Bilbao vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Bilbao hosts Alba Berlin on 10 November 2026 in the Basketball Champions League, with the model favouring the Spanish side at 73% to win. Bilbao has gone 2-1 in all competition games, scoring 96.3 points per game and allowing 89.3, while Alba Berlin is unbeaten at 3-0, averaging 101.0 points and conceding 88.3; the German club sits second in the league. At home Bilbao is 1-0, 97.0 points for, 86.0 against, and on a five-game stretch has won two and lost three, with recent results including a 87-92 loss to Basquet Girona, an 81-78 win over Joventut Badalona, and a 100-103 defeat to Alba Berlin. Alba Berlin's road record is 1-0, 110.0 points for, 86.0 against, and their last five games include four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 102-72 victory over Phoenix Hagen and a 103-100 win at home over Bilbao. In head-to-head play the Germans lead 5-1, most recently beating Bilbao 103-100 on 28 October. The Pythia model projects a 90-83 score, 173.1 total points, a -6.0 line with a 55% chance of covering, an over-176.5 line with a 42% probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Bilbao can translate its home advantage into a decisive win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon

73.2%fair 1.37

Best odds1.30

Implied74.4%

Edge-1.2pp

Alba Berlin winLost

26.8%fair 3.73

Best odds3.74

Implied25.6%

Edge+1.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBilbao

Date

Competition

Manresa

#18

107-92

107

+15

102avg 82

H26/09

ACB

Leyma Coruna

#13

101-104 OT

101

104

-3

90avg 82

A04/10

ACB

Igokea

#27

92-79

+13

90avg 82

A06/10

Champions League

San Pablo Burgos

#15

96-87

88avg 82

H11/10

ACB

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

#50

97-86

+11

94avg 82

H14/10

Champions League

Real Madrid

84-119

119

-35

75avg 82

A18/10

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

88-76

+12

83avg 82

H25/10

ACB

Alba Berlin

100-103

100

103

-3

98avg 82

A28/10

Champions League

Joventut Badalona

#14

81-78

74avg 82

A01/11

ACB

Basquet Girona

87-92

-5

no box

A07/11

ACB

19-18

25-20

32-27

31-27

18-22

27-24

22-23

24-22

28-21

22-14

22-21

20-23

19-20

25-25

30-25

22-17

27-21

15-14

26-26

29-25

13-36

22-26

22-27

27-30

15-22

27-18

23-17

23-19

26-24

22-19

24-31

28-29

27-23

11-21

29-17

14-17

25-19

19-27

23-20

20-26

184.9Avg total

93.3Scored

91.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	96.3	89.3	185.7	+7.0	67%
Season at home (1)	97.0	86.0	183.0	+11.0	100%
Season away (2)	96.0	91.0	187.0	+5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	93.3	91.6	184.9	+1.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	93.6	181.6	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	78.3	92.9	171.1	-14.6	14%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	90.0	84.8	174.8	+5.2	75%
vs Weaker (15)	90.7	83.4	174.1	+7.3	73%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBerlin

Date

Competition

Frankfurt

94-83

+11

96avg 81

H24/09

BBL

Bayern

61-95

-34

46avg 81

A26/09

BBL

Bamberg

83-98

-15

74avg 81

H03/10

BBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

#50

110-86

110

+24

110avg 81

A07/10

Champions League

Trier

75-95

-20

62avg 81

A10/10

BBL

Igokea

#27

90-79

+11

83avg 81

H13/10

Champions League

Ulm

#12

98-82

+16

98avg 81

H25/10

BBL

Bilbao

103-100

103

100

93avg 81

H28/10

Champions League

Bonn

88-95

-7

72avg 81

A01/11

BBL

Phoenix Hagen

#16

102-72

102

+30

no box

H06/11

BBL

20-16

21-23

28-16

25-28

12-22

12-18

18-26

19-29

11-22

28-24

19-25

25-27

21-15

31-25

34-22

24-24

24-31

23-19

15-26

13-19

18-21

20-19

23-22

29-17

23-18

22-25

23-16

30-23

24-26

19-22

31-24

29-28

26-21

19-21

20-24

23-29

26-26

30-21

27-11

19-14

178.9Avg total

90.4Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	101.0	88.3	189.3	+12.7	100%
Season at home (2)	96.5	89.5	186.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (1)	110.0	86.0	196.0	+24.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	88.5	178.9	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	96.2	85.6	181.8	+10.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.5	86.7	168.2	-5.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	88.9	83.0	171.9	+5.9	67%
vs Weaker (11)	90.7	81.3	172.0	+9.5	73%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 173 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 174.5.

