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Jena vs Alba Berlin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game86.6
GermanyBBLRound 15· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jena v Alba Berlin
03 Jan 2027
JEN v ABE
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
JEN78
ABE97
30 Apr 2019
JEN77
ABE81
10 Feb 2018
JEN89
ABE99
30 Sep 2016
JEN73
ABE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 70
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 70
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 70
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 70
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 70
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 70
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 70
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 70
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
18-32
28-21
22-22
19-16
11-33
28-17
16-30
23-17
165.5Avg total
76.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.989.6167.4-11.722%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.250%
Season away (5)74.295.0169.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)76.688.9165.5-12.320%
Last 5 (5)78.696.8175.4-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.689.0167.6-10.424%
vs Similar (5)81.286.8168.0-5.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 80
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 80
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 80
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 80
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 80
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 80
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
23-18
28-11
31-17
13-31
178.6Avg total
91.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.286.6173.8+0.756%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (4)79.890.5170.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)91.986.7178.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)92.685.4178.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.287.4167.6-7.138%
vs Similar (11)88.183.0171.1+5.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.582.7174.2+8.773%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
JenaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/11
BBL
85.3Avg total
39.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.186.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)40.047.887.8-7.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.685.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.893.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.346.888.1-5.532%-
vs Similar (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A14/11
BBL
88.5Avg total
45.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)41.143.784.8-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.046.286.2-6.212%-
vs Similar (11)42.339.782.0+2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.642.286.8+2.555%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
73.4%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
LLLLLWWLLL
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWLWL
#18
League position
#8
-12.9
Net rating
-0.4
85.5
Offensive rating
98.6
98.4
Defensive rating
99.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
35.6%
60.5%
Assist %
66.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 98.6Defence98.4 · 99.0Shooting51.1% · 54.9%3-point %32.8% · 35.6%Ball care19.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Jena   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jena wins
8
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
10/05/26Alba Berlin v Jena83-65
17/11/25Alba Berlin v Jena91-78
05/10/25Jena v Alba Berlin78-97
30/04/19Jena v Alba Berlin77-81
29/09/18Alba Berlin v Jena112-55
10/02/18Jena v Alba Berlin89-99
23/12/17Alba Berlin v Jena100-67
15/02/17Alba Berlin v Jena73-74
30/09/16Jena v Alba Berlin73-77
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUlm78-97
09/11/26HHamburg87-91
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOldenburg95-77
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game77.982.574.2
Allowed / game89.682.895.0
Point differential-11.7-0.2-20.8
Avg total167.4165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game87.293.279.8
Allowed / game86.683.490.5
Point differential+0.7+9.8-10.8
Avg total173.8176.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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