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Japan vs Mongolia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 93-75
22-22 25-14 20-15 26-24
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game64.5
Japan 🏆
vs
Mongolia
Position#15
Record5-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeAsia Cup· Nikkan Arena Tochigi
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mongolia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 67
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 67
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-22
17-21
33-15
17-19
33-18
23-18
7-16
33-13
23-21
18-7
21-22
21-15
17-19
14-16
18-7
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
147.4Avg total
76.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.564.5141.0+12.0100%
Season at home (2)76.564.5141.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.271.2147.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)69.673.4143.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.984.6153.4-15.729%
vs Similar (8)77.687.6165.2-10.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.164.5151.5+22.693%
This opponent (Mongolia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MongoliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMongolia
Date
Competition
Vietnam
#24
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H13/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
105-109
105
109
-4
no box
A14/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
73-49
73
49
+24
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
50-89
50
89
-39
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
39avg 38
A22/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
63-74
63
74
-11
37avg 38
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
25-19
17-12
25-20
31-23
28-29
11-23
35-34
27-15
14-18
20-18
15-18
29-8
22-10
10-16
12-15
26-15
17-24
22-26
16-17
19-20
9-24
12-21
10-24
20-17
10-20
18-17
16-15
19-22
25-21
20-19
11-16
12-20
17-19
7-20
13-21
13-21
19-18
16-19
15-16
150.0Avg total
72.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.077.1157.1+2.956%
Season at home (5)78.872.2151.0+6.680%
Season away (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)72.477.6150.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)60.278.0138.2-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.291.2158.4-23.96%
vs Similar (3)95.792.7188.3+3.067%
vs Weaker (11)79.168.5147.6+10.564%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
JapanMongolia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
76.9Avg total
38.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.978.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.538.277.8+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.879.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.776.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.872.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.745.077.7-12.314%-
vs Similar (8)32.446.478.8-14.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.934.179.0+10.967%-
This opponent (Mongolia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MongoliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vietnam
#24
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A14/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/02
Asia Cup
79.2Avg total
40.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.978.1-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.939.578.4-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.277.9-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.979.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.473.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.844.578.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (3)51.345.096.3+6.3100%-
vs Weaker (11)41.131.872.9+9.373%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.012.5
44.6%
49.3%25.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.511.5
29.9%
32.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
70.1%17.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mongoliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mongolia: 56.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.0
53.3%
49.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.0
26.1%
32.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws8.56.0
70.6%
70.1%6.0
They take 53.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan
WWLLLWWWWW
Mongolia
LLLLLLWWLW
#6
League position
#15
+17.4
Net rating
-32.0
102.4
Offensive rating
76.4
85.0
Defensive rating
108.4
44.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
37.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
13.2%
Turnover %
32.1%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.16
29.9%
3-point %
26.1%
72.9%
Assist %
52.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 76.4Defence85.0 · 108.4Shooting44.7% · 47.2%3-point %29.9% · 26.1%Ball care13.2% · 32.1%Off. rebounds24.1% · 23.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Japan   ■ Mongolia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Japan wins
0
Mongolia wins
DateGameScore
28/09/14Mongolia v Japan70-96
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77
28/09/23AIndonesia70-57
26/09/23HQatar95-63
02/09/23HCape Verde80-71
31/08/23HVenezuela86-77
Mongolialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HGuam63-74
22/02/24AChina49-80
30/09/23AChinese Taipei75-78
28/09/23HHong Kong64-69
26/09/23AChina50-89
26/02/23AGuam81-82
25/02/23HSingapore73-49
24/02/23HHong Kong76-69
14/11/22AThailand105-109
13/11/22HVietnam88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.576.5-
Allowed / game64.564.5-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Mongolia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game80.078.881.5
Allowed / game77.172.283.2
Point differential+2.9+6.6-1.8
Avg total157.1151.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines220100%100.058.5+41.5
2 Australia220100%95.561.0+34.5
3 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
4 Jordan220100%76.055.0+21.0
5 Lebanon220100%90.570.5+20.0
6 Iran220100%81.063.5+17.5
7 Japan220100%76.564.5+12.0
8 Kazakhstan220100%68.059.0+9.0
9 Guam76186%73.068.1+4.9
10 Thailand97278%87.873.2+14.6
11 Iraq75271%77.773.7+4.0
12 Mongolia95456%80.077.1+2.9
13 China21150%76.562.5+14.0
14 South Korea21150%83.573.5+10.0
15 Syria21150%78.075.0+3.0
16 Saudi Arabia21150%64.068.5-4.5
17 Bahrain21150%66.579.0-12.5
18 United Arab Emirates73443%66.466.7-0.3
19 Palestine73443%68.969.6-0.7
20 Qatar73443%65.166.7-1.6
21 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
22 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
23 Hong Kong72529%68.477.4-9.0
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
26 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
27 India2020%51.574.5-23.0
28 Indonesia2020%53.589.5-36.0
29 Chinese Taipei2020%61.097.5-36.5
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan2225202693
Mongolia2214152475
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