Over/Under 169.5Actual: Under 169.5

Over 169.5

57.5%

@ 1.49-6.8pp

Under 169.5

42.5%

@ 2.75+6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.49

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.45

Over/Under 174.5 · main lineActual: Under 174.5

Over 174.5

46.1%

@ 1.89-4.5pp

Under 174.5

53.9%

@ 2.12+4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.89

1xBet

1.86

Betano

1.82

SBO

1.82

Marathon Be

1.81

Under

Bet365

2.12

1xBet

1.94

Pinnacle

1.94

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Over/Under 179.5Actual: Under 179.5

Over 179.5

35.1%

@ 2.27-7.9pp

Under 179.5

64.9%

@ 1.68+7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.27

Pinnacle

2.21

1xBet

2.07

Marathon Be

2.07

Bet365

2.05

Under

Bet365

1.68

Pinnacle

1.67

1xBet

1.63

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Bilbao total 87.5Actual: Bilbao under 87.5

Over 87.5

59.9%

@ 1.42-5.2pp

Under 87.5

40.1%

@ 2.75+5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.50

Bilbao total 91.5 · main lineActual: Bilbao under 91.5

Over 91.5

45.2%

@ 1.86-4.5pp

Under 91.5

54.8%

@ 1.86+4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.86

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.80

Under

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.79

Bilbao total 95.5Actual: Bilbao under 95.5

Over 95.5

31.2%

@ 2.55-9.7pp

Under 95.5

68.8%

@ 1.58+9.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.55

Bet365

2.22

1xBet

2.21

Under

Bet365

1.58

1xBet

1.53

Betano

1.40

Alba Berlin total 79.5Actual: Alba Berlin under 79.5

Over 79.5

62.0%

@ 1.40-3.6pp

Under 79.5

38.0%

@ 2.75+3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.39

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.57

Alba Berlin total 83.5 · main lineActual: Alba Berlin under 83.5

Over 83.5

47.1%

@ 1.85-2.9pp

Under 83.5

52.9%

@ 1.88+2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Betano

1.82

BetVictor

1.80

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.79

Alba Berlin total 87.5Actual: Alba Berlin under 87.5

Over 87.5

32.8%

@ 2.47-7.4pp

Under 87.5

67.2%

@ 1.55+7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.21

Under

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.53

Betano

1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Bilbao's side (positive = Bilbao win). Pythia's expected margin is +7.3; Bilbao win by 1+ in 66% of simulations.

Spread Bilbao -11Actual: Alba Berlin +11

BIL -11

37.2%

@ 2.35-2.5pp

ABE +11

62.8%

@ 1.55+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

BIL

Bet365

2.35

ABE

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.50

Spread Bilbao -8 · main linePush

BIL -8

47.8%

@ 1.95-1.3pp

ABE +8

52.2%

@ 1.88+1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

BIL

Pinnacle

1.95

SBO

1.89

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.88

Bet365

1.86

ABE

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.79

Spread Bilbao -5Actual: Bilbao -5

BIL -5

59.0%

@ 1.75+3.9pp

ABE +5

41.0%

@ 2.35-3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

BIL

SBO

1.75

Pinnacle

1.72

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.54

1xBet

1.54

ABE

Bet365

2.35

Marathon Be

2.20

1xBet

2.20

Pinnacle

2.11

SBO

1.91

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoAlba Berlin

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	50%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	62%	44%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.8	46.0	-3.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.1	23.1	39.3	-7.0	43%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	50%	62%
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.7	67%	33%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.1	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	41%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.4	54%	54%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	50%	70%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	44%	22%
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	21.8	43.5	-0.2	45%	45%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.9	41.9	+2.2	57%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	0%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	38%	12%
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	60%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	27%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.8	53%	29%
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	22.5	40.2	-4.8	23%	23%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.7	44.2	+0.8	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.2	22.1	39.3	-4.9	10%	10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.3	56%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	55%	36%

