Jamtland host Hogsbo on 13 November 2026 in the Basketligan, and the Pythia model names Jamtland the clear favourite, assigning a 92% chance of victory largely because of their 8-2 record, 91.0 points per game and 82.4 allowed, placing them third in the league, while Hogsbo sit ninth with 2-7, 81.1 points per game and 89.0 allowed. Jamtland have won all five of their most recent games, including a 97-94 win over Koping Stars on 10 November and a 92-74 home win over Nassjo on 30 October, and they have a 3-1 home record with 97.8 points per game. Hogsbo have lost all five of their recent outings, including a 69-84 defeat to Norrkoping on 6 November, and their road record is 0-4 with 80.8 points per game. In the seven meetings between the sides, Jamtland have won six, most recently 89-75 on 16 October. Pythia projects a 99-83 score, a total of 181.4, and gives Jamtland a 38% chance to cover the -19.5 line and a 59% chance of the over on the 177.5 total, with a 2% probability of overtime. The game ends with Jamtland's 99 points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 91.0 | 82.4 | 173.4 | +8.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (4) | 97.8 | 85.0 | 182.8 | +12.8 | 75% |
| Season away (6) | 86.5 | 80.7 | 167.2 | +5.8 | 83% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.0 | 82.4 | 173.4 | +8.6 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.0 | 81.2 | 176.2 | +13.8 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 94.5 | 89.0 | 183.5 | +5.5 | 100% |
| vs Similar (12) | 91.2 | 93.2 | 184.5 | -2.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 98.6 | 86.0 | 184.6 | +12.6 | 94% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 81.1 | 89.0 | 170.1 | -7.9 | 22% |
| Season at home (5) | 81.4 | 85.6 | 167.0 | -4.2 | 40% |
| Season away (4) | 80.8 | 93.2 | 174.0 | -12.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.4 | 88.6 | 169.0 | -8.2 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.2 | 89.0 | 164.2 | -13.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 78.7 | 93.3 | 172.1 | -14.6 | 16% |
| vs Similar (9) | 89.6 | 91.6 | 181.1 | -2.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 90.5 | 88.0 | 178.5 | +2.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 89.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 48.5 | 43.8 | 92.3 | +4.7 | 70% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 48.7 | 43.6 | 92.4 | +5.1 | 79% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 48.4 | 43.9 | 92.3 | +4.4 | 62% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.6 | 41.5 | 85.1 | +2.1 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 41.4 | 88.6 | +5.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 51.0 | 44.0 | 95.0 | +7.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (12) | 46.0 | 44.2 | 90.2 | +1.8 | 67% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 50.1 | 43.5 | 93.6 | +6.6 | 69% | 69% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 89.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 48.0 | 88.1 | -8.0 | 27% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.4 | 44.7 | 84.1 | -5.3 | 40% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 51.4 | 92.1 | -10.7 | 13% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.6 | 45.3 | 83.9 | -6.7 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.4 | 47.2 | 84.6 | -9.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 37.3 | 48.2 | 85.5 | -10.8 | 21% | 42% |
| vs Similar (9) | 45.9 | 48.2 | 94.1 | -2.3 | 44% | 56% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.5 | 46.0 | 85.5 | -6.5 | 0% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogsbo +24 | 76.3% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo over 76.5 | 72.4% | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.51 | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Hogsbo +23 | 73.5% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo over 75.5 | 75.6% | 1.43 | 1.47 | 1.43 | 1.40 | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Hogsbo over 74.5 | 78.6% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.37 | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Hogsbo +24.5 | 77.0% | 1.41 | 1.52 | 1.42 | 1.28 | - | - | +12.3pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo +22.5 | 71.4% | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.41 | - | +12.2pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo +23.5 | 74.3% | 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.47 | 1.34 | - | - | +12.1pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo over 73.5 | 81.4% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Hogsbo over 72.5 | 84.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Over 169.5 | 76.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Over 172.5 | 70.5% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Over 171.5 | 72.6% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Over 170.5 | 74.6% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Hogsbo +22 | 70.5% | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1.61 | 1.52 | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo over 70.5 | 88.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Hogsbo over 69.5 | 90.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Hogsbo over 71.5 | 86.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 88.5 | 85.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 78.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Over 168.5 | 78.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Over 163.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 81.5 | 95.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 77.