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Jena vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 106-95
33-20 28-21 23-28 22-26
Position#16
Record9-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game89.8
Jena 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#14
Record9-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game88.2
GermanyBBLRound 5· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jena v Hamburg
09 Nov 2026
JEN87
HAM91
26 Mar 2026
JEN106
HAM95
02 Oct 2015
JEN64
HAM56
14 Dec 2014
JEN94
HAM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A18/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
89avg 70
H25/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 70
H31/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
59avg 70
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-106
61
106
-45
48avg 70
H15/02
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
64-101
64
101
-37
50avg 70
A06/03
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
80avg 70
A10/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
90avg 70
A14/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 70
H18/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
84-108
84
108
-24
75avg 70
H21/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-17
24-19
15-20
22-21
23-29
22-12
28-16
24-27
20-13
19-20
12-24
21-37
15-11
17-25
11-19
21-28
12-32
14-32
14-14
22-28
21-25
12-29
9-19
34-22
16-22
13-24
21-14
24-29
28-30
18-20
20-14
17-14
22-23
29-18
29-20
20-32
31-29
15-28
18-19
169.4Avg total
79.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.989.8171.8-7.938%
Season at home (11)80.790.5171.2-9.727%
Season away (13)82.989.3172.2-6.446%
Last 10 (10)79.789.7169.4-10.040%
Last 5 (5)83.891.8175.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.390.5171.9-9.232%
vs Similar (6)82.084.8166.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (1)97.095.0192.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
64avg 74
H05/02
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 74
H08/02
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
94-116
94
116
-22
80avg 74
H11/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 74
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
96avg 74
A17/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
52avg 74
A08/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 74
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 74
H13/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
92-101
92
101
-9
83avg 74
A18/03
BBL
Trier
#12
W
90-72
90
72
+18
78avg 74
H22/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
16-25
19-18
23-20
17-23
35-28
26-26
17-8
33-31
21-30
23-32
17-23
14-24
26-19
22-28
23-21
23-14
22-17
32-22
16-34
12-24
21-23
18-12
16-16
22-34
22-16
24-13
14-21
25-21
26-18
20-21
15-23
25-23
23-32
26-21
18-25
26-19
22-22
24-15
18-16
174.1Avg total
85.8Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.488.2172.7-3.839%
Season at home (12)83.284.8168.0-1.550%
Season away (11)85.792.0177.7-6.327%
Last 10 (10)85.888.3174.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)83.483.0166.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)86.293.6179.7-7.428%
vs Similar (9)82.083.0165.0-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)93.091.7184.7+1.367%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
JenaHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H15/02
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/03
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A10/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A14/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H18/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H21/03
BBL
92.8Avg total
43.7Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.585.3-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.245.183.2-6.925%-
Last 30 away (18)42.644.286.7-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.749.192.8-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.050.897.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.244.986.1-3.636%-
vs Similar (6)41.544.385.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (1)38.047.085.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/02
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H08/02
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H11/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A17/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A18/03
BBL
Trier
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/03
BBL
91.5Avg total
44.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.887.0-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.544.690.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.845.183.9-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)44.746.891.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.491.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.245.988.2-3.733%-
vs Similar (9)41.243.084.2-1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.743.788.3+1.033%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.8
52.0%
53.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
34.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
73.5%12.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.3
55.0%
53.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
34.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.419.1
78.3%
73.5%19.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
LWLWLLLLWW
Hamburg
WLWLLWLLWL
#16
League position
#14
-12.3
Net rating
-2.8
90.3
Offensive rating
95.8
102.6
Defensive rating
98.6
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.3%
3-point %
32.1%
56.6%
Assist %
56.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 95.8Defence102.6 · 98.6Shooting51.1% · 52.1%3-point %33.3% · 32.1%Ball care17.6% · 16.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Jena   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jena wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
10/03/26Hamburg v Jena82-84
02/01/16Hamburg v Jena73-63
02/10/15Jena v Hamburg64-56
01/02/15Hamburg v Jena78-90
14/12/14Jena v Hamburg94-71
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HSyntainics MBC84-108
18/03/26HOldenburg97-75
14/03/26AUlm90-93
10/03/26AHamburg84-82
06/03/26AVechta64-101
15/02/26HBayern61-106
07/02/26ABonn64-92
31/01/26HLudwigsburg75-84
25/01/26HVechta95-78
18/01/26ABasketball Braunschweig83-78
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HTrier90-72
18/03/26ATrier92-101
13/03/26HHeidelberg86-83
10/03/26HJena82-84
08/03/26ALudwigsburg67-75
17/02/26AAlba Berlin93-87
14/02/26ABonn85-92
11/02/26HManresa94-116
08/02/26HBasketball Braunschweig95-85
05/02/26HCedevita Olimpija74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWLLWL27%
AwayWLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %38%27%46%
Points / game81.980.782.9
Allowed / game89.890.589.3
Point differential-7.9-9.7-6.4
Avg total171.8171.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)-71% (7)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%50%27%
Points / game84.483.285.7
Allowed / game88.284.892.0
Point differential-3.8-1.5-6.3
Avg total172.7168.0177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2320387%87.772.6+15.1
2 Alba Berlin2518772%85.378.8+6.5
3 Bamberg2516964%89.483.8+5.6
4 Ulm2415962%83.277.3+5.9
5 Bonn26161062%82.579.5+3.0
6 Wurzburg25151060%81.680.0+1.7
7 Trier25141156%90.992.0-1.1
8 Ludwigsburg24131154%84.683.8+0.8
9 Rostock23121152%84.283.3+0.9
10 Chemnitz24111346%84.886.6-1.8
11 Vechta25111444%87.287.7-0.6
12 Oldenburg25111444%83.684.2-0.6
13 Frankfurt25101540%82.885.8-3.0
14 Hamburg2391439%84.488.2-3.8
15 Jena2491538%81.989.8-7.9
16 Syntainics MBC2591636%84.187.1-3.0
17 Heidelberg2561924%77.786.0-8.2
18 Basketball Braunschweig2451921%80.089.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena33282322106
Hamburg2021282695
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