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manresa

#18

44-38

H26/09

ACB

Leyma Coruna

#13

45-46

-1

A04/10

ACB

Igokea

#27

50-35

+15

A06/10

Champions League

San Pablo Burgos

#15

44-45

-1

H11/10

ACB

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

#50

42-35

H14/10

Champions League

Real Madrid

35-62

-27

A18/10

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

42-40

H25/10

ACB

Alba Berlin

48-43

A28/10

Champions League

Joventut Badalona

#14

38-44

-6

A01/11

ACB

Basquet Girona

44-46

-2

A07/11

ACB

86.6Avg total

43.2Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.2	84.0	-0.4	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	43.5	40.4	83.9	+3.1	64%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	43.8	84.1	-3.4	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	43.2	43.4	86.6	-0.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.4	47.0	88.4	-5.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	46.4	81.6	-11.3	0%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.2	41.2	83.5	+1.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (15)	44.7	40.7	85.3	+4.0	60%	40%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankfurt

41-39

H24/09

BBL

Bayern

24-40

-16

A26/09

BBL

Bamberg

39-46

-7

H03/10

BBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

#50

52-40

+12

A07/10

Champions League

Trier

47-50

-3

A10/10

BBL

Igokea

#27

38-40

-2

H13/10

Champions League

Ulm

#12

45-43

H25/10

BBL

Bilbao

43-48

-5

H28/10

Champions League

Bonn

45-42

A01/11

BBL

Phoenix Hagen

#16

56-47

H06/11

BBL

86.5Avg total

43.0Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.5	84.3	-0.6	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	41.4	85.0	+2.3	53%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	43.9	83.5	-4.4	15%	46%
Last 10 (10)	43.0	43.5	86.5	-0.5	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.0	89.4	+1.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.8	45.1	84.9	-5.3	20%	40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.6	44%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	43.0	42.7	85.7	+0.3	45%	64%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bilbao win

BIL win

66.5%

@ 1.40-2.2pp

ABE win

33.5%

@ 3.05+2.2pp

1st half Spread Bilbao -4 · main lineActual: Bilbao -4

BIL -4

49.2%

@ 1.89-1.5pp

ABE +4

50.8%

@ 1.94+1.5pp

1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Under 86.5

Over

50.9%

@ 1.92+1.1pp

Under

49.1%

@ 1.91-1.1pp

Bilbao 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Bilbao under 45.5

Over

49.1%

@ 1.84-1.2pp

Under

50.9%

@ 1.88+1.2pp

Alba Berlin 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Alba Berlin under 41.5

Over

49.8%

@ 1.90+0.6pp

Under

50.2%

@ 1.83-0.6pp

1st half: BIL + total 86.5

BIL & over

32.9%

@ 2.70+0.6pp

BIL & under

31.0%

@ 2.85+0.5pp

1st half: Draw + total 86.5

Draw & over

2.0%

@ 26.00-1.4pp

Draw & under

2.0%

@ 29.00-1.0pp

1st half: ABE + total 86.5

ABE & over

16.1%

@ 5.50+0.3pp

ABE & under

16.1%

@ 5.75+1.0pp

1st half Over/Under 88Actual: Under 88

Over

45.1%

@ 2.18+1.3pp

Under

54.9%

@ 1.82-1.3pp

1st half Spread Bilbao -5Actual: Bilbao -5

BIL -5

44.7%

@ 2.06-1.7pp

ABE +5

55.3%

@ 1.78+1.7pp

1st half Spread Bilbao -3Actual: Bilbao -3

BIL -3

53.6%

@ 1.81-1.6pp

ABE +3

46.4%

@ 2.13+1.6pp

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

58.5%

@ 1.58+0.2pp

Under

41.5%

@ 2.22-0.2pp

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

39.8%

@ 2.18-7.7pp

Under

60.2%

@ 1.81+7.7pp

1st half Spread Bilbao -2Actual: Bilbao -2

BIL -2

58.0%

@ 1.70+2.0pp

ABE +2

42.0%

@ 2.15-2.0pp

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5

Over

65.9%

@ 1.43+0.9pp

Under

34.1%

@ 2.65-0.9pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bilbao (regulation)

