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Jena vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 70-92
19-22 11-20 24-20 16-30
Position#16
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#6
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.1
GermanyBBLRound 9· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jena v Ulm
30 Jan 2027
JEN v ULM
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
JEN70
ULM92
17 Nov 2018
JEN80
ULM85
13 Oct 2017
JEN92
ULM87
12 Nov 2016
JEN74
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
54avg 70
A24/09
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
61avg 70
A26/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 70
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
78-97
78
97
-19
67avg 70
H05/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 70
A11/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
69avg 70
A19/10
German Cup
Wurzburg
#5
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
65avg 70
A31/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
69avg 70
H08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
63avg 70
A17/11
German Cup
Trier
#12
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 70
A19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
17-23
30-25
25-17
23-21
24-27
15-22
15-23
21-25
28-24
20-19
18-15
15-27
25-22
16-23
22-25
24-12
34-19
19-35
18-26
25-16
12-14
20-28
23-21
22-21
19-17
14-22
19-14
8-24
28-17
20-16
29-15
24-23
27-22
6-25
21-21
24-26
28-28
27-12
16-28
172.8Avg total
85.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.089.7176.7-2.757%
Season at home (2)81.584.5166.0-3.050%
Season away (5)89.291.8181.0-2.660%
Last 10 (10)85.287.6172.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)86.086.6172.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)83.688.7172.3-5.143%
vs Similar (5)82.690.6173.2-8.040%
vs Weaker (17)94.879.2174.0+15.588%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
99-101
99
101
-2
92avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
69avg 79
A26/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 79
A29/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#15
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 79
H01/11
BBL
London Lions
#17
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 79
H05/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
79-81
79
81
-2
71avg 79
A08/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 79
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
62avg 79
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
63avg 79
H23/11
BBL
Trento
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
79avg 79
H04/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
24-25
29-17
16-30
16-23
21-24
26-23
18-20
20-26
15-22
27-12
16-29
15-20
21-15
17-21
14-19
23-23
18-11
19-22
27-30
24-19
15-22
21-18
19-22
17-28
25-22
5-14
17-32
21-26
23-27
7-26
20-22
19-15
17-23
15-14
17-16
22-24
24-21
18-28
23-27
169.0Avg total
79.0Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.181.1162.2+0.038%
Season at home (4)81.279.2160.5+2.050%
Season away (4)81.083.0164.0-2.025%
Last 10 (10)79.090.0169.0-11.010%
Last 5 (5)75.691.8167.4-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.794.4176.1-12.714%
vs Similar (11)79.578.2157.6+1.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.884.1169.9+1.755%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
JenaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/09
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A26/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A11/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A19/10
German Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A17/11
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A19/11
BBL
86.2Avg total
44.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.186.2+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.940.786.6+5.258%-
Last 30 away (18)44.741.386.0+3.356%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.186.2+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)44.340.384.6+4.057%-
vs Similar (5)41.848.690.4-6.80%-
vs Weaker (17)47.439.586.9+7.976%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A26/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A29/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/11
BBL
London Lions
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/11
BBL
Trento
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/12
Eurocup
85.5Avg total
41.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.784.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.382.9+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.443.085.4-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.585.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.486.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.646.790.3-3.129%-
vs Similar (11)40.738.078.7+2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.542.485.9+1.264%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.7
47.3%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.8
31.3%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.918.3
73.5%
73.5%18.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
53.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
73.5%15.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
WLWLWWLWLW
Ulm
LLLLLWLLLL
#16
League position
#6
-5.2
Net rating
-14.0
102.9
Offensive rating
103.4
108.1
Defensive rating
117.4
47.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
30.5%
50.2%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 103.4Defence108.1 · 117.4Shooting47.2% · 48.8%3-point %31.3% · 30.5%Ball care17.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.9% · 31.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Jena   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jena wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
12/02/19Ulm v Jena90-97
17/11/18Jena v Ulm80-85
27/01/18Ulm v Jena87-72
13/10/17Jena v Ulm92-87
08/01/17Ulm v Jena114-83
12/11/16Jena v Ulm74-84
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ATrier95-94
17/11/25AAlba Berlin78-91
08/11/25HChemnitz85-72
31/10/25AWurzburg92-97 OT
19/10/25ARostock80-79
11/10/25AOldenburg95-92
05/10/25HAlba Berlin78-97
02/10/25AHeidelberg87-83
26/09/25ABayern77-93
24/09/25ACrailsheim Merlins85-78
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HTrento87-100
23/11/25HBayern77-81 OT
18/11/25ABuducnost71-101
11/11/25HJL Bourg64-96
08/11/25ABonn79-81
05/11/25HLondon Lions87-86
01/11/25HFrankfurt67-75
29/10/25AChemnitz78-89
26/10/25ALudwigsburg81-90
21/10/25HBesiktas99-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%50%60%
Points / game87.081.589.2
Allowed / game89.784.591.8
Point differential-2.7-3.0-2.6
Avg total176.7166.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.181.281.0
Allowed / game81.179.283.0
Point differential+0.0+2.0-2.0
Avg total162.2160.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern76186%85.376.6+8.7
2 Syntainics MBC86275%86.582.1+4.4
3 Trier86275%88.887.0+1.8
4 Alba Berlin75271%87.081.0+6.0
5 Ludwigsburg75271%85.984.1+1.7
6 Wurzburg96367%79.779.7+0.0
7 Frankfurt85362%86.482.5+3.9
8 Bamberg74357%91.983.6+8.3
9 Jena74357%87.089.7-2.7
10 Chemnitz84450%89.586.0+3.5
11 Bonn84450%75.577.1-1.6
12 Rostock73443%82.182.4-0.3
13 Vechta73443%83.485.3-1.9
14 Ulm83538%81.181.1+0.0
15 Basketball Braunschweig83538%80.285.0-4.8
16 Heidelberg81712%78.882.8-4.0
17 Oldenburg91811%80.986.6-5.7
18 Hamburg7070%76.993.0-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena1911241670
Ulm2220203092
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