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 87.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 92.5 | 73.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 79.5 | 97.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 85.5 | 90.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 89.5 | 82.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 80.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 83.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 82.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 84.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 91.5 | 76.9% | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 86.5 | 89.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Jamtland over 93.5 | 70.4% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Jamtland (regulation) | 90.7% | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 99.5 | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 98.5 | 93.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 97.5 | 92.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Jamtland win | 91.9% | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.03 | +2.1pp | Won |
| Jamtland +1.5 | 92.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 96.5 | 91.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 95.5 | 89.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Jamtland -3.5 | 87.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 93.5 | 86.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Under 198.5 | 85.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 94.5 | 88.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 77.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 91.5 | 81.4% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 92.5 | 83.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Jamtland -8.5 | 75.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 89.5 | 75.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 90.5 | 78.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Hogsbo under 88.5 | 72.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.9 | 20.2 | 52.7% | 40.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.4 | 10.4 | 33.9% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.0 | 17.0 | 74.1% | 17.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.7 | 17.2 | 52.7% | 34.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.4 | 33.9% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.3 | 19.3 | 74.1% | 19.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 | Hogsbo v Jamtland | 75-89 |
| 17/03/26 | Jamtland v Hogsbo | 85-74 |
| 06/12/25 | Jamtland v Hogsbo | 107-95 |
| 23/09/25 | Hogsbo v Jamtland | 109-111 |
| 15/02/25 | Jamtland v Hogsbo | 114-98 |
| 27/12/24 | Hogsbo v Jamtland | 84-70 |
| 01/11/24 | Hogsbo v Jamtland | 81-94 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Koping Stars | 97-94 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Nassjo | 92-74 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Norrkoping | 86-83 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Sloga Uppsala | 111-80 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Hogsbo | 89-75 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Boras | 92-99 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Umea | 93-69 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 76-91 |
| 29/09/26 | H | BC Lulea | 96-87 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Uppsala | 78-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Norrkoping | 69-84 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Sloga Uppsala | 79-80 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Koping Stars | 82-84 |
| 23/10/26 | A | BC Lulea | 71-108 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Jamtland | 75-89 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 85-93 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Nassjo | 85-81 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Uppsala | 88-92 |
| 29/09/26 | H | Boras | 96-90 |
| 17/03/26 | A | Jamtland | 74-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 80% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | LWWWW | 83% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Points / game | 91.0 | 97.8 | 86.5 |
| Allowed / game | 82.4 | 85.0 | 80.7 |
| Point differential | +8.6 | +12.8 | +5.8 |
| Avg total | 173.4 | 182.8 | 167.2 |
| Over 176 | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 22% |
| Home | WWLLL | 40% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.1 | 81.4 | 80.8 |
| Allowed / game | 89.0 | 85.6 | 93.2 |
| Point differential | -7.9 | -4.2 | -12.5 |
| Avg total | 170.1 | 167.0 | 174.0 |
| Over 176 | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 88.0 | 74.2 | +13.8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 97.6 | 82.7 | +14.9 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 91.0 | 82.4 | +8.6 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 91.7 | 83.2 | +8.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.3 | 83.6 | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 86.5 | 87.8 | -1.3 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 74.9 | 87.4 | -12.5 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 78.2 | 84.3 | -6.1 | |
| 9 | Hogsbo | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.1 | 89.0 | -7.9 |
| 10 | Sloga Uppsala | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 80.7 | 94.0 | -13.3 |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 77.8 | 88.0 | -10.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 30 | 27 | 23 | 105 | |
| Hogsbo | 27 | 17 | 26 | 9 | 79 |
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