BIL

63.9%

@ 1.43+0.2pp

Draw

3.9%

@ 17.50-1.7pp

ABE

32.2%

@ 3.05+1.5pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+0.9	50%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.3	62%	44%
Last 10 (10)	25.3	23.4	48.7	+1.9	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	29%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	25.6	23.9	49.5	+1.8	50%	88%
vs Weaker (15)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	73%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	67%	30%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.9	42.4	+4.6	71%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	62%	23%
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.4	44.2	+5.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	60%	10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	67%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	25.2	18.7	43.9	+6.5	73%	45%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.2	86%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	19%	56%
Last 10 (10)	23.8	23.5	47.3	+0.3	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	29%	71%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.1	19.6	41.8	+2.5	50%	50%
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.5	60%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	21.9	45.5	+1.6	59%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.9	42.4	-1.5	31%	38%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	23.8	47.4	-0.2	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.2	48.2	+3.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	30%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.1	23.6	46.7	-0.4	44%	67%
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	19.8	42.4	+2.7	64%	45%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	45.0	43.0	88.0	+2.0	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	46.5	41.4	87.9	+5.1	79%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	44.4	88.1	-0.8	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	49.1	46.9	96.0	+2.2	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	46.6	46.6	93.2	+0.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	43.1	46.4	89.6	-3.3	29%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	47.8	43.5	91.2	+4.2	75%	62%
vs Weaker (15)	44.3	41.1	85.5	+3.2	67%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	45.2	41.1	86.4	+4.1	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	47.1	40.8	87.9	+6.2	71%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	41.5	84.4	+1.3	46%	31%
Last 10 (10)	47.4	45.0	92.4	+2.4	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	50.8	41.6	92.4	+9.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	40%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	46.1	43.8	89.9	+2.3	67%	44%
vs Weaker (11)	47.7	38.5	86.3	+9.2	73%	45%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BIL win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

