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Western Kentucky vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 80-79
36-32 44-47
Position#151
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#362
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
61-90
61
90
-29
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#471
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H19/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H26/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
37-29
22-49
39-41
27-22
34-42
41-28
41-42
37-36
50-43
51-43
44-39
44-26
53-41
35-40
43-43
50-40
34-44
33-29
42-41
157.2Avg total
80.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.478.3164.7+8.171%
Season at home (5)85.474.4159.8+11.080%
Season away (2)89.088.0177.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.376.9157.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)87.279.8167.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.281.5152.8-10.225%
vs Similar (14)75.972.6148.5+3.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)88.772.0160.7+16.7100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H19/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
59-97
59
97
-38
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
24-39
22-41
29-41
44-25
48-25
39-26
37-21
28-36
44-41
34-35
42-49
30-28
43-41
36-44
23-53
29-40
30-38
33-32
31-20
138.5Avg total
67.5Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.170.7139.8-1.644%
Season at home (7)71.169.3140.4+1.943%
Season away (2)62.075.5137.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)67.571.0138.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)66.276.0142.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.073.2139.3-7.233%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -1.7-1.7
Western KentuckyEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
22-49
22
49
-27
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#471
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H19/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.069.3-0.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.633.869.3+1.872%-
Last 30 away (12)32.436.869.2-4.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.173.0+2.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.678.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.836.468.2-4.650%-
vs Similar (14)34.234.468.6-0.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.730.070.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H13/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A22/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
66.6Avg total
32.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.834.465.2-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.834.966.6-3.135%-
Last 30 away (13)29.633.763.3-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)32.434.266.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.868.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.335.666.0-5.325%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Kentucky wins
0
Evansville wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Evansville v Western Kentucky65-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HWichita State75-70
27/11/25ASouth Florida91-97 OT
26/11/25HVanderbilt78-83
19/11/25HBethel (TN)97-67
16/11/25HTennessee State95-82
11/11/25AEastern Kentucky87-79
04/11/25HTennessee Tech82-70
12/03/25HFlorida International61-64
08/03/25HLiberty61-90
07/03/25HFlorida International76-67
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HBall State64-52
24/11/25HCharleston59-78
24/11/25HAkron59-97
22/11/25AOregon State73-69
19/11/25HUT Arlington76-84
13/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.72-77
09/11/25HOakland City76-47
07/11/25HCalumet College92-50
04/11/25APurdue51-82
07/03/25AMurray State53-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game86.485.489.0
Allowed / game78.374.488.0
Point differential+8.1+11.0+1.0
Avg total164.7159.8177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%0%50%
Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %44%43%50%
Points / game69.171.162.0
Allowed / game70.769.375.5
Point differential-1.6+1.9-13.5
Avg total139.8140.4137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State770100%75.064.0+11.0
2 Kennesaw State97278%94.676.3+18.2
3 Liberty86275%84.864.4+20.4
4 Western Kentucky75271%86.478.3+8.1
5 Sam Houston St.85362%86.976.0+10.9
6 Middle Tenn. St.85362%81.872.1+9.6
7 Florida International85362%84.476.5+7.9
8 Louisiana Tech74357%69.961.6+8.3
9 Missouri State84450%78.673.9+4.8
10 Jacksonville State73443%77.463.3+14.1
11 UTEP73443%74.372.0+2.3
12 Delaware82625%68.975.9-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
2 Belmont108280%82.470.4+12.0
3 Illinois State97278%80.067.3+12.7
4 Murray State107370%88.076.4+11.6
5 Valparaiso96367%73.467.8+5.7
6 Drake106460%79.665.4+14.2
7 Southern Illinois95456%80.073.4+6.6
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Bradley95456%74.369.8+4.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)84450%78.672.4+6.2
11 Evansville94544%69.170.7-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky364480
Evansville324779
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