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Ulm vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-100
22-24 24-21 18-28 23-27
Position#15
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game94.5
vs
Trento 🏆
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game88.1
EuropeEurocupRound 9· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Ulm v Trento
04 Dec 2025
ULM87
TRE100
30 Oct 2024
ULM84
TRE82
03 Oct 2023
ULM80
TRE70
27 Dec 2017
ULM84
TRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
62avg 79
A19/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#2
L
99-101
99
101
-2
92avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
69avg 79
A26/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 79
A29/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#15
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 79
H01/11
BBL
London Lions
#17
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 79
H05/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
79-81
79
81
-2
71avg 79
A08/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 79
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
62avg 79
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
63avg 79
H23/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
16-23
12-28
14-23
30-29
24-25
29-17
16-30
16-23
21-24
26-23
18-20
20-26
15-22
27-12
16-29
15-20
21-15
17-21
14-19
23-23
18-11
19-22
27-30
24-19
15-22
21-18
19-22
17-28
25-22
5-14
17-32
21-26
23-27
7-26
20-22
19-15
17-23
15-14
17-16
166.1Avg total
77.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.094.5181.5-7.550%
Season at home (4)88.294.8183.0-6.550%
Season away (4)85.894.2180.0-8.550%
Last 10 (10)77.189.0166.1-11.910%
Last 5 (5)75.689.0164.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.893.5174.3-12.717%
vs Similar (12)80.778.6159.2+2.167%
vs Weaker (11)85.884.1169.9+1.755%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
78avg 76
A25/10
Lega A
Panionios
#19
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 76
A28/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
76avg 76
H01/11
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 76
H04/11
Eurocup
Cremona
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
60avg 76
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 76
H09/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
66avg 76
A12/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#16
L
88-89
88
89
-1
74avg 76
A16/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#12
L
94-105
94
105
-11
81avg 76
H18/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-18
21-18
23-16
17-19
18-23
28-30
28-15
24-26
19-31
19-21
21-24
22-15
20-16
20-27
16-16
24-17
20-28
22-24
17-23
15-20
24-21
24-28
24-24
31-24
19-21
13-31
20-21
21-28
29-21
22-23
16-17
20-19
17-34
26-23
31-29
20-24
19-10
20-18
22-16
173.4Avg total
85.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.088.1167.1-9.138%
Season at home (4)70.084.5154.5-14.525%
Season away (4)88.091.8179.8-3.850%
Last 10 (10)85.388.1173.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)86.690.4177.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.290.8167.0-14.620%
vs Similar (13)81.484.8166.2-3.431%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.878.8168.6+11.082%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
UlmTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A26/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A29/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/11
BBL
London Lions
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/11
BBL
84.5Avg total
40.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.583.9+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.082.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.443.085.4-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.984.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.247.090.2-3.817%-
vs Similar (12)41.138.279.2+2.942%-
vs Weaker (11)43.542.485.9+1.264%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A25/10
Lega A
Panionios
#19
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H01/11
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/11
Eurocup
Cremona
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H18/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H22/11
Lega A
85.7Avg total
42.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.884.2-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.680.0+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.446.588.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.785.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.487.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.447.889.2-6.420%-
vs Similar (13)40.844.184.8-3.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.740.081.7+1.773%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.6
50.3%
54.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.5
30.1%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.4
79.0%
75.2%15.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.1
29.3%
34.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.517.1
72.8%
75.2%17.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLLWLLLLL
Trento
WLLLLLWLWW
#15
League position
#8
-15.7
Net rating
-8.2
100.5
Offensive rating
109.4
116.2
Defensive rating
117.6
48.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.1%
3-point %
29.3%
60.5%
Assist %
51.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 109.4Defence116.2 · 117.6Shooting48.0% · 47.9%3-point %30.1% · 29.3%Ball care20.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 35.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
3
Trento wins
DateGameScore
14/01/25Trento v Ulm86-71
30/10/24Ulm v Trento84-82
06/12/23Trento v Ulm83-85
03/10/23Ulm v Trento80-70
27/12/17Ulm v Trento84-94
08/11/17Trento v Ulm77-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HBayern77-81 OT
18/11/25ABuducnost71-101
11/11/25HJL Bourg64-96
08/11/25ABonn79-81
05/11/25HLondon Lions87-86
01/11/25HFrankfurt67-75
29/10/25AChemnitz78-89
26/10/25ALudwigsburg81-90
21/10/25HBesiktas99-101
19/10/25AAlba Berlin68-90
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HTreviso81-68
18/11/25HChemnitz94-105
16/11/25ASassari88-89
12/11/25ABesiktas83-97
09/11/25HBasket Napoli87-93
06/11/25ACremona83-92
04/11/25HLietkabelis78-74
01/11/25HVirtus Bologna83-102
28/10/25APanionios91-87
25/10/25AVarese85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.088.285.8
Allowed / game94.594.894.2
Point differential-7.5-6.5-8.5
Avg total181.5183.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game79.070.088.0
Allowed / game88.184.591.8
Point differential-9.1-14.5-3.8
Avg total167.1154.5179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg87188%79.969.1+10.8
2 Cedevita Olimpija97278%89.977.4+12.4
3 Buducnost86275%88.877.5+11.2
4 Besiktas86275%91.481.8+9.6
5 Hapoel Jerusalem86275%96.086.8+9.2
6 Bahcesehir Kol.96367%90.484.1+6.3
7 Turk Telekom85362%87.578.4+9.1
8 Cluj-Napoca84450%96.894.0+2.8
9 Venezia84450%87.885.4+2.4
10 Aris84450%81.484.6-3.2
11 Ulm84450%87.094.5-7.5
12 Neptunas94544%91.993.9-2.0
13 Slask Wroclaw94544%83.989.7-5.8
14 Chemnitz83538%84.282.2+2.0
15 London Lions83538%76.980.4-3.5
16 Manresa83538%82.987.4-4.5
17 Trento83538%79.088.1-9.1
18 Lietkabelis82625%78.688.0-9.4
19 Panionios81712%75.288.5-13.2
20 Hamburg8080%77.496.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2224182387
Trento24212827100
← all games of the day
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