ABE win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BIL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ABE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BIL:ABE): BIL wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Bilbao under 101.5	85.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Bilbao under 103.5	89.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Under 182	70.4%	1.51	Bet365 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.48	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Under 183	72.3%	1.47	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Under 185	76.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Under 184	74.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 93.5	83.9%	1.23	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Bilbao under 105.5	92.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Under 182.5	71.0%	1.46	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.47	1xBet 1.46	Betano 1.39	-	+8.8pp	Won
Bilbao under 99.5	81.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Under 187.5	79.8%	1.30	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Bilbao under 107.5	95.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Bilbao under 102.5	87.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Bilbao under 104.5	91.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Bilbao under 100.5	83.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Bilbao under 109.5	96.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Under 192.5	86.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Under 191.5	85.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Bilbao under 111.5	97.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Bilbao under 106.5	94.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 95.5	87.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Under 183.5	72.9%	1.42	Bet365 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.42	Betano 1.36	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Bilbao under 97.5	75.0%	1.35	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Under 186.5	78.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Bilbao under 113.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Under 196.5	91.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Bilbao under 108.5	95.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Q1: Under 50.5	83.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 92.5	81.6%	1.23	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Bilbao under 110.5	97.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Under 184.5	74.7%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin under 48.5	84.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Under 197.5	92.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Bilbao under 112.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Under 185.5	76.5%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Under 202.5	95.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 107.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 103.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	75.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 101.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao under 27.5	82.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 91.5	79.1%	1.26	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Under 201.5	95.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin under 46.5	76.7%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 106.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao under 53.5	87.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Bilbao +2	77.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao under 31.5	95.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin under 52.5	94.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 97.5	84.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao under 55.5	92.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Bilbao under 96.5	72.0%	1.39	Bet365 1.44	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Bilbao under 98.5	77.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
1st half: Under 95.5	80.0%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin under 50.5	90.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 93.5	73.9%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 105.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 99.5	93.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 97.5	91.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 89.5	73.5%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 102.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 29.5	96.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao under 33.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Bilbao +14.5	95.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 23.5	71.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 25.5	83.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao under 51.5	80.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 94.5	85.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 104.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 100.5	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao under 29.5	90.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao under 49.5	72.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao over 13.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao under 25.5	70.3%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 64.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 62.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Bilbao +5.5	84.9%	1.15	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 31.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 27.5	91.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 12.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +1.5	71.3%	1.38	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 28.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin +28.5	95.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 88.5	70.4%	1.44	1xBet 1.56	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.36	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 30.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Bilbao +13.5	95.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 65.5	95.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 11.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 98.5	92.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Bilbao +9.5	91.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 90.5	76.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 66.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin under 96.5	89.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Bilbao +4.5	82.8%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 63.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Bilbao +19.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +7.5	88.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +5.5	83.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 10.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin +27.5	94.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao +4.5	83.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Bilbao over 70.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao over 35.5	91.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Alba Berlin +32.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Bilbao +18.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao over 15.5	92.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Bilbao +12.5	94.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Alba Berlin +23.5	90.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 96.5	82.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Bilbao +17.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin +31.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao or Alba Berlin	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Bilbao over 72.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +3.5	78.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin +26.5	93.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 26.5	87.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
1st half: Under 94.5	77.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Bilbao over 71.5	95.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 13.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao over 37.5	86.4%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin over 32.5	90.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Bilbao +8.5	89.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 76.5	83.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Bilbao +16.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 92.5	70.7%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Alba Berlin +30.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Bilbao over 74.5	92.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin under 24.5	77.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Bilbao +11.5	93.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao over 39.5	79.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 67.5	92.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Alba Berlin +16	77.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Bilbao over 73.5	93.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 68.5	91.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Alba Berlin +15	75.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 14.5	89.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao over 17.5	85.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin +18.5	82.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +6.5	86.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin +22.5	89.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 16.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 78.5	78.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin +14	72.2%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin +25.5	92.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin +16.5	78.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.25	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +4.5	81.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 80.5	72.8%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin +15.5	75.7%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin over 34.5	84.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao +2.5	74.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Alba Berlin +13.5	70.2%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.35	Betano 1.33	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin +14.5	73.0%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Bilbao +7.5	88.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin +7.5	78.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Over 77.5	81.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin +17.5	80.6%	1.17	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Bilbao over 75.5	91.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 70.5	87.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin +13.5	84.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Bilbao over 76.5	89.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 15.5	85.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin +21.5	88.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Bilbao +3.5	80.4%	1.17	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 69.5	89.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 72.5	83.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Bilbao (regulation)	70.7%	1.31	1xBet 1.33	Betano 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.30	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
1st half: Bilbao over 41.5	70.5%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Q1: Bilbao over 19.5	74.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Q2: Bilbao or Alba Berlin	94.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin +9.5	72.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 79.5	75.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 74.5	78.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin +11.5	79.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Bilbao over 78.5	85.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Bilbao over 77.5	87.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Bilbao +2.5	78.3%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.18	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Bilbao +1	74.7%	1.26	Marathon Bet 1.27	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin over 36.5	76.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Bilbao -1.5	70.8%	1.33	1xBet 1.43	Marathon Bet 1.31	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	+0.0pp	Won
Bilbao over 80.5	81.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Alba Berlin +20.5	86.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin +12.5	82.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Q1: Over 38.5	75.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 71.5	85.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Bilbao +6.5	86.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 73.5	81.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Q1: Alba Berlin over 17.5	74.1%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Over 151.5	89.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 76.5	72.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Lost
Bilbao win	73.2%	1.28	1xBet 1.30	WilliamHill 1.30	Betfair 1.30	Pinnacle 1.29	Marathon Bet 1.28	-1.2pp	Won
Bilbao -1	72.5%	1.31	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Bilbao over 79.5	83.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Over 152.5	88.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Bilbao +1.5	75.3%	1.23	Marathon Bet 1.28	Betano 1.21	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Bilbao over 81.5	78.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Bilbao over 82.5	76.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
1st half: Alba Berlin +10.5	76.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Alba Berlin over 75.5	75.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Lost
Bilbao over 84.5	70.0%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Lost
Bilbao over 83.5	73.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Lost
Over 156.5	82.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
Over 157.5	81.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.9pp	Won
Over 161.5	74.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-6.2pp	Lost
Over 162.5	72.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-6.4pp	Lost
Bilbao or draw	74.1%	1.21	Marathon Bet 1.21	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.5	52.6%	53.1%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	11.8	36.8%	35.3%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	26.6	19.3	72.6%	72.1%	19.3

