Jena vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 101-78

30-15 23-23 27-15 21-25

Position#1

Record13-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game74.1

Jena 🏆

Dresden

Position#11

Record7-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game83.9

Pro ARound 16· Sparkassen-Arena

Other2024-25

Meetings · Jena v Dresden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dresden winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trier

85-91

-6

H26/10

Pro A

Tubingen

79-65

+14

H02/11

Pro A

Giessen

81-74

A08/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

87-77

+10

H10/11

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

104-72

104

+32

A16/11

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

89-87

H01/12

Pro A

Artland

#15

84-73

+11

A07/12

Pro A

Bochum

75-84

-9

A14/12

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

109-46

109

+63

H21/12

Pro A

Nurnberger

#14

74-66

A28/12

Pro A

16-19

32-17

22-29

15-26

11-17

19-21

33-16

16-11

22-21

12-15

25-15

22-23

26-20

19-25

19-16

23-16

30-11

17-14

30-27

27-20

17-15

23-22

22-26

27-24

24-19

12-23

23-15

25-16

16-16

25-21

20-19

14-28

28-16

28-8

27-14

26-8

20-13

19-27

14-11

21-15

160.2Avg total

86.7Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	87.0	74.1	161.1	+12.9	87%
Season at home (7)	88.1	74.9	163.0	+13.3	86%
Season away (8)	86.0	73.5	159.5	+12.5	88%
Last 10 (10)	86.7	73.5	160.2	+13.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	71.2	157.4	+15.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	75.1	78.7	153.8	-3.6	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.0	73.6	159.6	+12.4	85%

This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dresden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

76-86

-10

A26/10

Pro A

Bochum

83-96

-13

H02/11

Pro A

Bayreuth

#13

72-71

A08/11

Pro A

Trier

89-82

H10/11

Pro A

Giessen

68-97

-29

A16/11

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

100-97

100

A30/11

Pro A

Munster

#10

102-74

102

+28

H07/12

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

92-75

+17

H15/12

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

77-78

-1

A23/12

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

101-71

101

+30

H29/12

Pro A

21-21

16-23

30-21

9-21

23-27

19-22

24-19

17-28

16-16

16-17

16-22

24-16

27-21

22-19

22-20

18-22

13-22

19-22

23-24

13-29

30-23

33-31

18-21

19-22

25-22

25-10

30-22

22-20

20-16

25-26

21-16

26-17

9-19

21-14

33-18

14-27

23-17

26-25

24-16

28-13

168.7Avg total

86.0Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	83.7	83.9	167.5	-0.2	47%
Season at home (8)	89.2	81.5	170.8	+7.8	62%
Season away (7)	77.3	86.6	163.9	-9.3	29%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	82.7	168.7	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	79.0	173.4	+15.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	79.6	86.0	165.6	-6.4	40%
vs Similar (12)	84.3	81.6	165.9	+2.8	42%
vs Weaker (13)	90.1	82.5	172.6	+7.5	62%

This opponent (Jena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JenaDresden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.8	40.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	16.6	37.4	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.7	37.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.1	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.5	20.8	44.2	+2.7	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	19.4	41.9	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	21.8	38.9	-4.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.2	47.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.7	18.2	41.9	+5.5	85%	-

JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trier

48-36

+12

H26/10

Pro A

Tubingen

30-38

-8

H02/11

Pro A

Giessen

34-36

-2

A08/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

45-45

H10/11

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

47-25

+22

A16/11

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

40-37

H01/12

Pro A

Artland

#15

36-42

-6

A07/12

Pro A

Bochum

41-37

A14/12

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

56-24

+32

H21/12

Pro A

Nurnberger

#14

39-40

-1

A28/12

Pro A

77.6Avg total

41.6Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.7	79.0	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	39.2	82.1	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	36.0	77.6	+5.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.0	78.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	38.2	39.6	77.8	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.6	50%	-

This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

37-44

-7

A26/10

Pro A

Bochum

42-49

-7

H02/11

Pro A

Bayreuth

#13

32-33

-1

A08/11

Pro A

Trier

49-40

H10/11

Pro A

Giessen

32-44

-12

A16/11

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

63-54

A30/11

Pro A

Munster

#10

50-32

+18

H07/12

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

45-42

H15/12

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

30-33

-3

A23/12

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

49-42

H29/12

Pro A

84.2Avg total

42.9Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	40.9	86.3	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.3	84.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.6	88.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.0	42.6	80.6	-4.6	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.7	42.0	84.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	47.2	39.0	86.2	+8.2	77%	-

