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Japan W vs South Korea W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 81-58
20-15 20-18 16-11 25-14
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game45.5
Japan W 🏆
vs
South Korea W
Position#3
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeAsian Games WomenAsian Games Women - Semi-finals
Women2023
Meetings · Japan W v South Korea W
03 Oct 2023
JAPA81
SOUT58
29 Sep 2021
JAPA67
SOUT62
26 Sep 2019
JAPA102
SOUT61
24 Jul 2017
JAPA70
SOUT56
01 Oct 2014
JAPA53
SOUT58
30 Jun 2012
JAPA79
SOUT51
29 Sep 2010
JAPA64
SOUT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
54-71
54
71
-17
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
94-53
94
53
+41
98avg 85
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 85
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 85
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 85
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 85
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
16-20
9-20
11-15
21-14
19-17
26-12
28-10
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
15-21
29-11
26-19
21-15
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
144.2Avg total
88.8Scored
55.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.845.5144.2+53.2100%
Season at home (2)107.052.5159.5+54.5100%
Season away (2)90.538.5129.0+52.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.855.4144.2+33.480%
Last 5 (5)93.251.0144.2+42.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.377.9152.2-3.645%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.158.0147.1+31.188%
This opponent (South Korea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Korea WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#12
L
73-92
73
92
-19
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
53avg 65
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Lebanon W
#6
W
76-54
76
54
+22
74avg 65
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
64-91
64
91
-27
54avg 65
A30/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
80avg 65
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
Thailand W
#11
W
90-56
90
56
+34
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H02/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
20-23
17-21
26-20
12-20
13-21
21-11
18-14
25-11
23-13
15-11
13-19
21-12
17-20
16-21
18-19
16-31
17-21
21-19
10-20
18-19
26-15
22-21
14-16
25-7
22-11
31-15
12-23
11-13
22-12
29-17
19-20
21-18
24-19
18-11
24-11
23-13
23-19
24-23
23-16
149.8Avg total
78.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.862.0149.8+25.8100%
Season at home (3)90.062.0152.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)81.062.0143.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.970.9149.8+8.060%
Last 5 (5)86.263.8150.0+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.585.3149.8-20.816%
vs Similar (1)73.092.0165.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (10)85.764.8150.5+20.990%
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.4+9.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +8.2+8.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.4+9.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +8.2+8.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Japan WSouth Korea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
74.9Avg total
46.6Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.133.573.6+6.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.932.573.5+8.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.334.573.8+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)46.628.374.9+18.390%-
Last 5 (5)50.425.676.0+24.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.874.1-5.59%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.129.474.5+15.794%-
This opponent (South Korea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Korea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A27/09
World Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Lebanon W
#6
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
Thailand W
#11
W
47-18
47
18
+29
H27/09
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H02/10
Asian Games Women
73.5Avg total
38.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.739.674.3-4.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.839.574.3-4.846%-
Last 30 away (17)34.739.674.3-4.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.673.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.029.272.2+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.743.073.7-12.326%-
vs Similar (1)30.051.081.0-21.00%-
vs Weaker (10)42.931.974.8+11.090%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.8
40.8%
-41.4
🏀 Free throws10.28.8
86.3%
-8.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Korea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 10% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.519.5
43.8%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws10.27.0
68.3%
-7.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan W
WWWWLWWWWL
South Korea W
WWWWWLLWLL
#2
League position
#3
+36.5
Net rating
+0.0
120.8
Offensive rating
92.5
84.2
Defensive rating
92.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
45.5%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
13.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.15
40.8%
3-point %
32.3%
69.4%
Assist %
79.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Japan W   ■ South Korea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Japan W wins
2
South Korea W wins
DateGameScore
29/09/21Japan W v South Korea W67-62
26/09/19Japan W v South Korea W102-61
24/07/17Japan W v South Korea W70-56
29/08/15South Korea W v Japan W53-59
01/10/14Japan W v South Korea W53-58
03/11/13South Korea W v Japan W43-65
29/10/13South Korea W v Japan W71-78 OT
30/06/12Japan W v South Korea W79-51
29/09/10Japan W v South Korea W64-65
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52
28/06/23AAustralia W91-66
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57
26/06/23HChinese Taipei W94-53
27/09/22AAustralia W54-71
South Korea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23HPhilippines W93-71
01/10/23HChinese Taipei W87-59
29/09/23ANorth Korea W81-62
27/09/23HThailand W90-56
01/07/23APhilippines W80-71
30/06/23AAustralia W64-91
28/06/23AChina W81-87 OT
27/06/23ALebanon W76-54
26/06/23HNew Zealand W64-66
27/09/22APuerto Rico W73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.8107.090.5
Allowed / game45.552.538.5
Point differential+53.2+54.5+52.0
Avg total144.2159.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.890.081.0
Allowed / game62.062.062.0
Point differential+25.8+28.0+19.0
Avg total149.8152.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Japan W440100%98.845.5+53.2
2 China W550100%103.451.0+52.4
3 South Korea W440100%87.862.0+25.8
4 North Korea W53260%79.672.8+6.8
5 Philippines W42250%78.077.8+0.2
6 India W42250%61.078.8-17.8
7 Hong Kong W31233%59.791.0-31.3
8 Chinese Taipei W41325%63.584.0-20.5
9 Indonesia W41325%53.580.0-26.5
10 Mongolia W3030%57.379.3-22.0
11 Thailand W3030%53.084.3-31.3
12 Kazakhstan W3030%48.381.7-33.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan W2020162581
South Korea W1518111458
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