They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	20.0	56.3%	53.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	11.5	35.6%	35.3%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	14.6	78.9%	72.1%	14.6

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.1	53.6%	53.1%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.9	36.0%	35.3%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.3	74.1%	72.1%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	23.2	57.6%	53.1%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.1	36.3%	35.3%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.8	74.2%	72.1%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	18.9	55.3%	53.1%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	10.5	35.8%	35.3%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	24.5	18.1	74.1%	72.1%	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	20.3	57.6%	53.1%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.4	34.7%	35.3%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.6	74.2%	72.1%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	53.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.0	35.3%	35.3%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.9	74.3%	72.1%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.4	54.0%	53.1%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.2	35.1%	35.3%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.6	75.3%	72.1%	14.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bilbao

LWLWLWWWLW

Alba Berlin

WLWWWLWLLW

League position

+0.5

Net rating

-0.4

99.9

Offensive rating

98.6

99.4

Defensive rating

99.0

53.8%

Effective FG%

54.9%

53.7%

Opp. effective FG%

56.3%

13.6%

Turnover %

15.6%

0.40

Free-throw rate

0.27

36.8%

3-point %

35.6%

66.3%

Assist %

66.7%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Bilbao ■ Alba Berlin

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Alba Berlin wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/26	Alba Berlin v Bilbao	103-100
27/12/17	Alba Berlin v Bilbao	86-68
08/11/17	Bilbao v Alba Berlin	86-94
23/11/16	Alba Berlin v Bilbao	88-92
19/10/16	Bilbao v Alba Berlin	77-85
17/04/10	Alba Berlin v Bilbao	77-70

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Basquet Girona	87-92
01/11/26	A	Joventut Badalona	81-78
28/10/26	A	Alba Berlin	100-103
25/10/26	H	MoraBanc Andorra	88-76
18/10/26	A	Real Madrid	84-119
14/10/26	H	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	97-86
11/10/26	H	San Pablo Burgos	96-87
06/10/26	A	Igokea	92-79
04/10/26	A	Leyma Coruna	101-104 OT
26/09/26	H	Manresa	107-92

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	H	Phoenix Hagen	102-72
01/11/26	A	Bonn	88-95
28/10/26	H	Bilbao	103-100
25/10/26	H	Ulm	98-82
13/10/26	H	Igokea	90-79
10/10/26	A	Trier	75-95
07/10/26	A	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	110-86
03/10/26	H	Bamberg	83-98
26/09/26	A	Bayern	61-95
24/09/26	H	Frankfurt	94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

Champions League 2026

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	96.3	97.0	96.0
Allowed / game	89.3	86.0	91.0
Point differential	+7.0	+11.0	+5.0
Avg total	185.7	183.0	187.0
Over 174.5	67%	100%	50%
Win by 10+	67%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alba Berlin

