overtime is 5%. The game will hinge on Tambov's ability to outscore Ugra's defensive resilience.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tambov winWon
57.8%fair 1.73
Best odds1.91
Implied48.9%
Edge+8.9pp
University-Ugra winLost
42.2%fair 2.37
Best odds1.87
Implied51.1%
Edge-8.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 18:15 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TambovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Izhevsk
#12
L
73-107
73
107
-34
A14/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H15/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H16/04
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A01/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A04/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H12/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H15/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A02/11
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A05/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
20-31
19-26
21-26
23-13
26-19
24-25
17-27
12-16
16-22
24-23
23-33
14-10
23-12
9-17
10-21
19-24
13-19
22-20
10-20
16-20
17-20
18-12
22-4
22-19
16-29
22-26
25-16
20-21
24-14
21-19
18-22
12-30
12-14
16-15
27-19
25-19
18-21
26-23
19-27
157.2Avg total
75.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.776.1149.9-2.429%
Season at home (3)80.374.0154.3+6.367%
Season away (4)68.877.8146.5-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.481.8157.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)79.278.0157.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)73.987.9161.8-14.022%
vs Similar (5)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (University-Ugra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
University-UgraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H28/04
Super League
Ufa
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A29/04
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A02/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A05/10
Super League
Ufa
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H12/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H15/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A22/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A25/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H02/11
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H05/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-19
19-25
26-20
24-15
19-29
20-22
16-24
18-15
16-25
22-18
22-18
13-17
22-30
13-18
20-16
16-22
27-21
18-29
15-19
23-31
18-26
17-14
18-21
17-24
20-18
14-19
12-17
18-10
24-23
11-14
16-20
22-18
9-27
28-17
19-14
18-26
18-27
25-21
18-20
158.2Avg total
75.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.481.9155.2-8.538%
Season at home (4)77.288.2165.5-11.025%
Season away (4)69.575.5145.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)75.083.2158.2-8.230%
Last 5 (5)73.081.4154.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.985.6160.4-10.721%
vs Similar (12)81.877.8159.6+4.167%
vs Weaker (4)85.880.8166.5+5.075%
This opponent (Tambov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
59.6%
@ 1.51
Under 152.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5 · main lineActual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
47.6%
@ 1.88-2.1pp
Under 157.5
52.4%
@ 1.86+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Over 162.5
Over 162.5
35.9%
Under 162.5
64.1%
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Tambov total 75Actual: Tambov over 75
Over 75
67.5%
Under 75
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tambov total 79 · main lineActual: Tambov over 79
Over 79
52.0%
@ 1.85+2.9pp
Under 79
48.0%
@ 1.81-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.77
Under
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.68
Tambov total 83Actual: Tambov over 83
Over 83
36.1%
Under 83
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
University-Ugra total 74.5Actual: University-Ugra over 74.5
Over 74.5
60.4%
@ 1.39-2.6pp
Under 74.5
39.6%
@ 2.36+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
University-Ugra total 78.5 · main lineActual: University-Ugra under 78.5
Over 78.5
45.0%
@ 1.83-4.8pp
Under 78.5
55.0%
@ 1.83+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.71
University-Ugra total 82.5Actual: University-Ugra under 82.5
Over 82.5
30.6%
@ 2.40-5.9pp
Under 82.5
69.4%
@ 1.38+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Tambov -2Actual: Tambov -2
TAMB -2
52.8%
@ 2.09+8.4pp
UNIV +2
47.2%
@ 1.68-8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
TAMB
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.02
Marathon Be
2.00
UNIV
Marathon Be
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Spread Tambov +1 · main lineActual: Tambov +1
TAMB +1
59.4%
@ 1.87+9.4pp
UNIV -1
40.6%
@ 1.92-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
TAMB
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.74
Marathon Be
1.72
UNIV
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.85
Spread Tambov +4Actual: Tambov +4
TAMB +4
70.0%
@ 1.58+12.5pp
UNIV -4
30.0%
@ 2.14-12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
TAMB
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.50
UNIV
Pinnacle
2.14

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
TambovUniversity-Ugra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TambovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Izhevsk
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H15/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H16/04
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A01/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A04/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H15/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A02/11
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A05/11
Super League
75.8Avg total
36.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79
Last 30 (30)35.642.277.8-6.627%43%
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.976.7-1.240%33%
Last 30 away (15)33.445.578.9-12.113%53%
Last 10 (10)36.139.775.8-3.640%40%
