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Arkansas State vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-63
38-32 36-31
Position#98
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#228
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A10/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H19/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-34
0-0
37-37
0-0
43-41
0-0
38-53
0-0
50-37
0-0
53-41
0-0
33-34
0-0
30-31
0-0
32-39
0-0
57-46
0-0
31-46
0-0
34-44
0-0
33-46
0-0
53-39
0-0
45-28
0-0
50-39
0-0
39-47
0-0
33-38
0-0
30-50
0-0
39-50
161.7Avg total
79.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.385.3164.7-6.050%
Season at home (1)95.067.0162.0+28.0100%
Season away (5)76.289.0165.2-12.840%
Last 10 (10)79.782.0161.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)77.485.4162.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.587.5156.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.478.2149.6-6.925%
vs Weaker (18)82.068.4150.4+13.683%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A16/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#28
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A18/03
NIT
UC Irvine
#2
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A24/03
NIT
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
117-63
117
63
+54
H04/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
114-39
114
39
+75
H10/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H15/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-29
0-0
29-45
0-0
28-24
0-0
37-32
0-0
35-35
0-0
35-33
0-0
33-37
0-0
34-42
0-0
45-33
0-0
36-31
0-0
35-36
0-0
26-30
0-0
52-25
0-0
65-38
0-0
49-19
0-0
65-20
0-0
36-31
0-0
38-36
0-0
31-25
0-0
34-46
143.1Avg total
78.4Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.560.0152.5+32.575%
Season at home (4)92.560.0152.5+32.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.464.7143.1+13.760%
Last 5 (5)86.261.2147.4+25.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.570.5137.0-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.368.9138.1+0.460%
vs Weaker (9)82.264.7146.9+17.689%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +4.6+4.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +4.6+4.6
Arkansas StateJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A22/11
NCAA
77.5Avg total
37.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.172.4+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.828.870.5+13.092%-
Last 30 away (18)36.137.773.7-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.277.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.479.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.046.581.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.637.571.1-3.950%-
vs Weaker (18)39.831.471.2+8.478%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#28
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A18/03
NIT
UC Irvine
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/03
NIT
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H04/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H10/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H20/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
38.5Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.367.1+2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.331.668.9+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)31.933.165.1-1.214%-
Last 10 (10)38.529.467.9+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.627.267.8+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.236.867.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.432.565.9+0.933%-
vs Weaker (9)35.429.164.6+6.356%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Jacksonville State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASMU Mustangs69-100
20/11/25ASt. Marys (CA)72-85
16/11/25HChristian Brothers Buccaneers95-67
12/11/25AMissouri State86-85
08/11/25AStephen F. Austin65-90
04/11/25AOhio89-85
23/03/25ANorth Texas63-65
19/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens103-78
10/03/25ATroy81-94
09/03/25ASouth Alabama74-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HSouth Alabama65-71
15/11/25HCoastal Carolina74-67
10/11/25HReinhardt114-39
04/11/25HOakwood Ambassadors117-63
24/03/25AUC Irvine61-66
18/03/25AGeorgia Tech81-64
16/03/25ALiberty67-79
14/03/25HMiddle Tenn. St.70-68
13/03/25HFlorida International65-56
08/03/25HKennesaw State70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game79.395.076.2
Allowed / game85.367.089.0
Point differential-6.0+28.0-12.8
Avg total164.7162.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game92.592.5-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+32.5+32.5-
Avg total152.5152.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
5 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
6 James Madison74357%76.775.4+1.3
7 Appalachian State74357%70.069.3+0.7
8 Troy84450%89.883.9+5.9
9 Arkansas State63350%79.385.3-6.0
10 Old Dominion73443%75.174.7+0.4
11 Georgia Southern73443%82.084.0-2.0
12 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette61517%59.275.7-16.5
14 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty550100%90.663.8+26.8
2 Western Kentucky440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 New Mexico State440100%78.567.5+11.0
4 Kennesaw State54180%97.270.8+26.4
5 Jacksonville State43175%92.560.0+32.5
6 Middle Tenn. St.64267%86.074.0+12.0
7 Sam Houston St.53260%86.873.2+13.6
8 Missouri State53260%80.469.4+11.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%65.555.8+9.8
10 UTEP63350%76.871.5+5.3
11 Florida International52340%84.880.6+4.2
12 Delaware51420%68.076.6-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State383674
Jacksonville State323163
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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