This opponent (Jena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.8	42.3	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.7	18.8	38.4	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	19.9	44.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.6	43.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.5	31%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.4	39.1	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	15.7	20.1	35.8	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.9	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.2	24.2	42.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	36.5	77.9	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	37.1	77.8	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	36.0	78.1	+6.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	37.5	82.6	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	35.2	79.0	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	35.3	38.9	74.2	-3.6	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.1	35.4	79.5	+8.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	39.1	82.2	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	45.2	86.3	-4.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.4	84.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	38.4	85.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.6	43.4	85.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.7	39.6	81.2	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.9	43.5	86.5	-0.6	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 70.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.0	51.5%	-	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.0	8.0	23.5%	-	24.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.0	75.0%	-	12.0

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀46%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	19.0	59.4%	-	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.0	13.0	36.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	9.0	8.0	88.9%	-	8.0

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	20.0	64.5%	-	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	-	21.0
🏀 Free throws	23.0	17.0	73.9%	-	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	20.0	64.5%	-	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	-	21.0
🏀 Free throws	23.0	17.0	73.9%	-	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Jena

WWLWWWWWWL

Dresden

WLWWWLWWLL

League position

#11

-10.7

Net rating

-1.2

93.2

Offensive rating

102.7

103.9

Defensive rating

103.9

43.3%

Effective FG%

56.6%

55.5%

Opp. effective FG%

61.2%

18.9%

Turnover %

19.1%

32.6%

Off. rebound %

11.8%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.13

23.5%

3-point %

36.1%

60.0%

Assist %

75.0%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Jena ■ Dresden

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jena wins

Dresden wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/24	Dresden v Jena	85-78
27/12/23	Jena v Dresden	82-79
11/02/23	Dresden v Jena	81-70
23/12/22	Jena v Dresden	86-96

Jenalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/24	A	Nurnberger	74-66
21/12/24	H	Vechta 2	109-46
14/12/24	A	Bochum	75-84
07/12/24	A	Artland	84-73
01/12/24	H	Crailsheim Merlins	89-87
16/11/24	A	PS Karlsruhe	104-72
10/11/24	H	Kirchheim	87-77
08/11/24	A	Giessen	81-74
02/11/24	H	Tubingen	79-65
26/10/24	H	Trier	85-91

Dresdenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/24	H	PS Karlsruhe	101-71
23/12/24	A	Crailsheim Merlins	77-78
15/12/24	H	Phoenix Hagen	92-75
07/12/24	H	Munster	102-74
30/11/24	A	Vechta 2	100-97
16/11/24	A	Giessen	68-97
10/11/24	H	Trier	89-82
08/11/24	A	Bayreuth	72-71
02/11/24	H	Bochum	83-96
26/10/24	A	Kirchheim	76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena

Pro A 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	87%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	WWWLW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	87%	86%	88%
Points / game	87.0	88.1	86.0
Allowed / game	74.1	74.9	73.5
Point differential	+12.9	+13.3	+12.5
Avg total	161.1	163.0	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	43%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dresden

Pro A 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	47%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	LWLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	47%	62%	29%
Points / game	83.7	89.2	77.3
Allowed / game	83.9	81.5	86.6
Point differential	-0.2	+7.8	-9.3
Avg total	167.5	170.8	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Jena	15	13	2	87%	87.0	74.1	+12.9
2	Trier	15	11	4	73%	90.7	79.5	+11.2
3	Bochum	15	11	4	73%	84.9	79.2	+5.7
4	Giessen	15	10	5	67%	86.3	76.9	+9.4
5	Bremerhaven	15	10	5	67%	83.9	77.5	+6.4
6	Phoenix Hagen	15	10	5	67%	84.2	79.7	+4.5
7	Kirchheim	15	10	5	67%	81.3	78.9	+2.5
8	Tubingen	15	10	5	67%	78.7	77.7	+1.0
9	Crailsheim Merlins	15	9	6	60%	88.9	82.1	+6.8
10	Munster	15	9	6	60%	87.3	82.3	+5.0
11	Dresden	15	7	8	47%	83.7	83.9	-0.2
12	Koblenz	16	6	10	38%	74.1	83.1	-8.9
13	Bayreuth	16	5	11	31%	84.1	89.2	-5.1
14	Artland	15	4	11	27%	79.9	86.3	-6.3
15	PS Karlsruhe	15	4	11	27%	74.3	80.9	-6.7
16	Nurnberger	15	3	12	20%	72.8	80.5	-7.7
17	Dusseldorf	15	3	12	20%	75.9	86.9	-11.0
18	Vechta 2	15	1	14	7%	77.3	95.7	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jena	30	23	27	21	101
Dresden	15	23	15	25	78

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Jena vs Dresden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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