Last 5 (5)36.441.477.8-5.040%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.443.779.1-8.317%48%
vs Similar (5)33.037.270.2-4.240%20%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.537.581.0+6.0100%50%
This opponent (University-Ugra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
University-UgraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/04
Super League
Ufa
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/10
Super League
Ufa
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H15/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A22/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/10
Super League
Metallurg
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H02/11
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H05/11
Super League
82.7Avg total
38.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79
Last 30 (30)38.842.080.8-3.223%60%
Last 30 at home (14)40.243.183.4-2.929%79%
Last 30 away (16)37.641.178.6-3.519%44%
Last 10 (10)38.144.682.7-6.510%60%
Last 5 (5)37.446.083.4-8.620%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.944.682.5-6.814%57%
vs Similar (12)38.539.077.5-0.533%50%
vs Weaker (4)43.042.085.0+1.025%100%
This opponent (Tambov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Tambov 0 · main lineActual: Tambov 0
TAMB 0
no forecast
@ 1.83
UNIV 0
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 79 · main lineActual: Under 79
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Tambov 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Tambov over 39
Over
no forecast
@ 1.77
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
University-Ugra 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: University-Ugra under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 77.75Actual: Over 77.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread Tambov -1Actual: Tambov -1
TAMB -1
no forecast
@ 1.86
UNIV +1
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Tambov +1Actual: Tambov +1
TAMB +1
no forecast
@ 1.68
UNIV -1
no forecast
@ 2.01
1st half Spread Tambov -2.5Actual: Tambov -2.5
TAMB -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
UNIV +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Tambov +2.5Actual: Tambov +2.5
TAMB +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.43
UNIV -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half Spread Tambov -3.5Actual: Tambov -3.5
TAMB -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.17
UNIV +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.49
1st half Spread Tambov +3.5Actual: Tambov +3.5
TAMB +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
UNIV -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Spread Tambov -4.5Actual: University-Ugra +4.5
TAMB -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.38
UNIV +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
1st half Spread Tambov +4.5Actual: Tambov +4.5
TAMB +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.30
UNIV -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.83
1st half Spread Tambov -5.5Actual: University-Ugra +5.5
TAMB -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
UNIV +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.34
1st half Spread Tambov +5.5Actual: Tambov +5.5
TAMB +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.29
UNIV -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.88
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Tambov (regulation)
TAMB
no forecast
@ 1.78
Draw
no forecast
@ 15.00
UNIV
no forecast
@ 2.05

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Tambov +470.0%1.54
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.50
---+12.5ppWon
Tambov +4.571.0%1.46
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathon Bet
1.47
1xBet
1.36
--+12.1ppWon
University-Ugra under 84.575.8%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+6.0ppWon
University-Ugra under 83.572.7%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+5.9ppWon
Tambov +5.574.1%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+5.5ppWon
Tambov over 73.572.0%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+5.0ppWon
Tambov over 72.575.2%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+4.5ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tambov wins
6
University-Ugra wins
Tambovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ANovosibirsk88-90
02/11/26ABarnaul67-78
25/10/26HIzhevsk83-76
15/10/26HChelyabinsk85-90
12/10/26HMetallurg73-56
04/10/26ADynamo Grozny64-83
01/10/26ACSKA Moscow 256-60
16/04/26HBarnaul75-94
15/04/26HMetallurg90-84
14/04/26AIzhevsk73-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HChelyabinsk79-94
02/11/26HMetallurg78-76
25/10/26ADynamo Grozny69-67
22/10/26ACSKA Moscow 263-78
15/10/26HTemp Sumz Revda76-92
12/10/26HUfa76-91
05/10/26ARusichi Kursk68-81
02/10/26ADesna Bryansk78-76
29/04/26AUfa79-90
28/04/26HTemp Sumz Revda84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tambov
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game73.780.368.8
Allowed / game76.174.077.8
Point differential-2.4+6.3-9.0
Avg total149.9154.3146.5
Over 157.543%67%25%
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
University-Ugra
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game73.477.269.5
Allowed / game81.988.275.5
Point differential-8.5-11.0-6.0
Avg total155.2165.5145.0
Over 157.538%75%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dynamo Grozny87188%83.672.8+10.9
2 Chelyabinsk87188%92.186.8+5.4
3 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
4 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
5 CSKA Moscow 286275%73.266.9+6.4
6 Khimki M.96367%82.974.9+8.0
7 Barnaul83538%80.082.6-2.6
8 Metallurg83538%73.878.2-4.5
9 Novosibirsk83538%82.089.0-7.0
10 University-Ugra83538%73.481.9-8.5
11 Tambov72529%73.776.1-2.4
12 Desna Bryansk81712%68.978.0-9.1
13 Izhevsk81712%77.587.0-9.5
14 Rusichi Kursk81712%70.585.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tambov2021242388
University-Ugra2017172478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.