Champions League 2026

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	101.0	96.5	110.0
Allowed / game	88.3	89.5	86.0
Point differential	+12.7	+7.0	+24.0
Avg total	189.3	186.0	196.0
Over 174.5	67%	50%	100%
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Unicaja	3	3	0	100%	94.3	74.3	+20.0
2	Alba Berlin	3	3	0	100%	101.0	88.3	+12.7
3	Joventut Badalona	3	3	0	100%	81.0	71.0	+10.0
4	Peristeri	3	3	0	100%	86.0	80.3	+5.7
5	Dziki Warszawa	4	3	1	75%	103.2	99.2	+4.0
6	Breogan	3	2	1	67%	113.7	92.3	+21.3
7	Strasbourg	3	2	1	67%	90.7	71.7	+19.0
8	Murcia	3	2	1	67%	81.0	68.3	+12.7
9	Cholet	3	2	1	67%	82.7	71.3	+11.3
10	Spartak Subotica	3	2	1	67%	83.0	71.7	+11.3
11	Antwerp Giants	3	2	1	67%	90.3	82.0	+8.3
12	CSM Oradea	3	2	1	67%	94.7	87.3	+7.3
13	Bilbao	3	2	1	67%	96.3	89.3	+7.0
14	Bonn	3	2	1	67%	84.3	79.7	+4.7
15	Salon Vilpas	6	4	2	67%	86.7	84.0	+2.7
16	Rytas	3	2	1	67%	81.3	82.3	-1.0
17	Legia	3	2	1	67%	78.7	83.0	-4.3
18	AEK Athens	3	2	1	67%	81.0	87.3	-6.3
19	Promitheas	3	2	1	67%	86.3	92.7	-6.3
20	Juventus	3	2	1	67%	80.0	91.7	-11.7
21	Vechta	8	5	3	62%	87.0	86.8	+0.2
22	Korfez Basket	2	1	1	50%	92.0	86.5	+5.5
23	VEF Riga	2	1	1	50%	100.0	95.0	+5.0
24	Sabah Baku	4	2	2	50%	83.5	83.5	+0.0
25	Benfica	2	1	1	50%	87.5	88.0	-0.5
26	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	50%	86.5	88.5	-2.0
27	Bakken Bears	2	1	1	50%	80.5	84.0	-3.5
28	Hapoel Holon	4	2	2	50%	84.5	88.5	-4.0
29	Batumi	2	1	1	50%	81.5	89.0	-7.5
30	Manchester Basketball	2	1	1	50%	79.0	89.0	-10.0
31	Nanterre	3	1	2	33%	85.3	81.7	+3.7
32	Reggiana	3	1	2	33%	83.7	80.0	+3.7
33	Varese	3	1	2	33%	78.3	77.0	+1.3
34	Szombathely	3	1	2	33%	81.3	81.0	+0.3
35	FC Porto	3	1	2	33%	74.7	77.7	-3.0
36	Igokea	3	1	2	33%	78.3	84.7	-6.3
37	Galatasaray	3	1	2	33%	77.0	84.0	-7.0
38	Cibona	3	1	2	33%	81.0	88.7	-7.7
39	Fribourg Olympic	1	0	1	0%	85.0	86.0	-1.0
40	Wurzburg	1	0	1	0%	73.0	74.0	-1.0
41	Denizli Basket	1	0	1	0%	98.0	101.0	-3.0
42	Levice	1	0	1	0%	87.0	90.0	-3.0
43	AEK Larnaca	1	0	1	0%	87.0	95.0	-8.0
44	Geneva Lions	1	0	1	0%	78.0	87.0	-9.0
45	Vienna Basket	1	0	1	0%	82.0	92.0	-10.0
46	Zwolle	1	0	1	0%	78.0	89.0	-11.0
47	Bnei Herzliya	3	0	3	0%	79.3	91.0	-11.7
48	Kolossos Rhodes	1	0	1	0%	79.0	91.0	-12.0
49	Pardubice	3	0	3	0%	74.3	86.3	-12.0
50	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	3	0	3	0%	81.3	94.7	-13.3
51	Absheron Lions	1	0	1	0%	88.0	105.0	-17.0
52	Opava	1	0	1	0%	99.0	116.0	-17.0
53	Bamberg	3	0	3	0%	71.7	91.3	-19.7
54	Rilski Sportist	1	0	1	0%	80.0	126.0	-46.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	22	23	19	19	83
Alba Berlin	18	21	14	22	75

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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