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Jena vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 78-97
15-27 25-22 16-23 22-25
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game97.0
GermanyBBLRound 3· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jena v Alba Berlin
03 Jan 2027
JEN v ABE
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
JEN78
ABE97
30 Apr 2019
JEN77
ABE81
10 Feb 2018
JEN89
ABE99
30 Sep 2016
JEN73
ABE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Bochum
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
no box
H06/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
H15/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A17/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
99-66
99
66
+33
no box
H20/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
no box
A22/05
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A29/05
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
no box
H31/05
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
54avg 63
A24/09
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
61avg 63
A26/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 63
A02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
32-18
27-14
17-25
19-21
20-25
28-14
13-24
22-21
23-9
20-25
22-22
31-18
21-10
28-14
19-24
14-16
24-31
33-20
26-28
16-24
15-19
22-17
29-25
15-19
24-25
17-33
19-13
13-13
17-23
30-25
25-17
23-21
24-27
15-22
15-23
21-25
28-24
20-19
18-15
169.9Avg total
87.1Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.088.0170.0-6.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.088.0170.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)87.182.8169.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)81.285.8167.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)77.093.0170.0-16.00%
vs Similar (4)79.589.8169.2-10.225%
vs Weaker (24)96.477.1173.5+19.392%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
89avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 76
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
105avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
91avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
101-69
101
69
+32
103avg 76
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 76
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 76
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 76
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 76
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 76
H03/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-14
27-17
22-22
17-16
18-23
23-16
11-15
27-23
35-4
21-28
20-26
24-12
25-12
26-19
15-19
29-16
26-21
17-16
29-16
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
27-20
13-25
22-30
21-19
18-22
9-25
13-14
22-13
24-20
21-23
22-19
17-31
35-23
17-20
23-25
17-29
164.0Avg total
85.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.478.6164.0+6.850%
Last 5 (5)80.487.2167.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.089.3164.3-14.310%
vs Similar (6)84.383.0167.3+1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.076.4164.4+11.671%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
JenaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bochum
#9
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H06/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A17/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H20/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/05
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/05
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H31/05
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/09
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A26/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/10
BBL
83.7Avg total
42.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.840.086.8+6.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.737.887.5+11.979%-
Last 30 away (16)44.241.986.2+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.983.7+1.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.083.2-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.048.095.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (4)39.247.286.5-8.00%-
vs Weaker (24)48.838.687.4+10.179%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
62-27
62
27
+35
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/10
BBL
81.4Avg total
44.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.382.8+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.284.0+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.040.481.4+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.836.681.4+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.046.782.7-10.710%-
vs Similar (6)44.539.584.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.236.182.3+10.171%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.2
46.1%
53.8%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.5
29.6%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
73.5%12.5
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
73.5%15.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
WLWLLWWWLW
Alba Berlin
LLLLWWWWLW
#16
League position
#3
-8.4
Net rating
+9.9
95.3
Offensive rating
112.9
103.7
Defensive rating
103.0
45.4%
Effective FG%
54.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
20.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.6%
3-point %
37.4%
41.4%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 112.9Defence103.7 · 103.0Shooting45.4% · 54.0%3-point %29.6% · 37.4%Ball care15.2% · 20.8%Off. rebounds29.1% · 39.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Jena   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jena wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
30/04/19Jena v Alba Berlin77-81
29/09/18Alba Berlin v Jena112-55
10/02/18Jena v Alba Berlin89-99
23/12/17Alba Berlin v Jena100-67
15/02/17Alba Berlin v Jena73-74
30/09/16Jena v Alba Berlin73-77
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AHeidelberg87-83
26/09/25ABayern77-93
24/09/25ACrailsheim Merlins85-78
31/05/25HTrier75-90
29/05/25ATrier82-85
22/05/25AGiessen97-95
20/05/25HGiessen99-66
17/05/25AGiessen87-77
15/05/25HGiessen80-84
06/05/25HBochum102-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HTrier92-97
24/05/25AUlm84-93
21/05/25HUlm62-74
17/05/25AUlm83-94
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
08/05/25HGottingen101-69
30/04/25HSyntainics MBC90-62
27/04/25AChemnitz103-81
23/04/25AWurzburg69-70
20/04/25HFrankfurt89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game97.097.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total189.0189.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%93.077.0+16.0
2 Wurzburg220100%82.070.5+11.5
3 Ludwigsburg110100%98.088.0+10.0
4 Syntainics MBC330100%91.081.7+9.3
5 Ulm330100%91.382.3+9.0
6 Trier330100%92.385.7+6.7
7 Frankfurt32167%90.782.0+8.7
8 Chemnitz32167%91.085.0+6.0
9 Bamberg21150%92.583.5+9.0
10 Vechta21150%84.586.0-1.5
11 Jena21150%82.088.0-6.0
12 Bonn31233%70.375.7-5.3
13 Alba Berlin1010%92.097.0-5.0
14 Heidelberg3030%80.787.7-7.0
15 Oldenburg3030%77.385.0-7.7
16 Rostock2020%79.087.5-8.5
17 Hamburg2020%81.597.5-16.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig3030%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena1525162278
Alba Berlin2722232597
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