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Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-67
38-22 40-45
Position#228
Record5-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#151
Record7-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Western Kentucky
02 Jan 2027
JACK v WEST
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
JACK78
WEST67
08 Feb 2025
JACK85
WEST83
10 Feb 2024
JACK59
WEST70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reinhardt
#663
W
114-39
114
39
+75
H10/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H15/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H26/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#448
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-19
65-20
36-31
38-36
31-25
34-46
32-38
31-36
21-35
22-21
34-26
32-47
32-23
34-16
31-37
42-40
29-38
30-24
31-34
50-41
133.7Avg total
70.4Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.663.3137.9+11.445%
Season at home (8)75.558.8134.2+16.850%
Season away (3)72.375.3147.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)70.463.3133.7+7.140%
Last 5 (5)69.065.2134.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.666.0129.6-2.440%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.866.8134.6+0.958%
vs Weaker (11)78.666.1144.7+12.564%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#471
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H19/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H26/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H29/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
50-43
51-43
44-39
44-26
53-41
35-40
43-43
50-40
34-44
33-29
42-41
36-32
44-47
28-29
33-48
54-28
48-31
37-30
44-52
162.2Avg total
84.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.576.8161.3+7.664%
Season at home (8)86.274.0160.2+12.275%
Season away (3)79.784.3164.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)84.777.5162.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)79.873.4153.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.779.0151.7-6.325%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.572.7146.2+0.854%
vs Weaker (4)86.573.8160.2+12.8100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
Jacksonville StateWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reinhardt
#663
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H10/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H26/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#448
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A13/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.865.5+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.030.965.9+4.161%-
Last 30 away (12)31.833.265.0-1.517%-
Last 10 (10)32.630.663.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.663.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.635.061.6-8.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.332.366.7+2.042%-
vs Weaker (11)35.430.565.9+4.855%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#471
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H19/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.367.8+1.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.132.668.7+3.678%-
Last 30 away (12)32.234.366.5-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.533.373.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.629.667.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.334.066.3-1.758%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.533.867.4-0.362%-
vs Weaker (4)39.530.570.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jacksonville State wins
2
Western Kentucky wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AEast Tennessee St81-75
18/12/25HEastern Kentucky59-62
13/12/25AGeorgia State73-77
07/12/25HAub.-Montgomery66-39
02/12/25HNorth Alabama66-73
26/11/25HNorth Dakota St43-56
25/11/25AArkansas State63-74
20/11/25HSouth Alabama65-71
15/11/25HCoastal Carolina74-67
10/11/25HReinhardt114-39
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HTulsa81-82
16/12/25HCampbellsville102-59
11/12/25AMarshall61-77
06/12/25HEvansville80-79
29/11/25HWichita State75-70
27/11/25ASouth Florida91-97 OT
26/11/25HVanderbilt78-83
19/11/25HBethel (TN)97-67
16/11/25HTennessee State95-82
11/11/25AEastern Kentucky87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %45%50%33%
Points / game74.675.572.3
Allowed / game63.358.875.3
Point differential+11.4+16.8-3.0
Avg total137.9134.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game84.586.279.7
Allowed / game76.874.084.3
Point differential+7.6+12.2-4.7
Avg total161.3160.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %9%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State119282%77.765.4+12.4
2 Liberty129375%81.667.7+13.9
3 Kennesaw State128467%93.376.1+17.2
4 Sam Houston St.128467%88.174.8+13.3
5 Louisiana Tech117464%71.555.5+16.0
6 Western Kentucky117464%84.576.8+7.6
7 Middle Tenn. St.117464%78.071.4+6.6
8 Florida International127558%88.179.7+8.4
9 Missouri State127558%73.369.7+3.7
10 Jacksonville State115645%74.663.3+11.4
11 UTEP114736%72.471.2+1.2
12 Delaware124833%66.272.6-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State384078
Western Kentucky224567
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